We recently compiled a list of the 10 Best High Growth Stocks To Buy. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Uber Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:UBER) stands against the other high growth stocks.
At Wall Street, long-standing investment strategies are being reshuffled as the monetary and political landscape evolves. Reallocation is the name of the game in a week where the S&P 500 and Nasdaq experienced declines of 1.97% and 3.65%, respectively, marking their largest weekly losses since April. Conversely, the Dow advanced 0.72%, and the small cap-focused Russell 2000 climbed 1.68%. A few tech mega-caps—led by Apple Inc., NVIDIA Corporation, Meta Platforms, Inc., and Amazon.com, Inc.—have dominated stock market returns, especially over the last 18 months, a trend that is evident in the diverging performances of the largest 50 stocks in the S&P 500, weighted by market capitalization. This trend, however, seems to have reversed sharply recently, with mega-caps selling off while the average stock holds close to record levels.
Investors are grappling with this sudden shift, and one possible explanation is that mega-caps may have become too expensive. “The stock market is experiencing a long overdue rotation,” said Glen Smith, chief investment officer at GDS Wealth Management. “Investors are pulling money out of high-performing big tech stocks and reallocating it to other market areas.” Notably, tech giants like NVIDIA Corporation, previously popular among options traders, saw a notable shift in sentiment, with demand for bearish puts surpassing calls at the highest rate in five months. “It signals a different regime,” said Erika Maschmeyer, a portfolio manager at Columbia Threadneedle Investments. “The market could be choppier and more volatile, with more dispersion than we have seen.”
This divergence has reassured some Wall Street experts who had been concerned about the rally’s dependence on a few massive tech stocks. Additionally, rising optimism about forthcoming interest rate decreases from the Fed has bolstered smaller and more cyclically oriented names. In that regard, the Fed’s battle against inflation might be nearing its end after U.S. consumer prices unexpectedly fell in June. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee considers the latest inflation data “excellent” and describes persistent housing inflation improvement as “profoundly encouraging.” However, Scott Rubner of Goldman Sachs is skeptical about buying the dip. The tactical strategist believes the S&P 500 has little room for upward movement from its current position. He points out that historically, July 17 has marked a turning point for the equity benchmark, with data dating back to 1928 supporting this claim. Rubner notes that August typically sees the worst outflows from passive equity and mutual funds.
On another note, the U.S. economy added slightly more jobs than expected in June. Nonfarm payrolls increased by 206,000 for the month, surpassing the Dow Jones forecast of 200,000 but falling short of the revised May gain of 218,000, which was significantly reduced from the initial estimate of 272,000. However, the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.1%, matching the highest level since October 2021 and presenting a mixed signal for Federal Reserve officials considering their next monetary policy move. The jobless rate was forecasted to remain steady at 4%. Although June job creation exceeded expectations, much of this growth was driven by a 70,000 surge in government jobs. Additionally, the health care sector, a consistent leader, added 49,000 jobs, while social assistance contributed 34,000 and construction increased by 27,000.
The 2024 presidential election is heating up, with President Joe Biden opting not to run for re-election and Republican nominee and former President Donald Trump continuing his campaign after surviving an assassination attempt. Historically, presidential election years have often brought strong returns for stock investors, influencing short-term economic policy. However, recent events suggest that this election year may be far from typical.
Our Methodology
To compile our list of the best high growth stocks to buy, we identified companies with strong sales growth over the past five years. These companies were then ranked based on the number of hedge fund investors in the first quarter of 2024, out of a total of 919 hedge funds. Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
A close up view of a hand holding a smartphone, using a ride sharing app.
Uber Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:UBER)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 130
Annual Sales Growth Over the Past 5 Years: 31.46%
Based in San Francisco, California, Uber Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:UBER) operates as a technology platform that connects consumers with independent ride service providers, offering a variety of transportation options such as public transit, bikes, and scooters. Additionally, Uber provides on-demand food delivery, freight services, business fleet solutions, and same-day delivery. The platform serves over 142 million monthly active consumers across 70 countries.
Uber Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:UBER) reported its Q1 results last month, with revenue rising 15.1% year-over-year to $10.13 billion, surpassing estimates by $40 million. Mobility revenue surged 30%, delivery revenue increased by 4%, while freight revenue declined by 4%. Uber is actively expanding its delivery segment through new partnerships and features to reduce its dependency on the Mobility segment.
Citi has raised its price target for Uber Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:UBER) shares to $96 from $93, maintaining a Buy rating. This adjustment follows a series of meetings with Uber’s CFO Prashanth Mahendra-Rajah and VP of Investor Relations & Corporate Finance Deepa Subramanian during a non-deal roadshow (NDR) in the Middle East. These discussions strengthened Citi’s confidence in Uber Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:UBER)’s ability to achieve its compounded annual growth rate targets for Gross Bookings and EBITDA over the next three years, as outlined in the company’s February Investor Update.
However, on another front, the company faces a significant legal challenge, with the 9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals in San Francisco upholding a lower court’s decision regarding California’s gig worker law, which requires companies to reclassify their drivers from independent contractors to employees. This ruling could potentially increase operating costs for companies like Uber Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:UBER).
In Q1 of 2024, 130 hedge funds had investments in Uber Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:UBER), with positions worth $10.1 billion. GQG Partners is the top investor in the company as of March 31, and has a position worth $1.72 billion.
RiverPark Large Growth Fund stated the following regarding Uber Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:UBER) in its first quarter 2024 investor letter:
“Uber Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:UBER): UBER was a top contributor in the quarter following better than expected 4Q23 earnings and 1Q24 guidance. Gross bookings of $37.6 billion were up 22% year over year. Mobility gross bookings of $19.3 billion grew 29% over last year driven by a combination of product innovation and driver availability. Delivery gross bookings of $17 billion were up 19% from last year and continued to be strong throughout the quarter. 4Q Adjusted EBITDA of $1.3 billion, up $618 million year over year, was better than management’s guidance of $1.2 billion, and the company generated $768 million of free cash flow, up from a cash loss of $303 million last year. Management guided to continuing growth in 1Q Gross Bookings (20% growth) and Adjusted EBITDA (of $1.3 billion). The company hosted a well-received analyst day in February during which it guided to three year compounded annual growth rates for gross bookings of mid-to-high single digits and EBITDA of 30-40%, both above investor expectations. The company also guided to free cash flow conversion of 90% of EBITDA.
UBER remains the undisputed global leader in ride sharing, with a greater than 50% share in every major region in which it operates. The company is also a leader in food delivery, where it is number one or two in the more than 25 countries in which it operates. Moreover, after a history of losses, the company is now profitable, delivering expanding margins and substantial free cash flow. We view UBER as more than a ride sharing and food delivery service; we also see it as a global mobility platform with 142 million users (by comparison, Amazon Prime has 200 million members) and the ability to penetrate new markets of on-demand services, such as package and grocery delivery, travel, and hourly worker staffing. Given its $5.4 billion of unrestricted cash and $4.8 billion of investments, the company today has an enterprise value of $165 billion, indicating that UBER trades at 21x our estimates of next year’s free cash flow.”
Overall UBER ranks 3rd on our list of the best high growth stocks to buy. You can visit 10 Best High Growth Stocks To Buy to see the other high growth stocks that are on hedge funds’ radar. While we acknowledge the potential of UBER as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that under the radar AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than UBER but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
READ NEXT: Analyst Sees a New $25 Billion “Opportunity” for NVIDIA and Jim Cramer is Recommending These 10 Stocks in June.
Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.