We recently published a list of the 12 Best Long-Term Penny Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Sunnova Energy International Inc. (NYSE:NOVA) stands against the other best long-term penny stocks to buy.
What’s the Future Like for Small Cap Stocks in 2025?
On December 3rd, Bob Kaynor, CFA, Head of US Small & Midcap Equities at Schroders, provided a comprehensive outlook for small-cap stocks in 2025, emphasizing their potential as a cost-effective investment in the robust US economy. He mentioned that the economy has shown resilience post-pandemic, bolstered by fiscal stimulus from the Biden Administration through significant legislation like the CHIPS Act and the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). This recovery is primarily driven by strong consumer spending and a favorable labor market. In this robust environment while large-cap equities may appear expensive and have likely priced in much of the anticipated growth, small and mid-cap stocks remain relatively undervalued. This presents an opportunity for investors to gain exposure to domestic economic strength without incurring high costs.
Kaynor identified several trends, which he believes could enhance the performance of small and mid-cap stocks in 2025. He pointed out that following a downturn in 2022 and 2023 due to recession fears and high valuations, M&A activity is now rebounding. This resurgence is expected to benefit small-cap stocks as they often become acquisition targets. Additionally, increased IPO activity can generate interest and optimism in the small-cap sector. Moreover, the ongoing and anticipated decline in interest rates starting late 2024 is expected to reduce borrowing costs for small-cap companies, which typically rely on short-term financing. This environment is historically favorable for small caps, particularly when inflation stabilizes between 1% and 3%. Kaynor also noted that the service sector of the market is expanding. The services sector not only forms a significant portion of the GDP but also favors small-cap companies primarily those operating within this space. Moreover, trends like reshoring are enabling small firms to become reliable suppliers for larger corporations. He expects that increased CapEx driven by automation and government support in sectors like semiconductors will likely correlate with revenue growth for small caps, further enhancing their investment appeal next year.
Kaynor noted that Wall Street analysts predict a substantial rebound in earnings for small caps beginning in late 2024, with expectations that their growth will outpace large caps throughout most of 2025.
A residential home showcasing the success of a solar energy system installation.
Our Methodology
To curate the list of the 12 best long-term penny stocks to buy according to hedge funds, we used the Finviz stock screener and Seeking Alpha. Using the screener we got an initial list of penny stocks (trading under $5) with more than 20% 5-year sales growth. Next, we cross-checked each stock for 5-year sales growth from Seeking Alpha. Lastly, we ranked these stocks based on the number of hedge fund holders sourced from Insider Monkey’s Q3 2024 hedge funds database. Please note that the stock prices were recorded on December 31, 2024.
Why do we care about what hedge funds do? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
Sunnova Energy International Inc. (NYSE:NOVA)
Stock Price: $3.43
5-Year Sales Growth: 45.75%
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 22
Sunnova Energy International Inc. (NYSE:NOVA) specializes in providing solar energy solutions primarily for residential customers. It partners with local dealers and contractors to install solar panels on homes and is a leading player in solar PV systems in the United States. The company also provides various payment plans, such as leases and power purchase agreements (PPAs), which help homeowners adopt solar technology without needing to pay large upfront costs.
Sunnova Energy International Inc. (NYSE:NOVA) is focused on expanding its customer base while maintaining profitability through higher margins and quality credit. In the first nine months of 2024, the company added 76,600 customers, with about 80% being solar customers. Moreover, the company has successfully increased its capital generation through securitizations and tax capital commitments, which have doubled compared to the previous year. The increase in customers resulted in revenue from customer agreements and incentives increasing by 43%, reaching $121.5 million for the nine months ending September 30, compared to the same period last year.
Management not only improved the number of solar energy systems in service by 38%, totaling 222,300 systems but also saw a rise in average revenue per system. Its Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) and lease revenue per system increased by 12% to $1,405. This increase is attributed to slightly larger average system sizes and a higher attachment rate of battery systems, which now stand at 32%. Considering the increased demand for its systems and its total cash of $473.9 million, including $208.9 million in unrestricted cash, it is one of the best long-term penny stocks to buy according to hedge funds.
Overall, NOVA ranks 2nd on our list of best long-term penny stocks to buy according to hedge funds. While we acknowledge the potential of NOVA to grow, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than NOVA but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.