We recently compiled a list of the 10 Best Lumber Stocks To Buy Right Now. In this article, we are going to take a look at where PotlatchDeltic Corporation (NASDAQ:PCH) stands against the other best lumber stocks.
The Global Lumber and Wood Market: An Overview
The global lumber and wood market plays a crucial role in various industries, including construction, furniture, and packaging. As one of the most versatile building materials, lumber is essential for residential and commercial construction, providing structural support and aesthetic appeal. It is also widely used in packaging solutions. The paper and pulp industry is another significant consumer of wood products. Lumber is processed into pulp to produce a wide range of paper products, including newspapers, packaging materials, and tissues. Companies involved in the lumber industry can range from sawmills that cut trees into lumber to manufacturers producing furniture and packaging materials, highlighting the diverse businesses that depend on this essential resource.
According to a report by The Business Research Company, the global wood products market was valued at $750.14 billion in 2023. The market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7% during 2024-2028 to reach a value of $1.054 trillion by the end of the forecast period. The Asia-Pacific region was the largest market for wood products globally in 2023.
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Recent trends indicate that the global lumber market is experiencing both challenges and growth opportunities. In the North American market, housing starts can have a direct impact on lumber demand, which is essential for the construction of homes. Factors such as population growth, urban development, and mortgage interest rates can all play a crucial role in determining the level of housing starts.
On December 18, Bloomberg reported a surprising decline in new home construction in the US for November. Housing starts fell by 1.8%, reaching an annualized rate of 1.29 million, marking the slowest pace since July. This decrease was largely attributed to a significant drop in multifamily projects, which fell by over 23%, overshadowing a 6.4% increase in single-family home starts. The rise in single-family construction was primarily driven by a rebound in the South, particularly as areas affected by hurricanes in previous months began to recover.
Despite the increase in single-family homes, the overall outlook for the housing industry has become less optimistic recently. While the South showed a notable improvement, all other regions experienced declines in housing starts.
However, the notable uptick in single-family home construction is a positive trend. As the housing market recovers, the demand for lumber is poised to rise. Another significant trend is the increasing demand for sustainable building materials. Wood is expected to become a preferred choice due to its renewable nature and lower carbon footprint compared to other materials like steel or concrete. Additionally, technological advancements in lumber production contribute to market growth. Innovations in processing and manufacturing techniques are improving efficiency and reducing waste, which helps meet the rising demand without compromising quality.
It is important to remember that the lumber and wood industry serves a wide range of sectors, including paper, packaging, pulp, furniture, construction, and even energy production. This diversity allows the lumber market to remain resilient and adaptable to changes in demand across different industries. The global lumber market is vital to several key industries and is poised for growth despite current challenges.
Methodology
To compile our list of the 10 best lumber stocks to buy right now, we used the Finviz and Yahoo stock screeners to find the largest lumber and wood companies. We also reviewed financial media reports and consulted various online resources including ETFs to compile a list of the best lumber stocks. Next, we focused on the top 10 stocks most favored by institutional investors. Data for the hedge fund sentiment surrounding each stock was taken from Insider Monkey’s Q3 2024 database of 900 elite hedge funds. The 10 best lumber stocks to buy right now are ranked in ascending order based on the number of hedge funds holding stakes in them.
Why do we care about what hedge funds do? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
Aerial view of a timberland with lush green trees and sunlight filtering through the branches.
PotlatchDeltic Corporation (NASDAQ:PCH)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 28
PotlatchDeltic Corporation (NASDAQ:PCH) is a prominent timberland owner and one of the top lumber manufacturers in the United States. The company manages nearly 2.2 million acres of timberland across nine states and operates seven manufacturing facilities that produce lumber and plywood. PotlatchDeltic Corporation (NASDAQ:PCH) ranks among the best lumber stocks to buy.
In the third quarter of 2024, the corporation reported a net income of $3.3 million and revenues of $255.1 million. This is a decrease from the same quarter in the previous year, when the company reported a net income of $23.7 million and revenues of $265.5 million. Despite this decline, PotlatchDeltic Corporation (NASDAQ:PCH) generated a total adjusted EBITDA of $45.9 million, reflecting an 18% margin, which indicates solid operational performance amid a challenging lumber market.
A significant development in Q3 2024 for PotlatchDeltic Corporation (NASDAQ:PCH) is the completion of its sawmill expansion and modernization project in Waldo, Arkansas. This strategic investment is expected to enhance the mill’s capacity by 85 million board feet annually and improve recovery rates while reducing processing costs by about 30%. Once fully operational, this facility is expected to generate an additional $25 million in adjusted EBITDA under mid-cycle sales conditions. Ongoing improvements in production capacity combined with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments position PotlatchDeltic Corporation (NASDAQ:PCH) well for future growth.
Overall, PCH ranks 6th on our list of the best lumber stocks to buy right now. While we acknowledge the potential of PCH as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than PCH but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.