Ensemble Capital, an investment management firm, published its third-quarter 2021 investor letter – a copy of which can be downloaded here. In the letter, the fund discussed why they see so much new value being created in the years ahead, the value that their portfolio of companies is helping to develop. You can take a look at the fund’s top 5 holdings to have an idea about their best picks for 2021.
Ensemble Capital, in its Q3 2021 investor letter, mentioned Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ: NFLX) and discussed its stance on the firm. Netflix, Inc. is a Los Gatos, California-based production company with a $279.5 billion market capitalization. NFLX delivered a 16.79% return since the beginning of the year, while its 12-month returns are up by 18.99%. The stock closed at $628.29 per share on October 15, 2021.
Here is what Ensemble Capital has to say about Netflix, Inc. in its Q3 2021 investor letter:
“Netflix stock had a disappointing first half of 2021 performance, treading water while the S&P 500 rallied, after a very strong 67% return in 2020. It benefited from the global pandemic in 2020, signing on 36.6 million new subscribers vs the typical 25 million or so it typically does. Total subscribers exceeded 200 million, up 22% over the previous year. However, in the first half of 2021, new subscriber additions slowed substantially, totaling only 5.5 million due to slower new content additions impacted by production delays, a resumption of outdoor activity as people everywhere adjusted to living with COVID, and the impact of a “pull-forward effect” on subscriber growth in last year’s very strong results. The third quarter saw new content velocity start to pick up, which is usually what drives new subscribers to the service, with expectations of an even stronger content slate going into the final quarter of the year, causing the stock to increase 15% in the quarter.”
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Based on our calculations, Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ: NFLX) ranks 13th in our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. NFLX was in 113 hedge fund portfolios at the end of the first half of 2021, compared to 110 funds in the previous quarter. Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ: NFLX) delivered an 18.64% return in the past 3 months.
Hedge funds’ reputation as shrewd investors has been tarnished in the last decade as their hedged returns couldn’t keep up with the unhedged returns of the market indices. Our research has shown that hedge funds’ small-cap stock picks managed to beat the market by double digits annually between 1999 and 2016, but the margin of outperformance has been declining in recent years. Nevertheless, we were still able to identify in advance a select group of hedge fund holdings that outperformed the S&P 500 ETFs by 115 percentage points since March 2017 (see the details here). We were also able to identify in advance a select group of hedge fund holdings that underperformed the market by 10 percentage points annually between 2006 and 2017. Interestingly the margin of underperformance of these stocks has been increasing in recent years. Investors who are long the market and short these stocks would have returned more than 27% annually between 2015 and 2017. We have been tracking and sharing the list of these stocks since February 2017 in our quarterly newsletter.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
