We recently compiled a list of the 10 Best Mid-Cap Dividend Aristocrats To Buy. In this article, we are going to take a look at where National Fuel Gas Company (NYSE:NFG) stands against the other mid-cap dividend stocks.
Investors often overlook mid-cap stocks, assuming they are more volatile than large-cap equities. However, this perception is not entirely accurate, and analysts are increasingly favoring mid-caps. A recent analysis by Goldman Sachs suggested that instead of debating between large-cap and small-cap stocks, investors should prefer mid-caps. Historical data also supports this perspective, with the mid-cap benchmark achieving an 11% compound annual growth rate since 1985, compared to 9% for the broader market and 8% for the small-cap Russell 2000, according to strategist Jenny Ma. Here are some other comments from the analyst:
“Today, mid-cap equities offer investors superior earnings growth at a reasonable price compared with large-caps. Mid-cap stocks have typically outperformed both large-caps and small-caps during the 12 months following the first Fed rate cut in an easing cycle.”
A Bloomberg analysis also revealed that over the past 30 years, mid-cap stocks have significantly outperformed both the broader market and small-cap stocks in cumulative returns. Mid-caps achieved a compound annual growth rate exceeding 12%, compared to approximately 11% for large-caps. This seemingly small difference has a substantial impact over time. For example, a $100,000 investment in mid-cap stocks at the end of 1994 would now be worth around $3 million—about $700,000 more than an equivalent investment in the market. The report also mentioned that between 2000 and 2005, mid-cap stocks outshone all other categories, outperforming not only the broader market but also small-caps and the equal-weighted large-cap index. Their ability to weather the fallout from the internet bubble played a significant role in driving their long-term outperformance over the years.
Also read: 12 Best Long-Term Dividend Stocks to Invest in Right Now
A common misconception about mid-cap stocks is that these companies reinvest most of their earnings into growth initiatives like expansion and R&D, leaving little for dividends. However, analysts suggest that this view may cause investors to overlook valuable opportunities. Mid-cap and small-cap (SMID) dividend-paying stocks, in particular, deserve attention. According to a Wall Street Journal report, SMID dividend stocks have delivered an impressive annual return of 15.68% from 1975 to June 2023, outperforming both large-cap dividend payers and the broader market. In addition, their volatility is about 15% lower than the average SMID stock. The advantages are even greater for SMID stocks that consistently grow their dividends, as these have demonstrated higher annualized returns with lower risk over the past 35 years compared to typical SMID dividend payers.
The MidCap 400 Dividend Aristocrats Index monitors the performance of companies that have consistently increased their dividends for at least 15 consecutive years. A ProShares report highlighted that, since its launch in 2015 through 2022, the index has delivered annualized returns 177 basis points higher than the broader MidCap 400, all while maintaining lower volatility. These mid-cap Dividend Aristocrats have shown resilience during market turbulence by capturing much of the upside during rising markets while limiting losses during downturns—an especially valuable trait during periods of uncertainty. The report further mentioned that during this period, mid-cap Dividend Aristocrats have increased their payouts at an annualized rate exceeding 12%, outpacing both large-cap dividend growth and recent inflation rates. Given this, we will discuss some of the best mid-cap dividend aristocrat stocks.
Our Methodology:
For this list, we scanned the holdings of MidCap 400 Dividend Aristocrats, which tracks the performance of mid-sized companies within the MidCap 400 index that have maintained a consistent track record of increasing dividends annually for at least 15 years. From the index, we picked 10 dividend stocks that have garnered the most attention from hedge fund investors by the conclusion of Q3 2024, using data from Insider Monkey’s database.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points. (see more details here).
A large oil and gas production plant with pipelines leading to tanker truck and storage tanks.
National Fuel Gas Company (NYSE:NFG)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 21
National Fuel Gas Company (NYSE:NFG) is an American natural gas distribution company that engages in the exploration and development of natural gas and oil reserves. In the most recent quarter, the company reached significant milestones aimed at supporting long-term growth in earnings and free cash flow. Distribution Corporation finalized a multi-year settlement for its New York rate case, which is anticipated to receive approval in the coming months. In addition, Supply Corporation submitted a certificate application for the 190,000 dekatherms per day Tioga Pathway Project, expected to commence operations by late 2026. The stock has surged by over 20% since the start of 2024.
In fiscal Q4 2024, National Fuel Gas Company (NYSE:NFG) reported revenue of $372 million, which grew modestly by 0.85% from the same period last year. Pipeline & Storage segment revenues rose by $33.2 million, or 9%, compared to the previous year, mainly driven by the settlement of the Supply Corporation rate case, which resulted in higher rates starting in February 2024. In the E&P segment, hedging-related gains of $61 million contributed to a $0.07 per Mcfe boost in natural gas price realizations, even as NYMEX prices dropped by $0.40 per MMBtu compared to the previous year.
In FY24, National Fuel Gas Company (NYSE:NFG) generated over $1 billion in operating cash flow. This strong cash position makes the company one of the strongest dividend payers. It currently offers a quarterly dividend of $0.515 per share and has stretched its dividend growth streak to 54 years. With a dividend yield of 3.37% as of December 16, NFG is one of the best dividend stocks in the mid-cap space.
National Fuel Gas Company (NYSE:NFG) was included in 21 hedge fund portfolios at the end of Q3 2024, the same as in the previous quarter, as per Insider Monkey’s database. The stakes held by these hedge funds have a collective value of roughly $214 million. Among these hedge funds, GAMCO Investors was the company’s leading stakeholder in Q3.
Overall NFG ranks 8th on our list of the best mid-cap dividend aristocrats to buy. While we acknowledge the potential of NFG as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than NFG but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
