We recently compiled a list of the 7 Best Stocks to Invest in for Medium Term. In this article, we will look at where Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) ranks among the best stocks to invest in for the medium term.
On September 18, the Federal Reserve reduced its policy rate by 50 basis points, lowering it to 4.75%–5.00% from 5.25%–5.50%. Following the announcement, stocks surged, with the broader market hitting a new intra-day all-time high and closing at its 39th record of 2024, marking the first since mid-July. The index has risen over 20% since the beginning of the year. The interest rate reduction has created new opportunities for investors, signaling a shift towards a more supportive monetary policy intended to boost economic activity. Lower interest rates generally result in reduced borrowing costs, encouraging both business expansion and consumer spending. This fosters a favorable environment, making medium-term investments, typically ranging from 3 to 5 years, more appealing.
To effectively execute this strategy, investors should evaluate several key factors in the companies they select. These include the stock’s performance over the past year, profitability, sales figures, debt levels, price-to-earnings ratio, and dividends. Additionally, assessing revenue growth and payout ratios can provide further insights.
Dividend stocks are often seen as good choices for medium-term investments, providing investors with passive income while they hold the stock. In addition, dividend-paying companies can be a smart investment during times of market volatility. A report by Hartford Funds showed that from 1940 to 2023, dividend income contributed an average of 34% to the total return of the broader market. The report also highlighted that in decades with total returns below 10%—such as the 1940s, 1960s, and 1970s—dividends made a significant impact on overall returns.
Dividend growth is the most favored approach within dividend investing, as it boosts investors’ income over time. Kirsten Cabacungan, an investment strategist in the Chief Investment Office for Merrill and Bank of America Private Bank, emphasized the significance of dividend growth strategies in investment planning. Here are some comments from the analyst:
“Generally, it’s larger, more mature companies that return capital to their shareholders in the form of dividends. Companies that have consistently increased their dividends tend to be more stable, higher quality businesses, which historically have weathered downturns and are more likely to have the ability to pay dividends consistently.”
A company’s dividend payout ratio is a crucial measure of its ability to maintain dividend flexibility. Firms that allocate most or all of their earnings to dividends may struggle under competitive pressure, as their cash flow might not be enough to sustain operations. A report by Nuveen highlighted that, historically, stocks with the highest payout ratios haven’t delivered the best long-term results. Instead, companies with moderate to moderately high payout ratios have tended to outperform over the past two decades among dividend-paying stocks. With this, we will now discuss some of the best stocks to buy for medium term.
Our Methodology:
For this list, we used a Finviz screener to to find dividend stocks with an average revenue growth of over 10% over the past five years, highlighting companies with consistent sales growth. From that selection, stocks with a five-year average payout ratio of under 40% were chosen, indicating a strong cash position. The final list includes 7 companies with the highest number of hedge fund investors, based on Insider Monkey’s Q2 2024 database.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points. (see more details here).
Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 279
5-Year Average Annual Revenue Growth Rate: 14.26%
5-Year Average Payout Ratio: 28.30%
Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) tops our list of the best stocks to buy for medium term. The Washington-based multinational technology company is best known for its wide range of innovative software products. The stock has surged by over 18% in 2024 so far because of its strong business momentum. In fiscal Q4 2024, the company generated $64.7 billion in revenues, up 15% from the same period last year. Its net income also showed a 10% YoY growth at $22 billion. The company’s strong performance this fiscal year highlights its innovation and the continued confidence of its customers. As a platform-focused organization, it is committed to meeting critical customer needs through its extensive platforms, while positioning itself as a leader in the AI era.
The company’s AI segment was also appreciated by Fred Alger Management in its Q2 2024 investor letter. Here is what the firm said:
“Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) is a beneficiary of corporate America’s transformative digitization. The company operates through three segments: Productivity and Business Processes (Office, LinkedIn, and Dynamics), Intelligent Cloud (Server Products and Cloud Services, Azure, and Enterprise Services), and More Personal Computing (Windows, Devices, Gaming, and Search). During the quarter, shares contributed to performance after the company reported strong fiscal third quarter results, underscoring its leadership position in the cloud and highlighted its role as a primary facilitator and beneficiary of AI adoption. Company revenue growth, operating margin, and earnings growth surpassed consensus expectations. The utility scale Azure cloud business grew 31% in constant currency of which 7% was AI related versus 3% two quarters ago. Further, management noted most of the AI revenue continues to stem from inference rather than training indicating high quality AI applications by Microsoft’s clients. Management also indicated that the significant cost-cutting programs in corporate America are done, suggesting that the cost optimization headwinds previously impacting Azure’s growth are over. Separately, management provided color on their new AI-productivity tool, Copilot, noting that approximately 60% of Fortune 500 companies are already using Copilot, and that the quarter witnessed a 50% increase in Copilot assistance integration within Teams. We continue to believe that Microsoft has the potential to hold a leading position in AI, given its innovative approach and demonstrated high unit volume growth opportunity.”
Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) declared a 10.7% hike in its quarterly dividend on September 17 to $0.83 per share. This was the company’s 19th consecutive year of dividend growth, which makes it one of the best stocks to buy. As of September 19, the stock supports a dividend yield of 0.68%.
Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) was one of the most popular stocks among hedge funds tracked by Insider Monkey at the end of Q2 2024. Of the 912 elite money makers in our database, 279 hedge funds owned stakes in the company, worth over $89 billion in total. With nearly 35 million shares, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Trust was the company’s leading stakeholder in Q2.
Overall, MSFT ranks 1st on our list of the best stocks to invest in for medium term. While we acknowledge the potential of MSFT as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than MSFT but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.