We recently compiled a list of the 12 Most Undervalued Travel Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds. In this article, we are going to take a look at where MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM) stands against the other undervalued travel stocks.
The travel industry has rapidly evolved, with the leading businesses witnessing healthy growth and strong profit margins. The shift in source markets and destinations, increased demand for experiential and luxury travel, together with innovative business strategies continue to dramatically alter the industry landscape. Much of the travel demand is close to home. As per McKinsey, globally, domestic travel should grow ~3% annually, touching 19 billion lodging nights per year by 2030.
This is particularly true for the US, the world’s largest travel market. Around 68% of trips initiated in the US are to destinations within the country. Despite inflation and record costs weighing over Americans’ travel budgets, most of them will continue to travel. Most American consumers rank travel, domestic and international, as their “highest-priority” areas when it comes to discretionary spending.
Rise of Experiential Travel
Travel experts believe that there has been a growing focus on experiences as compared to material goods.
The demand for experiential travel should continue to rise heading into 2025 because consumers are prioritizing unique and memorable encounters over traditional travel consumption. This shift cannot be tagged as a passing trend, but it’s transforming the global tourism landscape. McKinsey believes that the experiential travel market should exceed ~$3 trillion by 2025. The growth should primarily be seen off the back of an increasing share of consumer spending on experiences like entertainment, adventure travel, and personalized excursions.
WNS believes that ~87% of the people globally agree that having a trip booked in the future provides them something to look forward to. With the pent-up demand unleashing, the upcoming 5 years are expected to see elevated expectations among travelers as they plan to make up for the lost time. Despite a bumpy ride for 4 years, the international tourist arrivals should touch pre-pandemic levels in 2024. However, inflationary concerns, climate change, and geopolitical tensions might keep the sector in a difficult spot.
Some countries and governments have done a better job in minimizing such risks and maximizing travel and tourism potential as per the Travel & Tourism Development Index 2024, published last month by the World Economic Forum.
What Are the Trends Shaping for Travel Sector?
As per the United Nations World Tourism Organization (UNWTO), international tourism should fully recover to pre-pandemic levels in 2024. UNWTO expects that there is still a significant headroom for recovery across Asia. Chinese outbound and inbound tourism should ramp up in 2024 as a result of visa facilitation and improved air capacity.
Total international arrivals are expected to significantly increase over the upcoming 2 years and will surpass pre-pandemic 2019 visitation in 2025 (as per the International Trade Administration). Total international arrivals should see an increase of 16.8% to 77.7 million in 2024, 9.7% to 85.2 million in 2025, and an increase of 7.0% to 91.1 million in 2026.
Since the bulk of travel spending remains close to home, McKinsey mentioned that 75% of travel spend is domestic. The US has been tagged as the world’s largest domestic travel market, with China well-placed to overtake it in the coming years. New markets like India, Southeast Asia, and Eastern Europe are the growing sources of outbound tourism. The travel spending of Indians should grow by 9% per year between now and 2030, with annual growth projections for Southeast Asians and Eastern Europeans coming at ~7% for both. Just like the launch of a jet engine significantly reduced travel times, AI continues to change the fundamentals of the travel industry.
As per estimates by McKinsey Digital, companies that holistically address digital and analytics opportunities can experience an earnings improvement of up to ~25%.
Our methodology
To list the 12 Most Undervalued Travel Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds, we used a Finviz screener to filter the stocks catering to the relevant industries and also looked into travel ETFs and online rankings. We gathered a list of 20 stocks and then narrowed our list to stocks that were trading at less than the forward earnings multiple of ~22.56x (since the broader market trades at ~22.56x). Finally, we ranked the stocks in ascending order of the number of hedge funds that have stakes in them.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points. (see more details here).
A wellness center with clients undergoing various spa and travel related treatments.
MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM)
Forward P/E Ratio as of 13 September: 12.14x
Number of Hedge Funds: 44
MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM) operates gaming, hospitality, and entertainment resorts. The company provides accommodation, dining, meetings, and other travel-related services.
Wall Street analysts opine that MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM) appears to be well-placed to achieve strong growth given its scale, healthy competitive position, and diversification in Las Vegas and regional markets. The continued rebound in Macau for both of the company’s properties is expected to fuel growth over the near term.
MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM)’s stronghold on the Las Vegas Strip exhibits strong brand equity and market dominance. With around one-fourth of all units in the market, the company’s properties like MGM Grand, Mandalay Bay, and Bellagio are expected to serve as luxury landmarks. This dominant position can result in getting a high volume of visitors and maintaining a significant market share. Given its brand’s reputation, the company can charge premium pricing, which should help its revenue growth moving forward.
MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM) continues to focus on inorganic growth opportunities as its strategic investments in digital capabilities continue to make up a competitive advantage. The recent acquisition of LeoVegas and 50% ownership in BetMGM, LLC exhibit its focus on expanding its online gaming footprint. These digital ventures should also further diversify its revenue sources.
Analysts at Susquehanna upped their price target on shares of MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM) from $54.00 to $55.00. They gave a “Positive” rating on 1st August. Insider Monkey’s 2Q 2024 data revealed that 44 hedge funds are holding MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM).
Longleaf Partners released its fourth quarter 2023 investor letter and mentioned about MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM). Here is what the fund said:
“MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM) & Hyatt – Hospitality companies MGM Resorts and Hyatt were both strong performers in the fourth quarter and for the year, outperforming expectations that the post-COVID travel rebound would ease in 2023. Casino and online gaming company MGM saw double-digit revenue growth and strong 2023 bookings in Las Vegas in the first half, which moderated in the second half but remained solid. A cybersecurity attack negatively impacted 3Q results, but MGM does not expect the $100 million hit to have a material effect on its financial condition and operational results for the year. MGM bought back discounted shares at a 15% annualized rate and authorized another $2 billion buyback in 4Q, which represents another 15% of the company.”
Overall MGM ranks 8th on our list of the most undervalued travel stocks to buy according to hedge funds. While we acknowledge the potential of MGM as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some deeply undervalued AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that’s more promising than the stocks on our list, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article was originally published at Insider Monkey.
