We recently published a list of 10 Worst Affordable Stocks To Buy Right Now. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Lyft, Inc. (NASDAQ:LYFT) stands against other worst affordable stocks to buy right now.
How is the Market Performing Entering the Rate Cuts
In one of our recent articles regarding the 10 Hot Penny Stocks On the Move, we discussed how the overall macroeconomic conditions have played a crucial role in building an environment leading to the upcoming Fed rate cut. Here’s an excerpt from the piece:
“The economy of the United States has stabilized, the risks of a recession have been delayed, and inflation continues to cool down. On August 30, Reuters reported that the Federal Reserve received a fresh confirmation regarding inflation continuing to ease. The personal consumption expenditure price index rose 2.5% year-over-year in July and inflation has stayed within the 2% goal set by the Fed. Fed Chairman has indicated that the “time has come to cut rates”.
Moreover, in another report by Reuters on the same day there were reports of the US dollar gaining as another key inflation measure fell in line with the forecasts. The Fed is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points this month. Moving forward markets have forecasted 100 bps of cuts by the end of 2024.
The stock market is already riding the tide of expected interest rate cuts. On August 20, CNBC reported that the stock market was climbing yet again, putting the S&P 500 and NASDAQ on track for their eighth positive session in a row, marking their longest winning streak this year.”
While there has been a debate about a 25-point or a 50-point cut, the market has fluctuated before the announcement. On September 17, CNBC reported that the S&P 500 was lower after reaching a record high on Tuesday. The market reached a new record high of 5,670.81 and was down 0.1% at 5,627. The Nasdaq moved 0.1% higher whereas the Dow Jones fell by 40 points.
The traders have overcome the summer headwinds and moved past the concerns over the health of the US economy on the back of expectations of the Fed cutting interest rates. On the other hand, Wall Street has been on hold. Analysts are hoping the rate cuts will help boost the earnings growth for companies.
Tom Lee, Fundstrat Global Advisors co-founder, joined CNBC to talk about how the market is expected to perform moving into the fed rate cuts and after the announcement. Lee believes that one of the factors leading to confusion among investors is the election period. The market is expected to stay in a fluctuating environment for the next eight weeks until the elections are over. However, fed rate cuts are coming at a crucial time to give some positive for the market.
There are two main reasons leading up to the rate cuts, one being the inflation easing and the other being the slower labor market that needs help from the Federal Reserve. Moreover, Lee thinks that regardless of the Fed deciding on a 25-point or 50-point cut, the result is going to be positive for the market. He thinks that investors should be confident for the next 12 months as whenever the Fed cuts rates, the win ratio for the markets has been almost 100%. Moreover, the markets rally post-elections regardless of who takes the seat.
Our Methodology
For compiling the list of 10 worst affordable stocks to buy right now, we used the Finviz stock screener. We set our filters to get affordable stocks with high short interest i.e. stocks trading below the market average Forward P/E which is 23.79, expecting positive earnings growth this year, and have high short interest. From the list of affordable stocks, we selected 20 stocks that were most widely held by institutional investors. Once we had the aggregated list, we ranked them based on their Short % of Shares Outstanding, sourced from Yahoo Finance. Please note that the list is ranked in ascending order of the short interest.
Why do we care about what hedge funds do? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
A ridesharing passenger and driver in a car, looking out the window in anticipation of their destination.
Lyft, Inc. (NASDAQ:LYFT)
Forward P/E Ratio: 15.39
Earnings Growth This Year: 13.80%
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 53
Short % of Shares Outstanding: 11.40%
Lyft, Inc. (NASDAQ:LYFT) operates a ride-hailing platform in the United States and Canada. The platform provides a variety of transportation options by connecting drivers with customers through its Lyft app. It also has an Express Drive program where people can sign a short-term rental agreement to get vehicles through its subsidiary Flexdrive Services and provide ridesharing services.
It has been 5 years since the ride-hailing company went public. However, the company has faced a series of challenges stemming from a volatile market environment, tough competition from competitors like Uber, and difficulty maintaining a positive net income. As a result, the stock price has taken a hit and Lyft, Inc. (NASDAQ:LYFT) has been down 17.75% on a year-to-date basis.
But the story doesn’t end here. Something positive recently happened which might be a sign that the company is ready to bounce back. The financial results for the second quarter of 2024 came as good news for its investors. Lyft, Inc. (NASDAQ:LYFT) hit several all-time highs during the quarter. Its gross bookings were up 17% year-over-year to reach $4 billion. Whereas, rides and active riders hit an all-time high of 205 million and 23.7 million, indicating a 15% and 10% increase respectively.
The liquidity position of the company also improved significantly as it generated more than $256.4 million as free cash flow during the quarter. Moreover, another highlight from its books was its net income turning positive from a net income loss of $114.3 million in Q2 2023 to a positive net income of $5 million during the recent quarter.
Management expects the success to continue through the year. It expects rides growth in the mid-teens, with gross bookings growing slightly faster than the rides growth throughout the year. LYFT is also cheap at current levels. It is trading at 15 times its forward earnings whereas the market average sits at around 23. Analysts expect its earnings will grow by around 14% during the year.
LYFT was held by 53 hedge funds in Q2 2024, with total positions worth $744.96 million. Appaloosa Management LP is the top shareholder with a position worth $112.2 million.
ClearBridge Multi Cap Growth Strategy made the following comment about Lyft, Inc. (NASDAQ:LYFT) in its Q2 2023 investor letter:
“The sale of rideshare provider Lyft, Inc. (NASDAQ:LYFT), similar to our moves in communication services, prunes a smaller position to consolidate the portfolio in our highest conviction ideas. We initially purchased Lyft in May 2021 when rideshare volumes were still depressed due to COVID-19. While Lyft was a clear #2 behind Uber in domestic rideshare, we believed it was a cleaner way to play the U.S. recovery due to the focused nature of its business. However, poor execution and the uneven nature of the U.S. recovery, with West Coast markets where Lyft has historically had greater exposure lagging due to a lack of return to office work, further weakened its market position. In March, Lyft announced co-founder Logan Green would step down as CEO with David Risher, a former Amazon executive, taking his place. While Risher has laid out ambitions to drive Lyft’s market share higher, we believe doing so will require more than a few quarters fix. Furthermore, while the company has looked for areas to right size their cost base, we see necessary investments in price, service levels and product differentiation to drive this turnaround further pushing out the path to improved profitability.”
Overall LYFT ranks 10th on our list of the worst affordable stocks to buy right now. While we acknowledge the potential of LYFT as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than LYFT but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
