Is LVMH (LVMUY) a Top Luxury Clothing Stock to Invest in Now?

In this article, we will look at the Top 11 Luxury Clothing Stocks to Invest in Now. In this article, we will look at where LVMH (LVMUY) stands against other top luxury clothing stocks to invest in now.

Overall View of Trends in the Luxury Sector 

The luxury segment in retail has been a prominent driver of growth in the industry. It is primarily considered a status symbol, driving discretionary spending among customers with high purchasing power.

According to a report by Mordor Intelligence, the luxury retail sector has a market size of $110.13 billion as of 2024, and is expected to grow to $151.32 billion by 2029, at a compound annual growth rate of 6.56%. While the Asia-Pacific region is the fastest-growing market in the luxury retail domain, the largest market remains concentrated in Europe.

According to McKinsey’s The State of Fashion 2024 report, the global apparel industry is expected to experience top-line growth of 2%- 4% in 2024, with variations possible in countries and regions. Quite like in previous years, the luxury segment is anticipated to generate the most significant economic profit.

However, companies in the sector may experience a tough economic environment. Growth is anticipated to slow down to 3%- 5% in 2024 compared to 5%- 7% in 2023 as the post-pandemic shopping rush slows down. However, these growth trends are likely to be contrasting in Europe and the US. While growth is set to slow in China and Europe, it is expected to pick up speed in the US after a relatively weak 2023.

Distribution of luxury apparel and improved supply chains are some of the industry’s significant growth drivers. For example, Saudi Arabia’s General Authority for Competition approved the joint venture between G Distribution B.V. and Al Rubaiyat Co. for Industry & Trade Holding in December 2021 to sell and distribute Gucci products in the country. Digital media and digital marketing are also increasing the popularity of luxury clothing among millennials, which is, in turn, driving market growth.

A Slow First Half of 2024 for Luxury Retailers 

Several luxury retailers experienced substantial profit drops in the first half of 2024. The overall market is experiencing widespread struggles, primarily because luxury brands have traditionally relied heavily on Chinese consumers. With the slowing Chinese economy and a cautious consumer base, this heavy reliance is proving unprofitable, as people are reducing their spending on luxury goods. The economic slowdown in China is attributed to factors such as lower land sales, an aging population, and decreased exports.

Despite the challenges, some brands made significant strides, such as the Italian high-fashion women’s clothing and accessory brand Miu Miu, which saw nearly 60% growth last year and 90% growth in the first quarter of this year. This helped its parent company, Prada Group, increase its sales as well.

The luxury market has historically bounced back from downturns, and many in the industry hope the current challenges are temporary. Luxury brands are comparatively less affected by economic conditions as most of their purchases are made by a very small group of elite consumers.

Our Methodology

For this article, we made a list of nearly 20 luxury stocks with positive analyst upside potential and used that as our primary metric to rank the list. We chose the top 11 stocks with the highest average analyst price target as of September 12, 2024. We manually calculated analyst upsides for stocks not listed on American exchanges. We have also considered the hedge fund sentiment around each stock as a secondary metric, and sourced data from Insider Monkey’s database of over 900 elite hedge funds as of Q2 2024.

Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).

Top 11 Luxury Clothing Stocks to Invest in Now

Top 11 Luxury Clothing Stocks to Invest in Now

LVMH (OTC:LVMUY)

Analyst Upside Potential as of September 12, 2024: 30.9%

No. of Hedge Funds as of Q2 2024: N/A

Louis Vuitton-Moët-Hennessy (OTC:LVMUY), more commonly known as LVMH, is one of the largest luxury companies in the world, with a market cap of around 306.058 billion. This France-based luxury group operates in six segments: Fashion and Leather Goods, Wines and Spirits, Watches and Jewellery, Perfumes and Cosmetics, and Selective Retail and Other Activities. These sectors give the Group ownership of several globally popular luxury brands, including Louis Vuitton, Christian Dior, Givenchy, Moet & Chandon, Benefit Cosmetics, Bulgari, Chamet and Fred, Sephora, Miami Cruiseline, and several others. The Group also partakes in Other activities, including the acquisition of the Pendemonte Group, a notable jewelry producer, and arts brands such as Cheval Blanc and others.

The Group has around 75 brands and operates more than 6,000 stores. In the past years, much of the Group’s growth has stemmed from mainland China, primarily because of the emerging upper class in the country. In addition, it continues to increase its global reputation and presence with an increase in a culture of conspicuous consumption. It ranks third on our list of the top 11 luxury clothing stocks to invest in now.

Despite the uncertain economic and geopolitical environment, LVMH (OTC:LVMUY) remained resilient. It recorded revenues of €41.7 billion in the first half of 2024, experiencing a 2% organic growth over the period. The United States and Europe underwent growth on a constant currency basis and consolidation scope. Similarly, Japan experienced a double-digital revenue growth, with the rest of Asia reflecting strong growth in spending as well, primarily due to Chinese customers in Japan and Europe. The Japanese market, in particular, underwent exceptional growth because Chinese customers made purchases in Japan due to the weakening yen. Organic revenue growth for the Group in Q2 2024 stood at 1%.

LVMH (OTC:LVMUY) boasts a robust profitability model, which is further strengthened by the global reputation of its numerous brands. The Group’s profit from recurring operations reached €10.7 billion for the first half of 2024, significantly exceeding pre-COVID operating margins. Overall, the Group experienced strong resilience across its six segments, solidifying its position as a world leader and highlighting its long-term roadmap for profitability. It also experienced a significant increase in its operating free cash flow, which exceeded €3 billion.

Overall, LVMH ranks third among the top 11 luxury clothing stocks to invest in now. While we acknowledge the potential of luxury clothing companies, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than LVMH but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

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