For those of you keeping track, remember that Krispy Kreme Doughnuts (NYSE:KKD) already completed a $20 million share repurchase program last fiscal year, and Monday’s press release optimistically states they “view this $50 million additional repurchase authorization as a further indication of Krispy Kreme’s financial strength, our outstanding free cash flow generation, and our positive outlook for the future.”
Out of the pan…
To be sure, while the doughnut-maker’s revenue in the most recent quarter increased 11.2% year over year, to $120.6 million, adjusted net income rose an even more impressive 37%, to $14.1 million during the same period. This was primarily a result of reduced operating expenses and solid 11.4% same-store sales growth. Meanwhile, GAAP net income also rose by a third, to $8 million.
Better yet, thanks to those strong first-quarter results and expected continued strength for the remainder of the year, Krispy Kreme Doughnuts (NYSE:KKD) raised its fiscal 2014 outlook for adjusted net income to between $42 million and $45 million, up from the previous forecast of between $37 million and $40 million. In all, they say, this should help boost its fiscal 2014 earnings per share by between 26% and 34% over fiscal 2013.
In addition, this week’s release also noted that the company retired the remaining $22 million balance of its term loan as part of a refinancing of its existing secured credit facilities, which should save Krispy Kreme Doughnuts (NYSE:KKD) around $1 million in interest over first year following the transaction.
…and into the fire?
But with shares of Krispy Kreme Doughnuts (NYSE:KKD) currently trading at a whopping 59 times last year’s earnings — and that’s including a 4% drop so far in today’s trading — does this buyback really make sense?
After all, while the company’s results have been strong, remember that Krispy Kreme Doughnuts (NYSE:KKD) stock has more than doubled so far in 2013, and stands at more than triple its levels from this time last year. All in all, the stock has handily beat the broader index’s returns since then:
KKD Total Return Price data by YCharts
And yes, I’ll admit Krispy Kreme Doughnuts (NYSE:KKD)’s forward price-to-earnings ratio is a much more manageable 26.6, but that’s also assuming Krispy Kreme’s plans go off without a hitch.
Company Chairman and CEO James Morgan did chime in, however, to assure investors they “always seek to first deploy cash to grow the business, [but] will complement that usage, as appropriate, with other means of increasing shareholder value.”
Buybacks can create value, but…
To that end, if Krispy Kreme Doughnuts (NYSE:KKD) doesn’t have anything better to do with its money, why not give investors the option of choosing what to do by initiating a dividend?
Of course, that doesn’t mean share buybacks don’t have their place; back in February, I supported iRobot Corporation (NASDAQ:IRBT)‘s plan to repurchase up to $25 million of its common stock, but that was only because the company had just taken a beating after an ugly fourth-quarter earnings report, and I also believed its shares were fundamentally undervalued relative to its growth prospects.
