We recently published a list of 15 Best Dividend Stocks To Buy and Hold. In this article, we are going to take a look at where The Home Depot, Inc. (NYSE:HD) stands against other best dividend stocks to buy and hold.
In recent years, many investors have shifted their focus from dividend-paying stocks to high-growth secular-themed stocks that typically don’t offer dividends. However, history shows that investors shouldn’t overlook dividends. According to estimates by AGF Investments, the long-term case for dividend-paying equities is strong: if a dollar was invested in the broader market Index in 1927 without reinvesting dividends, it would be worth $243 today. In contrast, that same dollar with dividends reinvested would be worth $3,737.
Because of this earnings and income potential, income investors often turn to dividend stocks when the market shifts. While these stocks may not be keeping pace with the broader market, analysts remain optimistic about their future prospects. A report from J.P. Morgan indicated that global equities are approaching a notable period of dividend growth, not just due to a cyclical rise in payouts but also because of a long-term increase in dividend momentum. Over the past 20 years, global dividends per share have grown at an annual rate of 5.6%, but analysts predict this growth will accelerate to 7.6%. The main factor driving this increased growth is the low starting point of payout ratios (dividends as a proportion of earnings). During the Covid pandemic in 2020, many companies cut their dividends, leading to a 12% drop in global dividends, which was a steeper decline than during the Global Financial Crisis. This was a rational response to an uncertain environment with unpredictable effects and duration.
READ ALSO: 10 Most Promising Dividend Stocks According to Hedge Funds
However, equity markets rebounded strongly as global earnings soared, primarily driven by Big Tech and, more recently, AI. Since dividends are typically determined by conservative boards and management, they tend to lag behind earnings during significant earnings surges. As a result, dividend payout ratios are now near their lowest levels in 25 years, meaning companies are paying out less compared to historical averages. Simply returning to a more typical payout level could contribute an additional 2% annual growth over the next five years. This isn’t just a theoretical scenario—global dividend growth has already started to exceed earnings growth in seven of the past eight quarters, as reported by J.P. Morgan.
While recent market gains have largely been driven by a small group of non-dividend-paying companies, this is starting to shift. In 2024, many big tech companies initiated their dividend policies, highlighting the importance of returning capital to shareholders and positioning dividends as a complement to share buybacks. The report highlighted that although the dividend yields from these tech giants are initially modest, the total amount they are committing to dividends is significant—$17 billion collectively over the next year. More importantly, these actions send a strong signal to the market.
Income-focused investors have increasingly turned their attention to dividend income, making it a more prominent part of personal earnings. A report by S&P Dow Jones Indices reveals that dividend income has risen from 2.68% in Q4 1980 to 7.88% in Q2 2024, demonstrating its growing importance as an income source. The report further highlighted that since 1936, dividends have accounted for over a third of total equity returns, with the rest coming from capital gains.
Our Methodology
For this list, we scanned through various credible sources, including Business Insider, Forbes, Morningstar, and Barron’s, and identified their consensus picks from their recent articles. Next, we sorted these companies based on the number of hedge funds in Insider Monkey’s database that owned stakes in these companies, as of Q3 2024.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points. (see more details here).
A home improvement store overflowing with a variety of products and supplies.
The Home Depot, Inc. (NYSE:HD)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 82
The Home Depot, Inc. (NYSE:HD) is a Georgia-based home improvement company that is engaged in the sale of building materials and home improvement products. The company has over 2,300 stores in the US, Canada, and Mexico. The home improvement industry is large and fragmented, with an estimated annual value of $1 trillion. Although The Home Depot is the sector’s largest player, it commands only a 15% market share. This creates substantial growth opportunities, as the company has the potential to gain a larger share from smaller competitors who struggle to match its strong brand, vast inventory, and smooth omnichannel experience.
The Home Depot, Inc. (NYSE:HD) maintained a strong financial position in fiscal year 2024, generating over $15 billion in operating cash flow during the first nine months. This robust cash flow highlights the company’s capacity to maintain its reputation as a reliable dividend payer. The company has increased its dividend payouts for 14 consecutive years, making it one of the best dividend stocks on our list. The company pays a quarterly dividend of $2.25 per share and has a dividend yield of 2.19%, as of February 4.
Carillon Tower Advisers made the following comment about HD in its Q3 2024 investor letter. Here is what the firm has to say:
“While Home Depot, Inc.’s (NYSE:HD) recent reported earnings were somewhat tepid, the market seems to be pricing in an inversion of the company’s sales, driven by lower interest rates. Home Depot reported its seventh consecutive quarter of same-store sales declines, giving back substantial gains that it enjoyed during the pandemic. High mortgage rates have also put a damper on existing home sales. People typically spend the most on home repairs and improvements in years when they buy or sell houses, often conducting both transactions in the same year.”
Of the 900 hedge funds tracked by Insider Monkey at the end of Q3 2024, 82 funds held stakes in The Home Depot, Inc. (NYSE:HD), down from 86 in the previous quarter. These stakes have a total value of roughly $7.6 billion. With over 9.4 million shares, Fisher Asset Management was the company’s leading stakeholder in Q3.
Overall, HD ranks 3rd on our list of best dividend stocks to buy and hold. While we acknowledge the potential for HD as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than HD but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
READ NEXT: 20 Best AI Stocks To Buy Now and Complete List of 59 AI Companies Under $2 Billion in Market Cap
Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
