We recently compiled a list of the 10 Worst Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks To Buy According to Financial Media. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Fabrinet (NYSE:FN) stands against the other AI stocks.
Is a 0.5% Rate Cut Aggressive?
Analysts have long predicted interest rate cuts and the Fed just lowered rates by 0.5% on September 18th. This is the first rate cut since the pandemic, driven by concerns about the labor market, and was followed by market volatility. The new benchmark rate is between 4.75% and 5.0%, with more cuts expected. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell stated that these cuts are based on economic data, not political factors.
We have had several analysts supporting or opposing the 50 basis-point rate cut, both before and after the announcement was finally made. We recently discussed the President at Potomac Wealth Advisors, Mark Avallone’s, stance on this aggressive decision made by the Fed. Here’s an excerpt from our article on the 10 Worst Small Cap AI Stocks To Buy According to Short Sellers, that covered his opinion:
“Mark Avallone expressed surprise at the Fed’s decision but emphasized that investors shouldn’t make impulsive decisions, but rather utilize potential opportunities in small and mid-cap stocks, which he believes will benefit from a lower interest rate environment…. Avallone warned investors to be cautious with traditional banks, especially mid-sized and large ones, based on his experience at Bank of America. He believes that the recent changes in loan pricing after the Fed’s rate cut would hurt banks’ overall revenue and income from interest…. He suggested that it may be too late for significant moves in fixed-income investments, as many investors have already lengthened their bond durations. He recommended pausing further adjustments until it’s clear whether the rate cut is due to an economic slowdown or a preemptive action.”
After announcing that the Central Bank has lowered interest rates by half a point, Fed Chair Jerome Powell took questions from reporters regarding this first-ever cut decision since 2020. He emphasized their commitment to timely monetary policy adjustments, particularly in light of the current economic landscape. The Fed believes they aren’t behind the curve, and the decision to cut rates reflects a strong commitment to avoid falling behind.
In response to a question about whether the rate cut was influenced by recent employment data or the high nominal level of the federal funds rate, he clarified that their policy position was established in July 2023, a period characterized by high inflation and low unemployment. He highlighted their patience in reducing the policy rate, noting that other central banks had already implemented multiple cuts while the Fed had refrained from such actions until now. This patience has reportedly paid off, as there is now greater confidence that inflation is trending sustainably toward the 2% target.
Powell indicated that the recent rate cut should not be interpreted as a new pace for future adjustments but rather as part of a recalibration of policy toward a more neutral level. He referred to the Summary of Economic Projections (S.E.P.) as a guide for understanding potential future cuts, emphasizing that economic developments could lead to adjustments in either direction.
When asked about implications for balance sheet policy following this larger rate cut, he noted that reserves within the banking system remain stable and abundant. He clarified that there are no plans to halt balance sheet runoff as a result of this decision, indicating that both monetary policy easing and balance sheet management can occur concurrently.
With a lower interest rate environment, investors everywhere are looking to either make a decision about their current AI stock holdings or diversify their portfolios with a higher ratio of AI stocks. But how has the September cut really impacted the AI sector? The Futurum Group Chief Market Strategist, Cory Johnson, just discussed what Fed rates mean for the tech sector as they invest more into artificial intelligence.
The recent decision by the Fed to lower interest rates has initiated a ripple effect in the tech sector, which can lead to increased tech spending and potentially larger venture capital investments. Corey Johnson noted that the current environment is favorable for tech stocks.
Johnson pointed out that there had been a reset in tech stocks when the Fed was not pivoting as quickly as investors would have liked. However, with the recent cut, there seems to be a renewed coupling between tech stocks and market sentiment. Even a reduction of 50 basis points can ease borrowing and spending, leading to increased M&A activity. He said this trend will likely result in heightened investments in technology, particularly AI.
He also highlighted how lower interest rates could accelerate the shift towards AI computing by making capital more accessible for companies looking to invest in this area. Johnson mentioned that as rates decrease, expected returns on investments look more attractive, especially in growth sectors like tech. This shift could lead to greater confidence among companies to invest in AI.
As for venture capital, Johnson noted that there is significant activity in the Bay Area, particularly with semiconductor startups. He observed that many new projects have been announced recently, indicating a robust interest in this sector. Interestingly, he pointed out that securing funding often happens before a product is fully developed so investors are increasingly focused on assembling the right teams rather than just having a finished product.
Overall, Johnson’s insights reflect a positive outlook for tech spending and venture capital investment in light of the Fed’s rate cuts, particularly within the AI and semiconductor sectors. As companies adapt to changing financial conditions, Powell’s discussion of the Fed’s strategic approach presents investors with both opportunities and challenges. We’re here to help you navigate the situation better with a list of the 10 worst artificial intelligence (AI) stocks to buy according to financial media.
Methodology
To compile our list, we sifted through rankings of AI stocks on different financial media websites to compile a list of 20 possible AI stocks. We then selected the 10 stocks that were the least popular among elite hedge funds and that analysts were bearish on. The stocks are ranked in descending order of the number of hedge funds that have stakes in them, as of Q2 2024.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
An automated assembly line displaying the advanced packaging technology used by the company.
Fabrinet (NYSE:FN)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 31
Fabrinet (NYSE:FN) is an electronic manufacturing company that provides optical packaging and precision optical, electro-mechanical, and electronic manufacturing services, primarily serving original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). It has over 12,000 employees worldwide in various markets, including developing and producing AI-powered devices, supporting the broader AI ecosystem.
In the fourth fiscal quarter of 2024, the company made a revenue of $753.26 million, up 14.85% from the same quarter in the previous year. The earnings per share were $2.41. Both of these financials beat Street estimates. This marked the fourth consecutive quarter for the company with record revenues and EPS figures.
Datacom revenue grew over 120% year-over-year, offset by a telecom revenue decline of over 20%, due to the protracted inventory digestion across the telecom industry.
The company’s revenue is growing due to new AI products in datacom. Despite negative AI stock sentiment, its strong growth in fiscal 2024 makes it worth considering. 800 gig products for AI and related applications remain its largest revenue driver in Datacom, partially offsetting the completion of a long-running 100 gig program.
Non-optical communications revenue grew double-digits, driven by automotive recovery. The company expects sequential revenue growth from all major product categories in Q1 of fiscal year 2025. It’s also investing in expanding its manufacturing capacity with Building 10 in Chonburi.
Fabrinet (NYSE:FN) plans to repurchase up to $139.5 million of its own stock, an expansion of its existing stock buyback program. In the FQ2 2025, it repurchased ~21,000 shares, with a total of 212,000 shares for the full fiscal 2025. This buyback program improves investor sentiments, and AI expansion strategies position the company for long-term growth.
FPA Queens Road Small Cap Value Fund stated the following regarding Fabrinet (NYSE:FN) in its Q2 2024 investor letter:
“Fabrinet (NYSE:FN) is a contract manufacturer of optical communications components and modules. The company has a dominant position in hard-to-replicate precision-manufacturing technologies and an enviable track record of execution. The majority of Fabrinet’s sales are to networking equipment manufacturers, but it has been successfully diversifying into the data center, industrial, auto, and medical end-markets. FN’s stock jumped after reporting June 2023 earnings – datacenter sales increased 50% sequentially and more than 100% over the previous year, driven by their 800-gigabyte transceivers for Artificial Intelligence applications. The company also announced that Nvidia is a 10%+ customer.
Fabrinet was a top-five holding in the Fund before its June 2023 earnings announcement. Since then, the stock has appreciated considerably and we have trimmed in keeping with our risk management policies. Given the growth in its forward earnings estimates, Fabrinet trades in line with its historical earnings multiples and remains a top five position for us.”
Overall FN ranks 7th on our list of the worst AI stocks to buy according to finance media. While we acknowledge the potential of FN as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold great promise for delivering high returns and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than FN but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
