We recently published a list of 10 Best Diabetes Stocks To Buy According to Billionaires. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY) stands against other best diabetes stocks to buy according to billionaires.
The Growing Market and Innovation in Continuous Glucose Monitoring (CGM) Technology
The WHO estimates that 422 million people worldwide suffer from diabetes, with the majority residing in low- or middle-income countries. On average, diabetes directly contributes to 1.5 million deaths annually. Over the past few decades, there has been a steady rise in both the prevalence and the number of cases of diabetes. Nonetheless, the International Diabetes Federation estimates that 500 million people worldwide presently have diabetes, and that figure is predicted to increase by 25% by 2030 and 51% by 2045.
One medical device used to assist manage diabetes, both type 1 and type 2, is the continuous glucose monitor (CGM). The market has grown dramatically in recent years, and it is currently a rapidly expanding category of diabetes care equipment. The demand for advanced diabetes care goods, including insulin pumps, pens, and continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) equipment, was estimated by GlobalData to be worth $21.8 billion in 2023. GlobalData projects that the market will reach $33.4 billion in revenue by 2030, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.34%.
The GlobalData marketed products database shows that there are currently 97 products in the CGM category. Most of these devices are standard CGMs, with only a few being implanted sensors. 133 products are either approved or in the development stage, according to the GlobalData pipeline products database. The research indicates that this market niche is expanding quickly and is a hub for innovative new technologies like implantable CGMs.
Today, CGM technology incorporates AI. For example, Roche introduced Accu-Chek SmartGuide, a cutting-edge CGM gadget driven by predictive AI. At the launch, Julien Boisdron, Chief Medical Officer for Roche Diabetes Care, called it “a solution more than a CGM.” He described how the system, which consists of two algorithms and a sensor, aids in data visualization and prediction.
The Rise of GLP-1 Drugs: Opportunities, Growth, and Challenges
A new era of opportunity has arrived for the management of diabetes and its associated complications. These novel strategies can effectively treat the co-occurring conditions of obesity and diabetes. A class of drugs known as glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) agonists is used to treat obesity and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). By 2030, the GLP-1 market, which is equally driven by obesity and diabetes, is expected to grow to $100 billion. About 9% of Americans, or 30 million people, may be GLP-1 users by this point.
Twelve percent of adult Americans report having taken a GLP-1 drug at some point, according to the most recent KFF Health Tracking poll. In the previous five years, 22% of patients with a diagnosis of obesity or overweight also took GLP-1, while 43% of patients with diabetes had the drug. Adults who have heard “a little” or “a lot” about these medications have gone from 70% to 82% over the past year, while those who have heard “a lot” about them have increased from 19% to 32%.
However, problems have arisen due to the increased demand for these diabetes and weight-loss medications. An “explosion in the unlicensed sale of medication online” is a potential threat, according to the National Pharmacy Association (NPA). Semaglutides, which are sold under the brand name Ozempic, help persons with type 2 diabetes manage their blood sugar. However, in other countries, like the US, where they are sold under the name Wegovy, they are also commonly used to help people lose weight. NPA chairman Nick Kaye stated:
“Pharmacists remain deeply concerned that the current medicine shortages crisis could lead to an explosion in the unlicensed sale of medication online.”
Our Methodology
For our list, we selected diabetes-related stocks from the HRTS GLP-1, Obesity, and Cardiometabolic ETF, as well as the EDOC Telemedicine and Digital Health ETF. We then ranked these stocks based on the number of billionaire investors holding stakes in them, as per Insider Monkey’s database of Q4 2024, prioritizing those with the highest billionaire ownership.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here).
An array of pharmaceutical pills with the company’s logo on the bottle.
Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY)
Number of Billionaires: 23
Dollar Value of Billionaire Holdings: $13,742,938,229
Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY) is a global leader in pharmaceuticals, specializing in diabetes care. Since introducing the world’s first commercial insulin in 1923, the company has maintained its position at the forefront of diabetes treatment. The company’s diabetes portfolio includes key products like Humalog (insulin lispro), Trulicity (dulaglutide), Mounjaro (tirzepatide), and Zepbound (tirzepatide). These treatments address both type 2 diabetes and obesity.
Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY)’s Q4 2024 financial results reflect strong growth and innovation across the board. Their full-year revenue rose by 32%, with Q4 revenue jumping 45%, surpassing initial guidance by $4 billion. A major driver of this growth was the success of new products like Mounjaro for diabetes and Zepbound for weight loss, which together contributed over $3.1 billion in Q4 revenue. Mounjaro’s global sales reached $3.5 billion, while Zepbound generated $1.9 billion in the U.S.
The company’s profitability surged as well, with gross margins increasing to 83.2% and operating income more than doubling to $5.6 billion. EPS also saw a significant boost, rising to $5.32 from $2.49 in Q4 2023. Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY) experienced broad global growth, with notable increases in the U.S. (40%), Europe (82%), Japan (27%), and China (13%). Looking ahead, potential label expansions for Zepbound, including coverage for obstructive sleep apnea and heart failure, could further broaden the drug’s market potential.
Overall, LLY ranks 2nd on our list of best diabetes stocks to buy according to billionaires. While we acknowledge the potential of healthcare companies, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than LLY but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.