We recently made a list of the 10 Best NASDAQ Stocks Under $50 to Buy. In this piece, we will look at where DraftKings Inc. (NASDAQ:DKNG) ranks among the best NASDAQ stocks under $50 to buy.
The close of 2024’s third quarter is seeing Wall Street rejoice as the Federal Reserve finally delivers its highly awaited interest rate cut. The central bank decided to cut rates by 50 basis points, and while the immediate aftermath saw stocks close lower, the next day was the complete opposite. On the day after the interest rate cut, markets soared as investors digested the latest data set.
It saw the benchmark S&P index soar to a record close as it gained 1.70% and ended the day’s trading at 5,713 points. This wasn’t the only record set during the day, with the Dow blue chip stock index jumping by 1.26%. In terms of gains though, both of these were surpassed by the broader NASDAQ index which jumped by 2.61% during the day’s trading.
While some of these gains are naturally because of investors cheering an interest rate cut, there might be other factors at play here too. For instance, fund ClearBridge Investments head of economic and marketing strategy Jeff Schulze shared that “I think that this dramatically increases the odds of the Fed being able to stick the landing, which ultimately will be bullish for risk assets.” This might not be the end for the gains though, if we’re to consider historic data. As per Evercore ISI, the flagship S&P index has posted an average gain of 14% in the six months following an interest rate cut if the economy is not in a recession.
This market outperformance was also a reversal of the underperformance in the first five days of August which saw the flagship S&P tank by 6%. Explaining the weakness, BlackRock’s chief investment officer for global fixed income Rick Rider commented “I think the markets got ahead of themselves again in terms of interpreting that data was very soft.” Commenting on the state of the economy, which should be key for markets moving forward, he added that “Chair Powell said it’s a solid economy, and it is.”
Focusing exclusively on the NASDAQ’s performance, the composite and the top 100 stock index are up by 23.1% and 21.6%, respectively year to date. The next question to ask is, whether these gains are across the entire index or if they’re limited to just a handful of stocks. One of the narratives on Wall Street has been outperformance among large cap stocks as we covered in Goldman Sachs’ Best Hedge Fund Stock Picks: Top 20 Stocks. Using the Fidelity NASDAQ ETF as a benchmark, we find out that the top ten stocks in the index are up by 38.54%, 2.33%, 64.08%, 17.78%, 17.39%, 63.98%, 27.5%, 157.5%, 16.3%, and 22.56, respectively starting from the tenth stock to the first.
Within these, the top four stocks account for 40% of the ETF, and as the lowest of these top four stocks’ returns is still higher than the broader index’s year to date performance, it’s clear that outperformance among the largest constituents has driven the index’s return so far. Given that 50.4% of the NASDAQ is made of information technology stocks, the outperformance by AI stocks in 2024 has also driven the index.
Don’t believe us? Consider research from Bloomberg which shows that from the start of 2023 to June 2024 end, mega cap technology stocks were responsible for 60% of the benchmark S&P’s 40.5% in returns. This raises two questions. The first is whether mega cap stocks have more juice left in them, while the second is if this performance bifurcation creates an opportunity in other stocks such as small cap and value stocks. Well, banking behemoth JPMorgan believes that a “near-record discount in smaller-cap stocks may offer an opening.” Its ‘smaller cap’ stocks are defined as small and medium cap (SMID) stocks, and while the bank admits that these stocks often have high debt levels which increases their risk, the stocks with a “near record discount” do not have high debt but are nevertheless discounted.
To see how you first have to understand that small and mid cap stocks typically trade at higher price to earnings ratios than their large cap peers. This is because these stocks are inherently risky, and also because they offer a greater potential for growth. JPM’s data shows that for SMID and large cap stocks that are placed in the top 20% in terms of free cash flow margins, the SMID stocks’ forward P/E ratio relative to the large cap stocks peaked at 1.72x in November 1983 and then at 1.62x in April. Now, as of April 2024, it was 0.74x which opens up the potential for recovery as we move into the era of monetary policy loosening. This trend persisted in May 2024, with data showing that as of May 31st, the forward P/E ratio of small caps as a whole was 73% of large cap stocks, implying a 27% discount. Similar levels were previously seen around 2003, with the small cap P/E ratio soaring to roughly 125% of large caps after 2010.
Our Methodology
To make our list of the best NASDAQ stocks under $50, we ranked the 100 most valuable stocks on the NASDAQ in terms of market capitalization and picked out the top ten stocks by the number of hedge funds that had bought their shares during Q2 2024.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points. (see more details here).
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DraftKings Inc. (NASDAQ:DKNG)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders In Q2 2024: 56
Share Price: $40.94
DraftKings Inc. (NASDAQ:DKNG) is the second biggest online sports betting company in America. Estimates show that the firm commands 32% of the market, which when combined with FanDuel’s 35% means that the two control two thirds of the market. This provides DraftKings Inc. (NASDAQ:DKNG) with key advantages, as the firm has benefited from lax regulatory environments all over the US that allowed it to set up operations. These same laws now constrain the entry of new companies in the industry, and the duopoly like nature of its industry means that DraftKings Inc. (NASDAQ:DKNG) has to primarily compete with FanDuel when it comes to cost control, player addition, revenue per player, and other metrics. Additionally, the firm has also been growing its operations through acquisition, with one such deal being its purchase of JackPocket. The deal expanded DraftKings Inc. (NASDAQ:DKNG)’s presence in the broader digital gambling industry by bringing a digital lottery company under its wing. The shares have gained 7.5% since the Fed’s interest rate cuts and could add to these if investors gain additional confidence in the economy.
Fred Alger Management mentioned DraftKings Inc. (NASDAQ:DKNG) in its Q2 2024 investor letter. Here is what the fund said:
“DraftKings Inc. (NASDAQ:DKNG) is a digital sports entertainment and gaming firm designed to ignite the passion of sports enthusiasts through a diverse offering that spans daily fantasy, regulated gaming, and digital media. We believe the company’s expertise in product development and customer acquisition, which established it as the market leader in daily fantasy sports (DFS), positions DraftKings to be a key driver in advancing the U.S. sports betting market’s growth. The company reported strong fiscal first quarter results, with revenues beating analyst estimates due to broad-based momentum in customer engagement and acquisition. However, on May 28th, the Illinois Senate passed a new state budget that includes a tiered progressive tax on sportsbook operators, effective July 1, 2024. This new tax ranges from 20% to 40% on gross revenues, a significant increase from the current 15% tax rate. Despite management’s belief that it can mitigate the tax impact by reducing promotions in Illinois, this development negatively affected the company’s share price.”
Overall DKNG ranks 6th on our list of the best NASDAQ stocks under $50 to buy. While we acknowledge the potential of DKNG as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than DKNG but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article was originally published on Insider Monkey. All investment decisions should be made after consulting a qualified professional.
