We recently published a list of the 10 Cheap Food Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Dollar General Corporation (NYSE:DG) stands against the other cheap food stocks to buy according to hedge funds.
Consumer Confidence Shows Major Drop
CNBC reported that The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index dropped to 98.3 for February, reflecting a slip of nearly 7% and below the Dow Jones forecast of 102.3. This marked the largest monthly drop the market has seen since August 2021. In addition, The Expectations Index dropped to a 72.9 reading, reflecting a decrease of 9.3 points. The measure has tumbled below the level consistent with recession for the first time since June 2024. These trends show that consumers are becoming increasingly pessimistic about the country’s economic outlook, and this pessimism reached new heights in February due to skepticism surrounding rising inflation and a slowing economy, according to the Conference Board.
Furthermore, the drop in consumer confidence is materializing amid President Trump’s threats of additional tariffs against the US’s trading partners. The US President recently declared that his previously announced tariffs against Mexico and Canada will move forward in March after a postponement of their implementation in February.
CNBC reported that Stephanie Guichard, the board’s senior economist for global indicators, said the following about the emerging situation:
“Views of current labor market conditions weakened. Consumers became pessimistic about future business conditions and less optimistic about future income. Pessimism about future employment prospects worsened and reached a ten-month high.”
READ ALSO: 10 Best Video Game Stocks to Buy Now and 12 Best Education Stocks to Buy in 2025.
What Could Tariffs and Potentially Rising Inflation Mean for the Food Industry?
Economists and experts opine that the situation is unpredictable and worrisome. Trump’s tariffs may ignite another bubbling of inflation in a scenario where the Federal Reserve is weighing the odds of whether to slash interest rates further or hold steady as experts and policymakers chalk out the effects of the President’s aggressive trade and fiscal policies, as reported by CNBC.
Consumers are reflecting the worries of economists and experts, as the 12-month inflation expectations rose to 6%, up from 5.2% in the last month and considerably higher than the Fed’s steady goal of 2%. CNBC reported that Guichard opined:
“This increase likely reflected a mix of factors, including sticky inflation but also the recent jump in prices of key household staples like eggs and the expected impact of tariffs. There was a sharp increase in the mentions of trade and tariffs, back to a level unseen since 2019. Most notably, comments on the current administration and its policies dominated the responses.”
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent rang caution bells regarding “sticky” inflation and the potential for slow growth. He attributed the cause to former President Biden’s administration, saying that he fostered an economy too dependent on government spending. He said the government’s plan now is to develop a more diverse economy through deregulation, tax cuts, and tariffs. However, such a scenario is likely to have adverse effects on the food industry. Economists believe that such aggressive policies may drive the cost of food, apparel, toys, and appliances. CNBC reported that Bessent said:
“The previous administration’s over-reliance on excessive government spending and overbearing regulation left us with an economy that may have exhibited some reasonable metrics but ultimately was brittle underneath, and heading for an unstable equilibrium.”
Our Methodology
We sifted through stock screeners, online rankings, and ETFs to compile a list of food stocks with a forward P/E ratio of less than 15. We then selected the top 10 most popular stocks among elite hedge funds as of Q4 2024. We sourced the hedge fund sentiment data from Insider Monkey’s database. The list is sorted in ascending order of hedge fund sentiment.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here).
A busy shopping aisle filled with discounted items in a retail store.
Dollar General Corporation (NYSE:DG)
Dollar General (NYSE:DG) is a retailer that offers an elaborate array of merchandise in its stores, including consumables, beverages, seasonal items, and more. Its merchandise collection includes its own private brands and brands from manufacturers.
The company’s primary priority is investing in its business, including its existing store base and organic growth opportunities, such as strategic initiatives and new store expansion. Dollar General (NYSE:DG) has strong growth projections and estimates a 7% increase in cash flow and 11% growth in earnings annually over the coming years.
Through fiscal Q3 2024, the business generated cash flows of $2.2 billion from operations, an increase of 52% due to improvements in Dollar General’s (NYSE:DG) working capital position, mainly through inventory management. Its net sales grew by 5% to $10.2 billion in fiscal Q3 2024. The company raised its market share in both dollars and units in highly consumable and non-consumable product sales during the quarter. Its same-store sales also rose by 1.3%, attributed to 1.1% growth in the average transaction amount, including the average unit retail price per item and the increase in average items per basket.
Overall, DG ranks 5th on our list of the cheap food stocks to buy according to hedge funds. While we acknowledge the potential of DG as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than DG but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.