We recently compiled a list of the 10 High-Flying Stocks to Buy Now. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated (NYSE:DBD) stands against the other high-flying stocks.
The equity markets are priced for a soft landing. This means that even the fear of a mild recession might trigger a significant equity-market correction. The broader economic data aids the soft-landing thesis, but a slowdown consistent with soft landing might still lead to a downturn, explains Chief Investment Strategist of Russell Investments. As of now, a soft landing appears to be a more likely outcome. Inflation continues to decline, growth in wages has been moderating, and labor-market pressures are cooling. Importantly, the US Fed started easing before the clear signs of economic stress emerged.
Factors Driving Volatility- Caution for Investors
As per Allianz Global Investors, the interest rate cut by the US Fed in September made a watershed moment for the broader markets. While the opportunities for investors might reverse overnight, the company believes that it marks the beginning of the end of a period in which tech stocks and cash (or cash-like instruments) were the go-to instruments for market players.
Overall, the firm remains optimistic about the months ahead, while admitting that this period is a period of below-potential growth in which downside risks are expected to naturally increase. Geopolitics might act as a continuing source of volatility as and when events unfold in the Middle East and Ukraine. This can be a threat to another potential surge in energy prices. The risk of the US election looms large, with the policies of the winner expected to leave a lasting market impact. There are risks in Europe, where France and Germany are impacted by domestic issues while growth and financial stability remain vulnerable. The investment management firm believes that there is a danger of broader instability in the eurozone, with implications for bond markets.
The equity markets anticipate an aggregate of 135 bps of global cuts over the next year as compared to only 75 bps at the end of June. The firm expects that a significant chunk is expected in the US, more than what was expected in the soft-landing scenario. This might lead to a repricing of expectations, resulting in volatility.
Amidst such uncertainties, market investors are required to be focused on quality and growth companies. With global economic growth decelerating, this should not be treated as a bearish signal for the broader equities. As inflation and rates come down, the path is expected to be positive for quality and growth, with the investment management firm expecting such styles to outperform over the coming months. Even though the performance of the global economy remains highly dependent on whether the balance between rates, growth, and prices is achieved, some signs point towards a favorable outcome.
Since the final part of the year might see some volatility, looking selectively to some defensive options will ensure that portfolios remain as balanced as possible.
What Lies Ahead?
The technology stocks led the equity market rally for much of 2024, with investors seeing the AI euphoria in full effect. However, investors continue to question whether this enthusiasm has been exhausted or if there is any heat left. BlackRock believes that the momentum in technology is expected to continue and that the summer setback was just temporary. Having said that, the asset manager sees a greater differentiation throughout technology stocks.
The firm believes that earnings growth is expected to remain healthy for the technology sector broadly, as a result of the build-out of AI and a commitment to cost prudence from tech firms.
Morningstar believes that the rotation into small-cap and value stocks should continue to see a decent rally as each remains undervalued on an absolute basis and relative to the market valuation.
Our methodology
To list 10 High-Flying Stocks to Buy Now, we conducted an extensive online search and sifted through online rankings and different screeners. After extracting the list of 20-30 stocks, we filtered out the stocks having the highest upside potential and which have performed well on a YTD basis. Finally, we ranked the stocks according to their upside potential, as of October 1.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
A software developer looking out a window while confidently typing away on their laptop.
Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated (NYSE:DBD)
% Increase on a YTD Basis: ~52%
Expected Upside Potential: 33.50%
Number of Hedge Fund Holdings: 18
Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated (NYSE:DBD) is engaged in providing software and hardware services for financial and retail industries.
Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated (NYSE:DBD) continues to target a free cash flow conversion rate of more than 25% of adjusted EBITDA. In Q2 2024, the company’s retail service business saw healthy growth, thanks to the expansion of the install base and improved product profitability. Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated (NYSE:DBD) remains optimistic regarding long-term investment in self-service and automation at the checkout. In the recent earnings call, the company highlighted a strong value creation story, with a $1 billion product backlog and gross margin expansion. Also, it expects to achieve greater FCF conversion over the upcoming 12 to 24 months.
The company’s management is optimistic about the potential for growth in recycling technology, primarily among smaller banks in North America and large government banks in Brazil. Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated (NYSE:DBD) focuses on strengthening its business model to drive more profitable and linear revenue. This should enable the company to optimize working capital and report more consistent cash flow on a quarter-by-quarter basis.
Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated (NYSE:DBD) raised its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance to between $435 million to $450 million. This improvement reflects higher profitability for the year as a result of continuous improvement efforts.
DA Davidson upped its target price on the shares of Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated (NYSE:DBD) from $55.00 to $65.00, giving a “Buy” rating on 9th August. At the end of Q2 2024, 18 hedge funds reported owning stakes in Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated (NYSE:DBD) according to Insider Monkey’s database.
Overall DBD ranks 6th on our list of the high-flying stocks to buy now. While we acknowledge the potential of DBD as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some deeply undervalued AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for a deeply undervalued AI stock that is more promising than DBD but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.