We recently compiled the list of 25 Best Dividend Aristocrats Stocks According to Analysts. Since Chevron Corporation (NYSE:CVX) ranks higher on our list, we have analyzed the stock in detail.
The age-old debate of investing in dividend growth or high-yield stocks continues to reappear within the dividend investing realm. Between these two, dividend growth is currently the favored option in the market as investors seek out strategies to grow their income over time. In this regard, investors turn to dividend aristocrats, which are the companies that have raised their payouts for 25 consecutive years or more. These stocks have delivered strong returns over the years regardless of market conditions. Between February 2005 and December 2023, dividend aristocrats delivered a 12.50% return in falling interest rate periods and an 11.5% return in rising interest rate periods, according to data by Bloomberg.
Numerous analysts have pointed out the long-term potential of dividend growth stocks, a sentiment echoed by Warren Buffett’s investment in Coca-Cola. Back in August 1994, Berkshire Hathaway completed its acquisition of 400 million shares in the company, worth $1.3 billion. Berkshire initially received a cash dividend of $75 million from Coca-Cola in 1994, the amount which surged to $704 million in 2022. This shows a remarkable growth potential of dividend-paying investments over the long term.
With investors showing a growing preference for dividend-paying stocks, major tech companies started initiating their dividend policies this year. Mark Iong, an equity fund manager at Homestead Advisers, expressed his approval of this move by tech companies in one of his recent interviews with Bloomberg. Here are some comments from the analyst:
“Dividends will be table-stakes for big tech going forward. I think if you don’t pay one, it will now be taken as a sign your business is more volatile. What’s exciting is they are doing dividends and buybacks simultaneously, while also cutting costs and growing, which is them stepping on the pedal for profits across the board.”
Not limited to the tech sector alone, companies across the broader market are showing a strong commitment to dividends this year. Though these equities lagged behind the market last year, their outlook remains strong this year. According to a recent report by S&P Dow Jones Indices, in the first quarter of 2024, companies in the index paid $151.6 billion in dividends, up from $146.8 billion paid during the same period last year. In addition, 796 companies reported dividend hikes during the quarter, amounting collectively to $22.7 billion. Howard Silverblatt, Senior Index Analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices, expects that the index will report a 6% year-over-year increase in dividend payments in 2024.
Now, let’s take a look at some of the best dividend aristocrat stocks to buy according to analysts.
Speedcurve Performance Analytics
Our Methodology:
For our list, we first scanned a list of the best dividend aristocrat stocks, which are the companies that have raised their dividends for 25 consecutive years or more. From this group, we picked stocks with a projected upside potential of over 10% based on analyst price targets. The stocks are ranked according to their upside potential, as of May 26. We also measured hedge fund sentiment around each stock according to Insider Monkey’s database of 920 funds as of Q1 2024. Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points. (see more details here).
Chevron Corporation (NYSE:CVX)
Upside Potential as of May 26: 18.6%
American energy giant Chevron Corporation (NYSE:CVX) has raised its dividends for 37 years in a row. Moreover, the company has paid uninterrupted dividends to shareholders since 1984. It currently offers a quarterly dividend of $1.63 per share which gives its stock a yield of 4.13%. Its dividend growth and solid yield make it one of the best dividend aristocrat stocks on our list.
Oil Companies are generally known for paying dividends even in bad times when oil prices are down and they are generating less cash. Usually, in such periods, these companies prefer to take on debt and divest assets in order to maintain their payouts. Chevron Corporation (NYSE:CVX) is no exception to this rule. Crude prices have been range-bound in the past several months and they are lower than their $120 highs recorded in 2022. However, at around $79 per barrel, WTI is higher from 2020 lows, when lockdowns due to COVID led to an oversupply of oil.
The current dividend yield makes Chevron Corporation (NYSE:CVX) more attractive than Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE:XOM), which is also featured on this list of best dividend aristocrats to buy. At the same time, the company’s debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19 makes it more attractive than Exxon. The stock did have a 13% drop in October on the back of weaker-than-expected results but has since rebounded by 14%. Chevron is also currently in the process of acquiring Hess Corp (NYSE:HES), with the latter’s shareholders recently voting in favor of the deal. However, the deal still has to be approved by regulators. Moreover, there are issues surrounding Hess’s share in the Stabroek block in Guyana, the majority stake in which is owned by Exxon, and which is the main reason why Chevron launched the acquisition in the first place.
As of the end of the first quarter of 2024, 62 hedge funds tracked by Insider Monkey held stakes in Chevron Corporation (NYSE:CVX), down from 72 in the previous quarter. These stakes have a total value of over $23.2 billion. Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway owned the largest stake in the company at the end of March, having disclosed ownership of 122.98 million shares in its latest 13F filing.
Overall CVX ranks 9th among the best dividend aristocrat stocks according to analysts. It also ranks behind Exxon. You can visit 25 Best Dividend Aristocrats Stocks According to Analysts to see other dividend aristocrats that are on analysts’ radar. While we acknowledge the potential of dividend growth stocks, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is as promising as NVIDIA but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
