We recently published a list of 12 Best Beauty Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Bath & Body Works, Inc. (NYSE:BBWI) stands against other best beauty stocks to buy according to hedge funds.
According to a report by McKinsey, in 2023, the global beauty market expanded by 10%, reaching $446 billion in retail sales, mostly due to price hikes rather than volume advances. North America and Europe grew steadily, but the Middle East & Africa (18%) and Latin America (17%) grew at the quickest rates, with China trailing behind at 3% because of poor consumer sentiment. The market is expected to reach $590 billion by 2028 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6%, with growing markets and Asia-Pacific driving development. Skincare (44% of the market) had stable growth, while fragrance (14%) was the category with the quickest rate of growth, driven by luxury niche brands. Beauty businesses must employ premiumization, innovation, and skin care-infused cosmetics to transition from price-driven to volume-driven growth to maintain momentum, especially in high-growing markets like the Middle East and India.
A significant contributor to the American economy, the beauty industry generated $94.36 billion in sales in 2023 and employed 4.6 million people in manufacturing, retail, and distribution. Costs increased by 6.5% due to inflation, which affected customer spending patterns and raised demand for reasonably priced “dupes.” In 2023, e-commerce beauty sales reached $21.3 billion, a reflection of changing consumer preferences. Despite economic downturns, consumers continue to make little luxury purchases, a phenomenon known as the “lipstick effect.” Private equity investors show their confidence in the potential of the beauty industry by continuing to invest in scalable beauty brands. Disruptions in the supply chain have pushed up near-shoring initiatives, which have helped create jobs in the United States. DC Advisory states that “the beauty sector’s adaptability ensures long-term relevance and economic impact.”
Recently, as the holiday season approached, the U.S. beauty business was still doing well, with mass market sales up 2% year over year and the prestige market expanding 7% to $22.8 billion, according to Circana. Lipcare sales increased 21% in dollars and 23% in units, due to high demand for tinted balms and oils. As a result of consumers’ price sensitivity, mid-range skincare brands are expanding six times faster than luxury skincare. Sales of fragrances surged 14%, with premium brands up 15%, while prestige hair care climbed 8%, driven by style and scalp care items. According to 29% of customers, the Christmas season is a critical time to purchase beauty presents. Larissa Jensen, global beauty industry advisor at Circana stated:
“Prestige beauty epitomizes the indulgence in little luxuries and acts as an indicator of the consumer mindset for the beauty industry overall,” “This holiday season, its resiliency will be tested. There has been some pullback in spending throughout 2024, but big increases in prestige beauty spend from higher-income households with children under 18-years-old indicate parents are indulging Gen Alpha with these products. The social media virality of this new generation of beauty enthusiasts shows no sign of slowing and could be a pivotal holiday growth driver.”
The increasing integration of artificial intelligence (AI) appears to have affected every business, and the beauty industry is no different. AI is already changing the way beauty brands function, and its impact is only going to increase. According to a survey by Perfect Corp., 77% of experts in the beauty industry think that conversational AI agents—like chatbots and virtual assistants—offer unparalleled possibilities for customizing encounters. These tools enable accurate answers to questions, individualized product recommendations, and immediate, round-the-clock customer support.
A female customer browsing a variety of body care products in a retail store.
Methodology
We sifted through holdings of beauty ETFs and online rankings to form an initial list of 20 beauty stocks. From the resultant dataset, we chose 12 stocks with the highest number of hedge fund investors, using Insider Monkey’s database of 900 hedge funds in Q3 2024 to gauge hedge fund sentiment for stocks. We have used the stock’s Revenue Growth Rate (year-over-year) as a tie-breaker in case two or more stocks have the same number of hedge funds invested.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points. (see more details here).
Bath & Body Works, Inc. (NYSE:BBWI)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 36
One of the Best Beauty Stocks, Bath & Body Works, Inc. (NYSE:BBWI) is a business of scented personal care products and specialized home fragrances that goes by the names White Barn, C.O. Bigelow, and Bath & Body Works. It is an established business among consumers seeking fragrances, personal care creams and soaps, candles, air fresheners, house fragrances, and other flavoring items. The leading brand in personal care and home fragrance has 480 franchises internationally, in addition to 1,850 outlets in North America.
Third-quarter 2024 net sales for Bath & Body Works, Inc. (NYSE:BBWI) were $1.61 billion, up by 3% YoY from $1.56 billion in Q3 2023. Its targeted implementation of the five E strategy and strategic investments are driving the business toward long-term, profitable growth. Elevating the company’s brand and core products, interacting creatively with its core clientele, expanding into new markets and adjacent areas, improving the omnichannel experience, and boosting operational excellence and efficiency are the five E’s of its strategy. In fiscal quarter three of 2024, it made progress in each of these areas.
In Q3 of 2024, Bath & Body Works, Inc. (NYSE:BBWI)’s $0.49 earnings per diluted share were above the company’s forecast. Net income was $106 million, while operating income was $218 million, up from $221 million the previous year. Adjusted earnings per share increased to $0.48 after excluding a one-time gain in 2023. The company raised its projection for fiscal year 2024, predicting a 1.7% to 2.5% fall in full-year net sales and an adjusted EPS of $3.15 to $3.28. A calendar shift is anticipated to cause net sales to drop 4.5% to 6.5% in Q4 2024, with an expected EPS of $1.94 to $2.07. Strong innovation, marketing expenditures, and a dynamic U.S.-based supply chain were highlighted by CEO Gina Boswell as the main sources of momentum as the holiday season approached.
Another priority for Bath & Body Works, Inc. (NYSE:BBWI) is store expansion. The conclusion of fiscal Q3 2024 saw the opening of its 500th overseas location in London. Its partner store openings for the year are on schedule, with approximately 50 net new stores.
The price objective for Bath & Body Works, Inc. (NYSE:BBWI) was increased by Wells Fargo from $32 to $38. Although Bath & Body Works’ inflection is finally beginning to take shape, the company claims that the improved top line comes at the sacrifice of margin. Wells continues, “All in, better than feared with numbers going up, but the debate probably carries on.”
Overall, BBWI ranks 9th on our list of best beauty stocks to buy according to hedge funds. While we acknowledge the potential for BBWI to grow, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than BBWI but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
