We recently compiled a list of the 12 Hot Oil Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Antero Resources Corporation (NYSE:AR) stands against the other hot oil stocks.
The United States of America is currently producing more oil and gas than any other country in the history of the world, with no signs of a slowdown. The country’s oil production has surged by almost 50% in the last ten years, reaching just over 13.45 million barrels per day in October 2024.
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These numbers could now pump even higher after President Donald Trump has held up the oil industry as a centerpiece of his broader economic mission, with claims that ‘we will drill, baby, drill’. The president has also signed executive orders declaring a national energy emergency and withdrawing from the landmark 2015 Paris climate agreement, the international pact to fight global warming. Trump has also swept aside the freeze on LNG export permits and signed orders to promote oil and gas development in Alaska, though the industry is unlikely to expand there anytime soon.
These aggressive steps have raised concerns of higher US output in a market that is already widely expected to be oversupplied this year. As per the International Energy Agency’s recent market outlook, growth in the global demand for oil is expected to slow down in the coming years as energy transitions advance, putting downward pressure on prices. The US Energy Information Administration stated earlier this month that it expects Brent crude oil prices to fall 8% to average $74 a barrel in 2025, then fall further to $66 a barrel in 2026.
So it still remains to be seen whether the US oil majors will answer the President’s call and shell out the big bucks required to heavily boost their production. Instead, companies appear to have shifted their focus from aggressive growth to keeping their shareholders happy through fat dividends and generous share buybacks. Despite the falling oil prices, more and more fossil fuel companies are returning a bigger chunk of their profits to shareholders, signaling a clear priority shift away from reinvestment in oilfield development. Several oil bigwigs have even resorted to borrowing to make sure they leave their shareholders satisfied, as revealed by Bloomberg that four of the world’s five oil ‘supermajors’ saw fit to borrow $15 billion to fund share buybacks between July and September 2024.
Therefore, according to a recent survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, only 14% of oil and gas executives plan to significantly increase capital spending this year, while more of them have plans to cut spending instead of ramping it up. But this doesn’t mean that America’s oil and gas sector doesn’t stand to win with Donald Trump in the Oval Office, especially since it poured more than $75 million in donations to his campaign. The American Petroleum Institute, the most powerful oil lobby in the United States, has outlined a wishlist of 70 policy actions it is seeking from Republicans, including issuing a new 5-year offshore leasing program and repealing environmental standards on vehicle emissions.
Methodology:
To collect data for this article, we used a stock screener to pick oil stocks that have gained over 20% in the last 12 months, as of the close of January 18, 2024. From this group, we picked the 12 companies with the highest number of hedge fund investors, according to Insider Monkey’s database of Q3 2024. The stocks are arranged in ascending order of the number of hedge funds invested in them. Following are the Hottest Oil Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds.
At Insider Monkey we are obsessed with the stocks that hedge funds pile into. The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
A fleet of tanker trucks transporting oil and natural gas, amidst the backdrop of open fields.
Antero Resources Corporation (NYSE:AR)
Gain Over Past 12 Months: 82.99%
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 39
Antero Resources Corporation (NYSE:AR) is an independent oil and gas company that acquires, explores, develops, and produces natural gas, NGLs, and oil in the Appalachian Basin.
Antero Resources Corporation (NYSE:AR) has recently witnessed significant developments in its financial strategy. The company reported a 22% reduction in drilling time and an 8% decrease in total well costs for Q3 of 2024. It also reduced its drilling and completion capital budget to $650 million for 2024, a 28% decrease from 2023, while holding production flat. AR’s ability to maintain production while reducing capital spend is a significant achievement in the capital-intensive fossil fuel industry.
Antero Resources Corporation’s (NYSE:AR) export business also seems to be going well, thanks to its unconstrained access to international markets via the Marcus Hook liquids terminal, as well as its strategic decision last year to increase its exposure to spot international prices. The company reported average export volumes of over 1.7 million barrels a day for the first nine months of 2024, setting up for another record export year. Since 2021, exports have increased by 46%, driven by resilient international demand, particularly from Asia.
Antero Resources Corporation (NYSE:AR) is also benefiting greatly from the rising spot demand for America’s LNG, with the country being a competitive low-cost provider. Almost 75% of the company’s gas volumes are sold to markets on the Gulf Coast, providing it with direct exposure to the rising LNG export trend.
Shares of Antero Resources Corporation (NYSE:AR) were held by 39 hedge funds in the IM database at the end of Q3 2024, with Sourcerock Group holding the largest stake of over 6.12 million shares, valued at $175.47 million.
Overall AR ranks 6th on our list of the best hot oil stocks to buy according to hedge funds. While we acknowledge the potential for AR as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than AR but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
