We recently compiled a list of the 8 Most Profitable Large Cap Stocks To Invest In. In this article, we are going to take a look at where American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) stands against the other profitable large cap stocks.
US Stocks Surge as Economic Outlook Brightens
In the second half of 2024, the financial markets are navigating a complex landscape marked by volatility and cautious optimism. Recent reports indicate that the US economy has shown resilience, with growth rates remaining solid despite concerns about inflation and potential recession. Analysts from JPMorgan Asset Management highlight that the US economy has shown strong momentum in recent months, fueled by resilient consumer spending. Analysts suggest that with few excesses in cyclical sectors, the likelihood of a recession triggered by internal factors remains low. Moderate consumer spending is expected to support steady growth into 2025. However, with the upcoming US election, shifting monetary policies, and ongoing geopolitical tensions, there are external risks that could impact this expansion.
On October 9, 2024, US stocks rose for the second consecutive session, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average closing at record highs. The S&P 500 climbed 0.71% to finish at 5,792.04, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.6%, closing at 18,291.62. The Dow surged by 431.63 points, or 1.03%, to settle at 42,512.00 and at a record close. Technology stocks led the rally, reflecting strong investor sentiment despite ongoing geopolitical concerns.
The market’s positive momentum followed the release of minutes from the Federal Reserve’s September meeting, which disclosed a preference among many participants for a larger rate cut. Mike Bailey, director of research at FBB Capital Partners, noted that the Fed’s actions are a key driver behind the market’s performance.
Overall, Wall Street is showing resilience, supported by optimism regarding the Fed’s ability to manage a soft landing for the economy, especially after the September jobs report showed strong growth in the labor market.
In a recent interview on CNBC’s “Closing Bell,” Malcolm Ethridge, managing partner at Capital Area Planning Group, shared his insights on the current state of the markets, particularly regarding mega-cap stocks and the impact of artificial intelligence (AI). Ethridge emphasized that the ongoing bull market, which has seen a remarkable 60% increase over the past two years, is likely to continue, driven primarily by advancements in AI technology. He noted that AI has demonstrated significant staying power, with companies like Microsoft and NVIDIA leading the charge. Ethridge posed an intriguing question: which stock will emerge as the next major player in the ongoing AI arms race?
Ethridge pointed out that mega-cap companies have not relied heavily on borrowing for growth. As the Federal Reserve begins to cut rates, he believes this will enable more companies to issue debt or borrow and invest in AI, potentially fueling further market expansion. He cautioned, however, that historical norms may not apply in this unique economic environment shaped by the COVID-19 pandemic. Overall, Ethridge remains optimistic about mega-cap stocks leading the way.
Methodology
To compile our list of the 8 most profitable large-cap stocks to invest in, we used stock screeners from Finviz and Yahoo Finance. First, we defined large-cap stocks as those with a market capitalization between $20 billion and $200 billion. Next, we focused on profitability by filtering for stocks that had an estimated 5-year EPS growth rate of over 10%. We sorted our results based on market capitalization and picked the top 20 stocks.
From this initial list of 20 profitable large-cap stocks, we further narrowed our choices to stocks that had positive trailing twelve-month (TTM) net income and stocks that have grown their net income positively over the past 5 years. To ensure the reliability of our findings, we consulted reputable sources such as SeekingAlpha, which provided insights into the net income compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the past five years, and Macrotrends, which offered information on TTM net income.
Finally, from this list of large-cap stocks that met our criteria, we focused on the top 8 stocks most favored by institutional investors. Data for the hedge fund sentiment surrounding each stock was taken from Insider Monkey’s database of 912 elite hedge funds. The 8 most profitable large-cap stocks to invest in are ranked below in ascending order based on the number of hedge funds holding stakes in them as of Q2 2024.
Why do we care about what hedge funds do? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
A close-up view of a payment terminal, capturing the sophistication of a payment network.
American Express Company (NYSE:AXP)
TTM Net Income: $9.83 Billion
5-Year Net Income CAGR: 7.12%
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 68
American Express Company (NYSE:AXP), also known as Amex, is a leading American bank holding company that specializes in financial services, particularly payment cards. The company operates an online-only banking division without physical branches. Amex’s integrated platform includes card issuance, merchant acquiring, and a robust card network, catering to consumers, small businesses, and large corporations worldwide. American Express cards are widely accepted at millions of merchants globally. It is one of the most valuable fintech companies. American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) also offers a range of travel-related services.
The company has significantly grown the scale of its business since the end of 2021, with revenues increasing by nearly 50% and Card Member spending rising by almost 40%. The company added around 23 million new cards and over 30 million merchant locations. This growth is driven by a strong customer base, effective expense management, and strategic investments in their Membership Model.
Amex is committed to its strategy of continually updating its products, focusing on enhancing the value of its premium cards to appeal to customers of all ages and backgrounds. This approach allows American Express to attract many new premium card members and increase engagement with current customers. American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) is on track to refresh around 40 of its products worldwide by the end of this year.
In the second quarter of 2024, American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) reported record quarterly revenue of $16.3 billion, an 8% increase year-over-year, largely due to higher net interest income, increased Card Member spending, and strong card fee growth. Net income for the quarter reached $3.0 billion, or $4.15 per share, marking a significant rise from the previous year. The company reported earnings per share of $4.15, up 44% year-over-year. This included a $0.66 gain from the sale of Accertify. When excluding the Accertify gain, adjusted earnings were still up 21% compared to the previous year.
The company’s board of directors recently announced a quarterly dividend of $0.70 per common share. This dividend will be paid on November 8, 2024, to shareholders who are on record as of October 4, 2024.
Moreover, the company plans to invest around $6 billion in marketing this year, up around $800 million compared to 2023. American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) is committed to growing its core business.
This combination of robust financial performance and strategic initiatives makes AXP a compelling stock for investors looking for growth opportunities. American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) has managed to grow its top line at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.65% over the past five years, while its bottom line has increased at a CAGR of 7.12% during the same period.
According to Insider Monkey’s Q2 database of over 900 hedge funds, 68 hedge funds held stakes in American Express Company (NYSE:AXP). As of June 30, Berkshire Hathaway holds 151.61 million shares of the company, valued at over $35 billion, making it AXP’s most prominent shareholder.
Overall AXP ranks 8th on our list of the most profitable large cap stocks to invest in. While we acknowledge the potential of AXP as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than AXP but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
