We recently published a list of Mario Gabelli Stock Portfolio: 10 Best Stocks to Buy. In this article, we are going to take a look at where American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) stands against the other Mario Gabelli-approved stocks.
GAMCO Investors, Inc., formerly Gabelli Asset Management Company, is a prominent American firm, which has its headquarters in Rye, New York. The company specializes in offering investment advice and brokerage services to mutual funds, institutional clients, and select investors. The company was founded and is majority-owned by Mario Gabelli, who earned over $750 million in compensation over the past several years.
Veteran investor Mario Gabelli has earned millions of dollars by betting on the unloved. He likes to invest in companies that are NOT being followed or that are NOT being covered by Wall Street analysts. If the companies are not forming part of an index, it makes them even more appealing.
The hedge fund manager remains committed to active value investing. His investment philosophy of focusing on value stocks over growth stocks prevailed even when passive-index funds and Nasdaq “FAANG” dominated the market during the US Fed’s loose interest-rate policies. His investing secret is simple– “Find a good business having good management, buy the stock at a reasonable price, and then hold that stock for the long term.”
As per Insider Monkey’s 2Q 2024 database, out of the total investment portfolio, ~21.7% accounts for Industrial goods.
What Lies Ahead for the US Stock Market as Per Gabelli Funds
Gabelli Funds believes that the US Presidential election is expected to add to market volatility in 2H 2024. At the same time, the much-anticipated rate cuts in September might give a boost to rotation into areas of the market that have lagged during the year. The investment management firm sees increased volatility in the election. That being said, the economic weakness and volatility are expected to be offset by the underlying rotation and lower rates.
Gabelli seems to be optimistic about the broader US economy. He believes that companies have healthy cash flows and that gross margins are better. The only thing that might weigh over the US equities is the geopolitical risk.
Gabelli recently appeared in the prestigious Barron’s Roundtable discussion. He believes that World GDP, which is measured by the International Monetary Fund, is expected to be ~$115 trillion in 2025. The U.S. is 26%, and China is 17%. The consumer makes up for ~70% of the U.S. economy, and industrial spending accounts for ~12%.
Mario Gabelli mentioned that the US Fed is focused on the four R’s. The first is keeping “rates high for longer.” The second R is “continued runoff of the central bank’s balance sheet,” now occurring at a $60 billion pace monthly, down from ~$95 billion in early 2024. Next, the US Fed continues to make efforts to “reduce aggregate demand.” However, the higher government spending continues to offset these efforts. Finally, the Chairman continues to be “rhetoric about bringing the inflation down.”
Mergers and acquisitions (M&As) and other financial engineering strategies are expected to ramp up substantially, for numerous reasons. Gabelli believes that several private equity funds are about to see the end of their 10-year life cycles, and limited partners (LPs) need liquidity. Therefore, this situation will lead to higher sales. Mario Gabelli expects M&A to pick up globally in 2H 2024.
While the S&P 500 is up over ~15% on a YTD basis, the veteran investor believes that stocks can compound at ~8% annual growth rate in the upcoming years, significantly higher than the earnings from fixed-income securities.
Mario Gabelli is Optimistic About These Sectors
Mario Gabelli seems to gain interest in the sports franchises. This is because sports will remain central to linear television and streaming. The buzz is that media companies are shelling out hefty sums for broadcasting and streaming rights.
Moving on, the veteran hedge fund manager believes that artificial intelligence is a great technology, just like other market experts.
Gabelli’s next pick is natural gas. He believes that, over the next few years, there is a huge potential for prices to increase. This is because some producers are capping wells or producing less and demand continues to pick up as compared to power generators and liquefied natural gas exports.
At Insider Monkey we are obsessed with the stocks that hedge funds pile into. The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
A close-up view of a payment terminal, capturing the sophistication of a payment network.
American Express Company (NYSE:AXP)
GAMCO Investors’ Stake Value: $131.12 million
Percentage of GAMCO Investors’ 13F Portfolio: 1.42%
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 68
American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) is a global financial institution, that provides consumers and businesses with charge and credit card payment products.
The payments are shifting to electronic forms, which continues to benefit American Express Company (NYSE:AXP). The company has a strong brand value, which attracts loyal and highly profitable customers. Its growth should continue to be helped by healthy international activity, and new cardmembers, mainly the youth.
In 2Q 2024, American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) saw stable growth of 6% YoY in billings, healthy new card acquisitions of 3.3 million, and double-digit growth in card fee revenues for 24th consecutive quarter.
The network effects should continue to act as a tailwind for the company’s business. The company has ~150 million credit cards in circulation, with millions of merchants accepting such cards. Since 2021 end, the company has grown its business significantly, improving revenues by ~50% and card member spending by ~40%. The company added ~23 million new cards and more than 30 million merchant locations.
The payment volume, card fees, and interest income on card loans should be able to support overall revenue growth moving forward. Apart from these drivers, healthy loan underwriting and operating leverage can fuel its earnings growth.
Analysts at Royal Bank of Canada increased their target price on the shares of American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) from $265.00 to $267.00. They gave an “Outperform” rating on 22nd July. According to Insider Monkey, 68 hedge funds were bullish on American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) as of 2Q 2024.
Artisan Partners, an investment management company, released its first quarter 2024 investor letter. Here is what the fund said about American Express Company (NYSE:AXP):
“American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) shares rose 22% this quarter. This is an interesting case study given our earlier discussion about inflation. American Express operates one of the largest credit card networks in the world. Its revenue is largely a function of a fee rate applied to the dollar value of goods and services that are transacted through its network. That dollar value is, of course, nominal. As inflation pushes up the value of those goods and services as it has for the past few years, American Express will capture that value through its fee structure. The past few years inflation has clearly been a benefit. Aside from its inherent inflation protection, the business is a very strong one. Payments continue to shift toward electronic forms, benefiting American Express. It also has a strong brand that attracts loyal and highly profitable customers that are the envy of the industry. Recent results have been strong with revenues moving nicely ahead of GDP.”
Overall AXP ranks 6th on our list of best stocks to buy according to Mario Gabelli. While we acknowledge the potential of AXP as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some deeply undervalued AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for a deeply undervalued AI stock that is more promising than AXP but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
READ NEXT: $30 Trillion Opportunity: 15 Best Humanoid Robot Stocks to Buy According to Morgan Stanley and Jim Cramer Says NVIDIA ‘Has Become A Wasteland’.
Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
