We recently published a list of 10 Best Low Beta Tech Stocks to Buy According to Analysts. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Akamai Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:AKAM) stands against other best low beta tech stocks to buy according to analysts.
The equity markets continue to experience volatility due to geopolitical tensions, trade uncertainties, earnings fluctuations, inflationary pressures, and tightening monetary policy. In such an environment, low-beta stocks offer investors stability, steady returns, and protection during market downturns, making them a valuable component of a well-balanced investment portfolio. For those seeking to mitigate risk while still achieving consistent growth, focusing on low-beta stocks can be a strategic approach.
Beta is a key metric used to measure a stock’s sensitivity to overall market movements and its exposure to market risk. It is calculated by comparing the security’s returns to a benchmark index while adjusting for market volatility. A beta of 1.0 indicates that the stock moves in tandem with the market, implying an equal level of risk. A beta below 1.0 suggests lower volatility and reduced risk, making such stocks more defensive. Conversely, a beta above 1.0 signals greater price fluctuations and higher risk. By understanding beta, investors can better anticipate how a stock may respond to market changes and incorporate it into portfolio risk management.
How to Use Beta to Enhance Investment Strategy
In a report on equity betas, John Hancock Investment Management (JHIM) highlighted that beta is not inherently good or bad; its effectiveness depends on an investor’s objectives. A beta of 1.0 is suitable for those investors aiming to match overall market performance, while a beta below 1.0 is ideal for capital preservation and stability. Investors focused on growth, however, may prefer stocks with a beta above 1.0, as these tend to experience higher volatility but also offer greater return potential.
High-beta stocks (beta >1.0) are typically found in growth sectors such as technology, energy, and small-cap stocks, where price swings are more pronounced. Low-beta stocks (beta <1.0), on the other hand, are often value stocks within defensive industries such as utilities and consumer staples, providing stability even in turbulent market conditions.
Impact of AI Investment on Beta and Market Cyclicality
A mid-2024 study on equity beta by the FTSE Russell Global Investment Research team examined significant shifts across various industries, particularly in semiconductors. The increasing investment in AI technologies has driven heightened investor activity and increased risk exposure in the sector. Historically, semiconductor stocks had a beta ranging between 1.0 and 1.2, reflecting their cyclical nature. However, since late 2021, beta in this sector has surged, reaching 1.7 by July 2024, due to AI’s expanding influence in the technology space. The research highlights how structural changes, such as the AI boom, can reshape market dynamics and impact investment risk assessments.
Beyond semiconductors, the study also underscores broader shifts in industry cyclicality over the past five years. Some of these changes stem from long-term economic transformations, like the rise of AI and the shift to green energy, while others result from short-term economic shocks. Certain sectors have experienced rapid changes, altering their classification as either cyclical or defensive investments. The FTSE Russell team advises investors to remain vigilant about these evolving market trends when assessing investment opportunities and managing portfolio risks. Understanding how these shifts affect market behaviour is crucial for successfully positioning investments in different economic cycles.
Our Methodology
To identify the 10 best low-beta tech stocks recommended by analysts, we first screened all U.S.-listed technology companies with a market capitalization exceeding $2.0 billion. From this selection, we filtered stocks with a beta below 1.0, indicating lower volatility (we used 5-year average beta). Beyond beta, we applied additional criteria, including a return on equity (ROE) of at least 15% and a long-term debt-to-equity ratio below 1.0, ensuring that we chose companies with financial stability. We then narrowed the list further to companies with a potential upside of 10% or more. Ultimately, we sorted the top 10 stocks based on their beta, positioning the lowest beta stock at the top. Additionally, we also included data on hedge fund holdings in these companies as of Q4 2024 to provide further insight into investor interest.
Note: All pricing data is as of market close on March 3.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here).
A close-up of a person using a laptop with cloud solutions in the background.
Akamai Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:AKAM)
Beta: 0.68
Potential Upside: 30%
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 37
Akamai Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:AKAM) is a global content delivery network (CDN) and cloud services provider, ensuring fast content delivery while safeguarding against cyber threats. The company’s platform enhances website performance and secures online data.
In its Q4 2024 earnings report released on February 20, Akamai Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:AKAM) posted revenue of $1.02 billion, reflecting 3% year-over-year growth (adjusted for FX) and aligning with expectations. Segment-wise, security and compute revenue saw a 16% increase, though this was partially offset by an 18% decline in delivery revenue. The company is currently undergoing a multi-year transition from a CDN pioneer to a cybersecurity and cloud computing firm. For the quarter, earnings per share stood at $1.66, exceeding consensus estimates by 9%. However, its 2025 guidance came in slightly below expectations, as management cited political challenges faced by its largest customer, which is shifting toward a do-it-yourself strategy. This transition is expected to impact revenue growth by 1%-2% over the next few years.
Following the earnings report, Susquehanna analyst Shyam Patil maintained a Positive rating on Akamai Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:AKAM) but lowered his price target from $110 to $105. While he acknowledged solid Q4 results, he noted that the 2025 outlook appeared soft due to forex headwinds, traffic growth trends, and challenges related to the company’s largest customer. Despite these concerns, he remained optimistic about long-term growth, as management reaffirmed its commitment to achieving its 3-5-year revenue target. Similarly, Oppenheimer analyst Timothy Horan maintained an Outperform rating but reduced his price target from $120 to $116.
Overall, AKAM ranks 3rd on our list of best low beta tech stocks to buy according to analysts. While we acknowledge the potential of AKAM as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than AKAM but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.