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Is Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) an Overbought AI Stock in 2024?

We recently published a list of the Top 10 Overbought AI Stocks in 2024. Since Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) ranks 7th on the list, it deserves a deeper look.

The second half of 2024 is here and rate cuts from the Federal Reserve remain elusive, with warnings about valuations and AI-led market hype growing louder. A number of notable Wall Street analysts have recently warned that the markets remains more concentrated than ever where just a few stocks account for most of the gains, thanks to their dominance in the AI industry. Many also believe the market is up for a correction as it has entered the overbought territory. Financial services company BTIG recently said in a report that the world’s fifth-largest exchange-traded fund by assets under management (AUM), QQQ Trust Series 1, now trades “well into” overbought territory based on its Relative Strength Index technical indicator.  QQQ tracks  the Nasdaq-100 Index and it’s not surprising to see the ETF showing signs of being overbought as more and more investors pile into mega-cap tech stocks in order to ride the AI bandwagon.

For this article we scanned the holdings of the Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 ETF and picked top technology holdings of the fund with higher Relative Strength Index (RSI) values. Usually, an RSI value of 60 and above shows a stock is overbought. We have also mentioned the number of hedge fund investors with these stocks. Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD)

Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 124

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) has a PE ratio of 233.67, which is even higher than Nvidia. It’s a key part of the QQQ ETF, which, according to BTIG, has entered the overbought territory.

Morgan Stanley’s Joseph Moore said while he likes AMD’s story, he sees “limited upward revision potential for AI from here and we move to EW, with a preference for NVDA and AVGO among large cap AI semis.”

Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) is making waves with its new AI PC offerings. Earlier this month, Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) revealed new AMD Ryzen™ AI 300 Series processors equipped with Neural Processing Unit (NPU)1. Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) has also introduced next-gen AMD Ryzen™ 9000 Series processors for desktops. Citi recently said in a report that Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) is expected to take about 10% of the data center GPU market. This market share would be worth about $15 billion according to Citi’s calculations. Citi analyst Christopher Danely reiterated a Buy rating on the stock with a $176 price target.

Meridian Contrarian Fund stated the following regarding Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) in its fourth quarter 2023 investor letter:

“Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) is a global semiconductor chip maker specializing in central processing units (CPUs), which are considered the core component of most computing devices, and graphics processing units (GPUs), which accelerate operations running on CPUs. We invested in 2018 when it was a mid-cap value stock plagued by many years of underperformance due to lagging technology and lost market hi share versus competitors Intel and Nvidia. Our research identified that changes and investments made by current management under CEO Lisa Su had, over several years, finally resulted in compelling technology that positioned AMD as a stronger competitor to Nvidia and that its latest products were superior to Intel’s. We invested on the the belief that AMD’s valuation at that that time did not reflect the potential for its technology leadership to generate significant market share gains and improved profits. This thesis has been playing out for several years. During the quarter, AMD unveiled more details about its upcoming GPU products for the AI market. The stock reacted positively to expectations that AMD’s GPU servers will be a viable alternative to Nvidia. Although we pared back our exposure to AMD into strength as part of our risk-management practice, we maintained a position in the stock. We believe AMD will continue to gain share in large and growing markets and is reasonably valued relative to the potential for significantly higher earnings.”

Overall, Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) ranks 7th on Insider Monkey’s list titled Top 10 Overbought AI Stocks in 2024. While we acknowledge the potential of Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD), our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: Analyst Sees a New $25 Billion “Opportunity” for NVIDIA and Jim Cramer is Recommending These Stocks.

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

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Click to continue reading…