Insteel Industries, Inc. (NYSE:IIIN) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

Insteel Industries, Inc. (NYSE:IIIN) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Transcript April 25, 2024

Insteel Industries, Inc. beats earnings expectations. Reported EPS is $0.35, expectations were $0.3. IIIN isn’t one of the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds at the end of the third quarter (see the details here).

Operator: Good morning. Thank you for attending the Insteel Industries’ Second Quarter 2024 Earnings Call. My name is Matt, and I will be your moderator for today’s call. [Operator Instructions] I’d now like to pass the conference over to our host, H. Woltz, President and Chief Executive Officer, Insteel. H, please go ahead.

H. Woltz: Thank you, Matt. Good morning. Thank you for your interest in Insteel and welcome to our second quarter 2024 conference call which will be conducted by Scot Jafroodi, our Vice President, CFO and Treasurer; and me. Before we begin, let me remind you that some of the comments made in our presentation are considered to be forward-looking statements that are subject to various risks and uncertainties and which could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected. These risk factors are described in our periodic filings with the SEC. We had stated there in our Q1 call that we believed the headwinds of inventory liquidations and the downward recent steel prices had run its course. I can confirm that we continue to believe this and that our markets have been steadily accelerating since the first of the year.

We’re optimistic about the underlying level of demand for our products and the outlook for our financial performance. I’m going to turn the call over to Scot to comment on our financial results for the quarter and the macroenvironment, and then I’ll pick it back up to discuss our business outlook.

Scot Jafroodi: Thank you, H. And good morning to everyone joining us on the call. As reported in our press release earlier today, Insteel’s results for the second quarter improved from a year ago as widening spread between selling prices and raw material costs offset the negative impact of lower shipments. Net earnings for the quarter rose to $6.9 million from $5.1 million a year ago, and earnings per share increase to $0.35 per diluted share and $0.26 per share in the prior year. Shipments for the quarter rose 1.9% from Q1, reflecting the normal seasonal upturn in business that fell 3.2% year-over-year. Q2 shipments started slowly as adverse winter weather conditions during January negatively impacted construction activity.

In addition, we faced several familiar challenges during the quarter, including ongoing project delays, weakness within our commercial construction markets, and heightened competition from low-priced imports within certain of our PC strand markets. Despite these headwinds, there was a strengthening in shipments as the quarter progressed, with February and March volumes higher than the previous year levels. Although, we are still early in the third quarter, our order book has remained strong, and April shipments have trended above forecasted levels. Average selling prices were up 2.7% sequentially from the first quarter, reflecting a portion of the price increase we implemented in January in response to the escalation in our raw material cost during Q1.

Unfortunately, the amount realized fell short of our expectations, as persistent headwinds, including competitive pricing pressures from domestic competitors and the growing impact of low -priced PC strand imports, gradually eroded selling prices as the quarter progressed. On a year-over-year basis, ASP are down 17.3%, reflecting the significant downward reset in selling prices experienced over much of fiscal 2023 and the first quarter of fiscal 2024. Gross profit for the quarter increased $2.4 million from a year ago to $15.7 million, while gross margin expanded to 12.3% from 8.3%. On a sequential basis, gross profit increased $9.4 million from the first quarter and gross margin improved 710 basis points. The recovery spread between average selling prices and raw material cost was partially offset by lower shipments.

The spreads benefited this quarter from the selling price increase I mentioned earlier, along with the consumption of lower-cost raw material inventory to now closely-reflexed replacement value. Unit conversion costs were essentially unchanged year-over-year but remained elevated due to continued inventory management efforts and operating restrictions that are facilities in response to market conditions. As we move into the third quarter, we anticipate that combination of a strengthening demand environment, current raw material carrying values, and increased operating levels at our facilities will continue to restore gross margin to more attractive levels following the compression we experienced over the past year. SG&A expense for the quarter increased to $7.9 million or 6.2% of net sales from $7.5 million or 4.7% of net sales last year.

The dollar increase was primarily the result of increases in employee benefit costs, appreciation expense, and bad debt reserve. These increases were partially offset by lower compensation expense under our return on capital-based incentive plan, which was negatively impacted by the weaker year-to-date results. Our effective tax rate for the quarter was virtually unchanged at 22.5%, which is up slightly from 22% last year. Looking ahead to the balance of the year, we expect our effective rate will remain steady at around 23%, subject to the level of pretax earnings, both tax differences and the other assumptions and estimates that compose our tax revision calculation. Moving to the cash flow statement and balance sheet. Cash flow from operations for the quarter fell to $1.4 million from $46.6 million last year.

Net working capital to use $10.5 million of cash in the second quarter due to a $12.2 million increase in receivables resulting from higher sales and an increase in average selling prices, which offset a $1.6 million decline in inventory. Our inventory position at the end of the quarter represented 2.6 months of shipments on a forward-looking basis, calculated off of forecasted Q3 shipments, compared to three months at the end of the first quarter. Additionally, our raw material inventories at the end of the second quarter were valued at an average unit cost that approximates our second quarter cost of sales. It remains favorable relative to current replacement costs, which should continue to favorably impact spreads and margins during the third quarter.

We incurred $2 million in capital expenditures in the quarter for a total of $14.2 million during the first half of our fiscal year, and we remain committed to our full year target of $30 million. H will provide more detail on this topic in his remarks. Finally, from a liquidity perspective, we ended the quarter with $83.9 million of cash on hand and no borrowings outstanding on our $100 million revolving credit facility, providing us ample liquidity and financial flexibility going forward. Finally, during the second quarter, we continued our shared buyback program, repurchasing $300 ,000 for common equity, equal to approximately 9,000 shares. Turning to the macro indicators of our construction end markets, the monthly construction spending data from the U.S. Department of Commerce continued to show strength.

The latest February data revealed that total construction spending on a seemingly adjusted annual basis increased by approximately 11% compared to last year. Nonresidential construction spending increased by 14% and public highway and street construction, which is one of the largest in-use applications for our products, showed an increase of nearly 19%. However, leading indicators for nonresidential Construction, Architectural Billings, and Dodge Momentum Indexes remain weak and indicate easy demand. In March, the ABI fell to 43.6, down from 49.5 in February, remaining below the 50 growth threshold and falling to its lowest level since December 2020. The Dodge Momentum Index, which tracks nonresidential building projects going into planning, has fallen over the last several months, the market board showed a continued decrease in planning activity, dropping 8.6% from February due to slowdowns in both commercial and institutional planning.

This concludes my prepared remarks. I will now turn the call back over to H.

H. Woltz: Thank you, Scot. As we commented last quarter, the operating environment during fiscal 2024 has been difficult as we face headwinds including declining steel prices, inventory liquidations by customers, the need to align our finished goods inventories to reflect lower shipments, and finally the normal seasonal downturn in construction activity. We are glad to report that these adverse conditions seem to have run their course and we are experiencing rising demand driven by market fundamentals as well as the capital investments made by the company in recent years. While our shipments for Q2 were slightly lower than the prior year, each month of the quarter was stronger than the prior month, and for April month to date, shipments have increased compared to last year by more than 10%.

As indicated in the release, we’re ramping up operating hours at several facilities to respond to more robust demand. Hiring continues to be difficult in view of a low unemployment rate in most markets, but conditions have improved considerably since hiring challenges peaked. As Scot mentioned, and as we’ve stated in the last couple of earnings calls, we are increasingly affected by low price imported PC strand from producers in a variety of countries that appear to be circumventing the Section 232 tariff on hot rolled steel by down streaming. Continuing the trend that began last year, the average unit value of imported PC strand for February, which is the most recent data, was lower than the domestic price for wire rod, the raw material from which PC strand is produced.

The industry is carefully scrutinizing strand imports and will pursue any trading actions that are justified. We are also working with the administration to demonstrate that the differential treatment of hot rolled wire rod and PC strand with respect to the Section 232 tariff is undermining the intent of the tariff and damaging the very constituency the tariff was intended to help. We’re optimistic about the impact on our markets of the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, although at this point it’s difficult to point to specific projects that have affected demand. With respect to IIJA, the Secretary of Transportation has acknowledged delays of multiple years between appropriations and increased demand for construction services and materials.

The administration has also been clear that IIJA is a new way of funding infrastructure investment and is not a stimulus program. In other words, it does not appear to surprise the administration that the impact of legislation on infrastructure spending thus far is muted. Meanwhile, of course, inflation is impacting project costs and jeopardizing the viability of some projects. Despite these obstacles, we believe that IIJA funds will ultimately be allocated to projects and spent, as intended, with a beneficial impact on our industry. The question remains, when, not if. Turning to CapEx, we indicated in prior calls and press releases that CapEx for 2024 was expected to come in at approximately $30 million, and this continues to be a reasonable estimate.

As we stated earlier, elevated CapEx for 2023 and 2024 does not imply a permanent step up in CapEx expectations. On an ongoing basis, we would expect CapEx to range closer to depreciation and amortization and to be elevated in years when we elect to expand capacity or incorporate new technology into our facilities through equipment replacement. As a reminder, the CapEx amounts for 2023 and 2024 are heavily influenced by the addition of three new production lines that are welded wire reinforcement plants and the addition of a production line at a PC strand plant. The scale of these additions should be viewed as unusual and not as recurring events. The investments that we’re making in state-of-the-art technology will expand our product capabilities and favorably impact our cost, our cash cost of production.

It’s clear to us that companies failing to make such investments will become increasingly uncompetitive. And as you know, Insteel continues to be debt free and has substantial flexibility to make decisions for the long-term best interest of the business and its shareholders. Looking ahead, we’re aware of the substantial risk related to the future performance of the U.S. economy and we’re monitoring the environment closely. In any event, we’re well positioned to aggressively pursue actions to maximize shipments and optimize our costs and to pursue attractive growth opportunities both organic and through acquisition. This concludes our prepared remarks and we’ll now take your questions. Matt, would you repeat the procedure for asking questions, please?

Operator: [Operator Instructions] First question is from the line of Julio Romero with Sidoti & Company.

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Q&A Session

Julio Romero: Hey, good morning, H. Good morning, Scot. Hey, I wanted to maybe talk about pricing to start off. The price increase that was put in place January 1st, I think you guys mentioned the prepared remarks that the amount accepted fell short of expectations, and I was just hoping to kind of dig into that a little bit. Were you guys alluding to maybe the price increase not being accepted by the marketplace, or was it just slower to be accepted than you would have thought? Or was the price headwind more narrowly focused on some select product lines like the PC strand susceptible to imports? Just hoping for some clarification there.

H. Woltz: Well, the motivation for the price increase was really the dramatic escalation that we saw in steel costs from December and January, and as you know, I know you keep up with these things that reversed itself rather precipitously in some of the impetus throughout the industry for getting ahead of steel price increases seemed to evaporate as the market changed. So I would say that the level of commitment by the industry to collect in the increase itself waned during the quarter.

Julio Romero: Okay, that is helpful. The ASP did move up sequentially in the quarter, and I thought they were pretty good. I’m just wondering if you see the, you talked about the volumes kind of trending upward a little bit. I’m wondering if you see the ASPs kind of exiting the March quarter on an upswing, or do you see pricing somewhat pressured as we go into the June quarter?

H. Woltz: Well, Julio, there are so many different markets that we’re serving that it’s hard to make a general statement that covers them all because there are different levels of competition in each of them. As a general statement, I would say we’re not surprised by where we find ourselves at the end of Q2 and beginning of Q3, and this is a week-to-week matter for us. So I think the underlying level of demand will support decent prices for our products going forward. But we only know week to week how that’s going to shape up.

Julio Romero: Okay, that’s helpful. And then maybe the last one for me is just thinking about, you mentioned strengthening shipments as the quarter progress. Can you maybe talk about how they trended on the non-res side, which I think has been kind of weak for a couple quarters now versus the residential? Are you seeing any difference there, or are they kind of moving at the same kind of parallel pace?

H. Woltz: No, I would say parallel is probably a good term for it, as you know. Most of the products that we put into residential markets are more commodity like, and they’ve been more competitive. But with that said, I think parallel is probably a pretty good summation of where we are.

Operator: Next question is from the line of Tyson Bauer with KC Capital.

Tyson Bauer: Good morning, gentlemen. I will have to follow up on that shipment trends and increases. I guess the word that comes from my head is finally. It seems like we’ve had a lot of new lines, modernization and that expectation that we’re finally going to get that operating leverage from increased shipments, and it just never developed as probably as timely as we had hoped. Finally, seeing that is certainly a good thing. As we see those trends and those increased shipments going forward, how much of that is just recovering from the declines we’ve had the last couple of years, as opposed to incremental contribution from your capacity increases you’ve done over the last couple of years, where we’ll start to see that implication on the margin spread?

H. Woltz: Yes, I think most of it is a recovery in the underlying business, Tyson, and as we’ve stated on a number of occasions. The capital investments that we make have a two part return. One is lowering our internal cash cost of operation, and the other is expanding capacity as really as we have moved certain product lines to new equipment and opened up a capacity on older equipment. So we’re seeing right now more of a recovery in the underlying business, base business, and it’s not all incremental growth from CapEx.

Tyson Bauer: Okay. Is the market, obviously, we don’t know the macro stuff, but we do anticipate improvements on the infrastructure side of this. Is there enough there in those product lines to see that contribution margin play a bigger role as we get into these seasonally stronger quarters?

H. Woltz: Well, you would certainly think so. You know that we’ve incurred significantly higher manufacturing costs due to inflationary trends in really everything that we purchase, but we’ve also had these facilities throttled back to low levels of capacity utilization just based on market trends and we worked diligently to maintain our finished goods inventories, which has further depressed our operating rates in some cases. So as we see volumes return to the business, you would logically expect that we would develop more pricing power and that we would see significant reduction in operating costs. And I’ll quickly just add that we don’t have the backlog to be able to tell you that we know that’s going to happen, but certainly the trends are positive and customers are generally optimistic and we would expect quarters three and four to be good quarters for the company.

Tyson Bauer: Got it. In regards to PC strand imports, through the years it’s kind of this game of whack-a-mole depending on what region the imports are coming from and we’ve had favorable trade rulings that seem to take care of, say, India, Korea, Eastern Europe, Brazil, and then somebody else kind of fills that void and it’s difficult to really get ahead and prevent those imports from having an impact domestically. Anything different this go around or is this just the cycle that repeats itself?

H. Woltz: Well, let me state first that PC strand remains an attractive business for our company and yes, there is a segment of it that market that is subject to import competition and always has been and Insteel has always dealt effectively with that import competition over time. I think we’ll do so again this time. What is different about where we find ourselves today and where we found ourselves in the past is the Section 232 Tariff on hot rolled steel products which applies to our raw material but does not apply to imports of PC strand. And the motivation for offshore producers to downstream that wire rod into PC strand and send it into the US is damaging to our country, our company and when the 232 Tariff was envisioned by the Trump administration we told them that if they apply the tariff to steel products, they needed to look at the entire supply chain and they didn’t do that.