Installed Building Products, Inc. (NYSE:IBP) Q4 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

Michael Miller: To be honest with you there’s no mistake we have been a lot of people occasionally. I mean so but it’s already built in the numbers from last year right? So it won’t be worse it will be better right. And it’s nice it could be a trucking issue right? So you just never know right that things like that but I’ll mention it will go up right now. No it’s honestly can’t. I mean when we look at the backdrop right now.

Ken Zener: That’s good.

Michael Miller: That is good.

Ken Zener: Looking back when you started the business I believe in 1977 Edwards installation I’m starting to think that the parallels are very similar in the sense that as Michael was saying and you guys agree with things are good, they’re not that the idea of disinflation from the current levels. We’re not seeing it in your material inputs. We’re not seeing it in your labor. What can you share some of your broad thoughts about the economies strong and you’re running so many different operations. Just give us some of that perspective that you might have, if you recall it, from what was a inflationary period when you started the business and how that might impact concerns you have separate from what Michael has addressed.

Michael Miller: Okay. So, let’s be clear. I was 14.

Ken Zener: Okay.

Michael Miller: Exactly, my cousin and so — anybody listened to the call get scared, because they’d be wondering how old I was, when we talk and take someone up and 61. But I can remember those times. But I would say that having grown up around of all of that was in the real estate business and myself, that was in the real estate business and this business over the last almost 40 years. I think all of us would look at this environment. It’s pretty healthy. In fact, I was on a call for different matter this morning and this is like the first year in three or four where we weren’t really worried about something at this point in time in the year, whether it was a doubling of interest rates, whether it was a pandemic, whether it was an impending recession, whether it was material supply issues, you name it, so.

Ken Zener: Is that was countered by — I mean, you guys are operating your business well and Michael if you could quantify the kind of drag over the last couple of years we’ve seen from commercial, you talked about 100 basis points lift this year. It would be nice to have some kind of context if you could provide that. But it is interesting. I think you guys are in a very unique position capturing price and labor, right? We can see your forward curve of demand, so that — you guys are special but it does raise questions. I think for us people’s expectations around monetary policy, because things are so good. That’s it.

Michael Miller: Yes. I think that’s true. I mean clearly none of us know what the Fed is going to do. I think the market has been extremely resilient as it relates to rates and the builder’s ability to buy down rates. And I think they’ve been, particularly, the national builders that obviously have a capital advantage over the regional and local guys. Yes, it’s — we’ve been very surprised. And I mean, I think Jeff said it perfectly is that if we look back to the past three or four years at this time of the year, we’ve always had something we were facing that was felt like a war and we don’t have a war right now.

Jeff Edwards: In the business and elsewhere, so that’s not the discount from the geopolitical things that are going on now or in two wars. And we’ve got a messy political situation and an election coming up, right? But business-wise things feel as good as they have in once.

Michael Miller: We feel really good about the things we can control.

Ken Zener: Right. Thank you.

Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Mike Dahl with RBC Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question.

Mike Dahl: Hi. Thanks for taking my questions. Hey, just on — if I look into the comments there. You just made the comments about the incrementals comments about improvement in margins in particular in the heavy side, which should persist. I appreciate the public builder mixer. I think I do. Maybe it comes down to you can explain order of magnitude to us, but I guess it’s still not entirely clear why your margins would cut your gross margins would come down as meaningfully in this environment and as to get back to the 30 to 32. So maybe you can elaborate on how big of a mix impact. The public builder dynamic will be — I mean if it shifts a little bit in terms of public mix, it doesn’t seem like that, that’s really going to drive enough or – and just help me it seems like the margins are going to stay above what you’re anticipating?

Michael Miller: Well, keep in mind that we are over-indexed in the single-family business to production builders as you would expect, right, just given our scale size, ability to service customers of that size and the pricing to those builders tends to be much tighter given the efficiency and cost to service those builders. It’s great work, but it definitely impacts gross margins. And our belief is that you’re going to see — if let’s just say there is a mid-single-digit growth in single-family. We wouldn’t be surprised if a 90% of that comes from the national builders. So our overweighting on that that just continues to overweight to those builders. And again the gross margin on that work is much tighter. So we definitely think it’s going to have an impact there. But that’s from our perspective and it’s expected. It’s great work and you know I’d say bring it on.