We recently published a list of Insiders are Selling These 10 AI Stocks. Since Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE) ranks 8th on the list, it deserves a deeper look.
Positive sentiment is prevailing in the market after strong bank earnings and increasing hopes of a soft landing. Ryan Detrick, Carson Group chief market strategist, said while talking during a recent program on CNBC that he sees more runway for the current bull market.
“This is a bull market. Now we’re in the third year of a bull market. My friend Sam Stovall said once you get to 65 years old, the odds of getting to 85 are really, really high. Bull markets work that way. Going back 50 years, there’s five other bull markets that made it into their third year, like this one is right now. The worst any of them went was another three years. A five-year total. The average was eight years. I’m not saying we have another six years of a bull market but what we’re saying is this is an economy that keeps surprising to the upside.”
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However, the analyst said large-cap tech stocks are “pricey.” He believes small- and mid-cap stocks are cheap and labeled financials and industrials as fairly valued.
There are some top AI stocks that are seeing insider selling activity. In this article, we take a look at those stocks and analyze their fundamentals and market sentiment. With each company, we have mentioned its hedge fund sentiment. Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
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Adobe Inc (NASDAQ:ADBE)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 107
On September 25, 2024, Adobe Inc (NASDAQ:ADBE) Chair and CEO Shantanu Narayen sold 25,000 shares at $521.58 per share, reducing his ownership by 7% to 357,967 shares. The transaction was valued at approximately $13 million. The stock is down 5% since then.
Adobe Inc (NASDAQ:ADBE) expects fourth-quarter revenue between $5.5 billion and $5.55 billion, with a midpoint of $5.525 billion, falling short of the $5.6 billion consensus estimate. Adobe Inc (NASDAQ:ADBE) also forecasts earnings per share (EPS) ranging from $4.63 to $4.68, with the midpoint slightly below the $4.67 estimate.
Adobe Inc (NASDAQ:ADBE) has become a complex case for analysts who are still gauging whether Adobe would be a net beneficiary of the AI boom or a loser. On the one hand, Adobe Inc (NASDAQ:ADBE) is under threat with tons of AI tools good enough to make beginner-level designs, posts and videos for individuals or companies with low or no marketing budget. But on the other hand, the company is launching several AI-powered tools and integrating generative AI tools in its products that could boost its revenue in the future.
Daniel Newman, CEO of Futurum Group, said in a program on CNBC that the latest earnings show the effects of a macro slowdown but Adobe Inc (NASDAQ:ADBE) could benefit if companies decide to use the company’s AI tools to cut its reliance on human workers.
Polen Global Growth Strategy stated the following regarding Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE) in its Q2 2024 investor letter:
“With Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE), in some ways, we see it as a microcosm of the market’s “shoot first, ask questions later” approach to categorizing AI winners and losers. In the early part of last year, Adobe came under pressure with a perception that generative AI (GenAI) would represent a material headwind to their suite of creative offerings.
In short order, the company introduced its GenAI offering, Firefly, which shifted the narrative to Adobe as a beneficiary with a real opportunity to monetize GenAI in the near term. Earlier this year, that narrative was again challenged as the company reported a slight slowdown in revenue growth. Results in the most recent quarter were robust as the company raised its full-year forecast across a number of key metrics and showcased better-than-expected results.”
Overall, ADBE ranks 5th on Insider Monkey’s list titled Insiders are Selling These 10 AI Stocks. While we acknowledge the potential of Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE), our conviction lies in the belief that under the radar AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than ADBE but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
