Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. (NYSE:HPP) Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript May 2, 2024
Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. isn’t one of the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds at the end of the third quarter (see the details here).
Operator: Hello, and welcome to Hudson Pacific Properties First Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. My name is Lydia, and I will be your operator today. [Operator Instructions]. I’ll now hand you over to Laura Campbell, Executive Vice President, Investor Relations and Marketing, to begin. Please go ahead.
Laura Campbell: Good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us. With me on the call today are Victor Coleman, CEO and Chairman; Mark Lammas, President; Harout Diramerian, CFO; and Art Suazo, EVP of Leasing. Yesterday, we filed our earnings release and supplemental on an 8-K with the SEC, and both are now available on our website. An audio webcast of this call will also be available for replay on our website. Some of the information we’ll share on the call today is forward-looking in nature. Please reference our earnings release and supplemental for statements regarding forward-looking information as well as a reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures used on this call. Today, Victor will discuss industry and market trends as well as other highlights from the quarter. Mark will provide an update on our office and studio operations and development, and Harout will review our financial results and 2024 outlook. Thereafter, we’ll be happy to take your questions. Victor?
Victor Coleman: Thank you, Laura. Hello, everyone, and welcome to our first quarter call. Macroeconomic pressures have persisted into 2024 with the Fed contemplating keeping rates higher for longer. On the office side, speaking thematically across our markets, vacancy and negative net absorption remains stubbornly high as many existing tenants continue to downsize and yet demand in terms of new requirements is recovering. Sublease is stabilizing with backfills exceeding new additions and minimal construction starts have significantly curtailed new supply. Remote-first companies are becoming rarities and more business-friendly public safety focused policies are taking hold, contributing to meaningful reductions in crime across our urban markets.
In line with these more positive trends and backed by our team’s persistence and creativity, our office leasing activity, along with the percentage of newly signed deals accelerated in the first and second quarters of the year. We have always been focused on ensuring our portfolio meets the needs of today’s and tomorrow’s workforce. And in addition to new construction, we have consistently adapted, renovated or otherwise repositioned our older products which will only pay further dividends as the pipeline of new supply wanes. Today, over 70% of our in-service portfolio was either built or substantially renovated after 2010 such that our average building age, when factoring in substantial CapEx improvements is approximately 10 years. Over 95% of our properties have functional outdoor space, 90% have end-of-trip facilities with bike storage, showers and lockers, 60% have fitness centers, 95% offer EV charging, 92% are LEED certified, and 100% are carbon neutral.
Further, our expertise in place-making throughout our combination of strategic CapEx, retail tenanting, programming and events as demonstrated by our successful stewardship of the Ferry Building in San Francisco and Bentall Center in Vancouver is becoming more important than ever. We are now leveraging those learnings to the benefit of our entire portfolio, especially in our more urban markets. In terms of the studios, upon the strike’s resolution late last year, our team hit the ground running to market our stages and services. In the first quarter, as filming resumed, revenue improved across essentially every segment of our studio business. We also have promising activity on a majority of our vacant stages, inclusive of negotiating our first lease at Sunset Glenoaks.
However, as has been well documented by the media, post strikes, the film and television industry has recovered far more slowly than anticipated. Most of our studio business is in Los Angeles, where FilmLA recently reported shoot days in the first quarter were down 9% year-over-year. And while film production has largely recovered, television production, one of the primary demand drivers for our stages and services was up 16% in the first quarter compared to last year, even as the number of pilots increased nearly tenfold. There are several reasons why the ramp-up is different than what occurred following the pandemic. Many believe studios are curtailing production due to the pending IATSE and Teamsters Local 399 union contract expirations in May and July, respectively.
Broadly speaking, the industry seems eager to avoid another strike. And thus, IATSE negotiations are on track to be completed by late May with all 13 Hollywood locals, reaching craft-specific agreements as of last week. Other factors include logistical and resource constraints as multiple productions attempt to restart simultaneously. Industry consolidation and shifting business models as networks pursue profitability. Unfortunately, with the IATSE and Teamsters contract expiration is imminent, it is challenging to more fully assess how these other factors will weigh on stage and services demand for the balance of the year. But there is no question that high-quality, original content will remain essential for the studios growing their subscriber bases and building valuable IP.
Thus, while the industry is evolving, we will see long-term fundamentals as compelling. Turning to dispositions. We continue to opportunistically pursue potential sales with the goal of further deleveraging and fortifying our balance sheet. While we cannot yet disclose which assets we are actively exploring the sale of 3 office assets, collectively representing around 900,000 square feet. We are also looking at a potential recapitalization of a fourth office asset in the Bay Area. While we are most focused on dispositions, this quarter, we had a unique opportunity to purchase our partner’s 45% interest in 1455 Market. We then executed a 20-plus-year lease at 157,000 square feet at 1455 Market with the city of San Francisco, which has expressed interest to grow significantly in that building.
This is the largest direct deal in downtown since 2021. The city’s commitment to mid-market neighborhood, both through its actions and its representative’s commentary related to this lease speaks volumes. We continue to believe in the long-term demand drivers for San Francisco office space and our ability to create further value at 1455 Market at very attractive all-in basis with no leverage. Finally, during the first quarter, we were once again included in S&P Sustainability Yearbook. And last month, we published our sixth annual corporate responsibility report. Key accomplishments for the year include reducing Scope 1 and 2 carbon emissions by 36% from our 2018 baseline, such that we are on track to meet our science-based 50% reduction target by 2030.
We continue to operate our assets on a carbon neutral basis with our LEED and ENERGY STAR certification among the best in the office sector. And last year, we began manufacturing 100% solar electric trailers as part of Quixote’s Verde line, which is setting the standard for sustainable trailers in the industry and on average, outperforms our non-solar product in terms of pricing and utilization. And most recently, GlobeSt. once again named Hudson Pacific as Best Place to Work, which is a nod to our exceptional people and culture. With that, I’m going to turn it over to Mark.
Mark Lammas: Thanks, Victor. As Victor noted, our office leasing momentum has accelerated since the start of the year. In the first quarter, we signed over 500,000 square feet of leases with 65% of that comprised of deals along the San Francisco Peninsula and in Silicon Valley. We signed nearly 300,000 square feet of new leases or 57% of all activity. Both total and new leasing were the highest levels since fourth quarter of 2022, and our average transaction size for new leases was the largest since first quarter 2021. Significant signings included 82,000 square feet of new and renewal leases with an 8-year term with consumer electronics company, TDK InvenSense at Concourse which backfilled approximately 30,000 square feet of former Nutanix space and approximately 11-year 54,000 square foot new lease with a software company at Bentall Centre, a 5-year 36,000 square foot new lease with a biotech company at Metro Center and an approximately 6-year 24,000 square foot lease with a semiconductor company at Metro Plaza.
Quarter-over-quarter, we also had relative improvement in our other leasing metrics. Our GAAP rents grew 6.2%, while our cash rents were off by 5.4% from prior levels which reflects, in large part, the competitive rent structure negotiated to retain InvenSense for 8 years at Concourse. Similarly, net effective rents were modestly down in the quarter, with lower annual leasing costs and a 23-month increase in average term. Our in-service office portfolio was 80.5% leased as of the end of the quarter, down approximately 140 basis points compared to last quarter. This is in line with our expectations and mostly related to midsized tenant move-outs in Seattle and the Bay Area, the largest of which were Dell EMC with 43,000 square feet at 505 First and Nordstrom Rack with 45,000 square feet at 901 Market.
We had nearly 140 tours at our office assets, representing 1.4 million square feet of requirements, which includes year-over-year a 20% increase in number and a 30% increase in average size of requirements in Silicon Valley. Our current leasing pipeline of 1.9 million square feet includes an average requirement size around 20,000 square feet. Upon signature of the 150,000 square foot new lease with the City at 1455 Market subsequent to the quarter, we still have 290,000 square feet of deals either in leases or LOI. Our coverage on our remaining 2024 expirations that is deals and leases, LOIs proposals or discussions is 45%. Turning to the studios. Our market intel points to approximately 100 productions currently filming in Los Angeles, up from around 30 during the strikes and about 80 at the end of last year, but still significantly below more typical levels of, say, 120 to 125.
Most of these are returning productions meaning they were already filming prestrikes. That, and the fact major studios directed most new films and shows back to their own facilities is further curtailing demand for independent studios like ours. As more productions are green lit and the major still up, our capture rates should start to improve. Even as tours at our studio slowed in February and March, active stage leads that is films or shows in preproduction with which we have been in contact, increased about 30% quarter-over-quarter, a potential indicator of healthier future production levels. On a trailing 12-month basis, our in-service studios were 76.9% leased and our stages were 79.4% leased in the first quarter, which reflects a single tenant vacating space at Sunset Las Palmas during the strikes.
Trailing 12-month occupancy at Quixote studios and stages remained flat quarter-over-quarter at 27.1% and 29.8%, respectively. We have either in place or uncommenced leases are in negotiations or have expressions of interest on all the 10 of our 54 in-service and Quixote stages used primarily for film and TV production. We have 7 stages at Quixote that are leased primarily for commercial shoots. In the first quarter, those were 35% occupied, up approximately 800 basis points quarter-over-quarter. This activity points to the potential for near-term occupancy gains even as those will take time to appear within our trailing 12-month lease percentage given the weightings of prior strike-impacted quarters. The resumption of production has led to improved performance in nearly every revenue segment of our studio business.
Quarter-over-quarter, our studio revenue increased 36% with Quixote driving the bulk of that recovery. Most impactful, studio ancillary revenue grew by $6.9 million and transportation revenue grew by $2.7 million. Utilization across all our transportation assets was approximately 8% higher when compared to both third and fourth quarter last year. But operations have yet to fully recover and revenue remains about 30% below prestrike levels. That delta is most pronounced within our Transportation segment, a major component of Quixote’s business where first quarter revenues were still roughly half of prestrike levels. Turning to development. Subsequent to the quarter, we substantially completed our Washington 1000 office tower in Seattle. Professional services and legal remain most active in the downtown market, while large tech demand has been slower to return.
One exception, Apple is expected to take approximately 200,000 square feet of sublease space across the street from their main building in South Lake Union. Bellevue’s recent success story has been organic growth within that submarket rather than migration from the city and the 770,000 square feet of mid- to large-sized tech leasing in the first quarter alone is a huge positive for the region overall. Our Washington 1000 Marketing Center will open in May, and we are taking an aggressive, multipronged approach to getting the building leased. The quality of this asset will garner some of the highest rents in the market. That said, with our basis at just $640 per square foot, we can be very competitive on pricing. At the end of the first quarter, we also substantially completed Sunset Glenoaks, a key milestone in that we can now also pursue productions with near-term start dates.
Our grand opening event will take place this month and we are in negotiations with a pilot for 1 stage as we continue to field inquiries and tours. At Sunset Pier 94, which is under construction and will deliver end of 2025, we are in discussions with a tenant to lease the entire facility on a longer-term basis. This is a strong indicator of demand for Manhattan’s first purpose-built studio. And now I’ll turn the call over to Harout.
Harout Diramerian: Thanks, Mark. Our first quarter 2024 revenue was $214 million compared to $252.3 million in the first quarter last year, primarily due to asset sales, a large tenant vacating space at 1455 Market in the third quarter of last year and lower occupancy and utilization of studio stages and services, respectively due to the strikes. Our first quarter FFO, excluding specified items, was $24.2 million or $0.17 per diluted share compared to $49.7 million or $0.35 per diluted share in the first quarter last year. Specified items consisted of transaction-related expenses of $2.2 million or $0.01 per diluted share compared to prior year transaction-related expenses of $1.2 million or $0.01 per diluted share. The year-over-year change in FFO is attributable to previously mentioned items affecting revenue offset by reduced interest expense following repayment of the construction loans secured by One Westside and Westside Two, and less FFO attributable to noncontrolling interest resulting from the purchase of our partner’s ownership in 1455 Market.
Our first quarter AFFO was $28.5 million or $0.19 per diluted share compared to $35 million or $0.24 per diluted share in the first quarter last year with a change largely attributable to previously mentioned items affecting FFO offset by higher cash and lower GAAP revenue and approximately $10 million less in recurring CapEx spend. Our same-store cash NOI was $108.3 million compared to $124.4 million, mostly driven by 2 tenant move-outs, one at 1455 Market and the other at Sunset Las Palmas Studios. At the end of the first quarter, we had $734 million of total liquidity comprised of $114 million of unrestricted cash, cash equivalents, and $620 million of undrawn capacity on our unsecured revolving credit facility. There is additional capacity of approximately $200 million under our Sunset Glenoaks and Sunset Pier 94 construction loans.
Our share of net debt compared to our share of undepreciated book value was 37% while 91.9% of our debt was fixed or capped and no material maturities until November 2025. Turning to outlook. Our in-service office and studio portfolios continue to perform materially in line with our full year outlook that we provided in February of this year. For our same-store office assets, this reflects both gradual improving office, operating conditions, combined with our positive leasing momentum. Regarding our same-store studio assets, this reflects the more predictable cash flow derived from multiyear leases and by extension, our ability to capture revenue generated by returning production. However, as Mark and Victor discussed, we currently have limited visibility as to how and when production will normalize, particularly given the expiration of the IATSE and Teamsters contracts in May and July of this year, respectively.
This is especially true for our Quixote business, which the majority of our stages and services are currently leased show by show and thus, its performance more dependent on production levels. We are therefore only providing an FFO outlook for the second quarter of $0.15 to $0.19 per diluted share alongside key assumptions related to our full year 2024 outlook. There are no specified items in relation to the second quarter FFO outlook. Regarding our full year FFO assumptions, we are adjusting our range for same-store property cash NOI growth to negative 11.75% to negative 12.75% due to potential for delayed occupancy recovery at Sunset Las Palmas through the remainder of the year. A reminder that our same-store FFO excludes our Quixote business.
While we can more confidently project for our same-store studios given the preponderance of long-term leases, the performance of our same-store office assets are the primary driver of this metric. These assumptions also include approximately $2 million of increased interest expense based on our current expectation that interest rates will remain higher for the balance of the year, and we reduced our FFO attributable to noncontrolling interest by $9 million due to our purchase of our partner’s 45% ownership in 1455 Market in the first quarter. Our outlook assumes IATSE and Teamsters do not strike and production begins to pick up in early June following the successful resolution for IATSE contract negotiations, but in advance of Teamsters, which has notably smaller membership and hopefully streamlined negotiations.
As always, our outlook excludes the impact of any potential dispositions, acquisitions, financing and/or capital markets activity. We will continue to provide a full year FFO outlook once we believe production levels have normalized to the point where we can more accurately predict future cash flows related to our Quixote business. Now we’ll be happy to take your questions. Operator?
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Q&A Session
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Operator: [Operator Instructions]. Our first question comes from Michael Griffin of Citi.
Michael Griffin: Great. Just maybe starting with the guidance. I just wanted to clarify. Are you formally withdrawing full year guidance? And I guess maybe a broader question. How should we think about the cadence of earnings throughout the year, right? I call it, 20% of your business is studios, 80% is office, I got to think that, that $0.17 on a run rate basis is close to 30% below your previous guidance was. Just trying to get some clarity, particularly around the office side of the business, which it seems like there’s more visibility there.
Harout Diramerian: Michael, thanks for the question. Just to be clear, we provided Q2 guidance, but we also provided all the metrics we normally provide, the grid that we provide at the end of the year. And those pieces that make up FFO. The only thing that we didn’t provide effectively is our Quixote business results or operations or projections. That’s what’s driving this change. And that’s the area that we have at least amount of visibility on. Pausing there, because of the potential strikes that we mentioned a few times. Pausing there, the rest of the portfolio is consistent with what we believed back in February. Everything else is moving along, in fact, in some ways better now, the office side, really good leasing and everything else.
It’s just the Quixote business right now, we have a lack of clarity. To your point, about the $0.17 a quarter annualized that is not our expectation. However, it’s hard to have any pure conviction on what that’s going to look like next quarter as in Q3 and 4 until those items related to Quixote are resolved. If they’re resolved, we’re going to get much closer to normalization in the Quixote business in the back half of the year, but there’s uncertainty about that. And we expect to continue to grow even…
Michael Griffin: Yes, sorry about that. I understand what you’re saying, Harout, but I’m just trying to hone in on does management not have the visibility to get back to that $1.05 midpoint for this year, and that’s really if there’s kind of a lack of confidence in reaching that. Maybe that’s why the full year guide from last quarter wasn’t reiterated. I’m just trying to wrap my head around how we should think about it throughout the Q&A. And I get the volatility around the studio business, but it would seem like if you can get back to that $1.02 to $1.10 that you projected back in the fourth quarter, you probably would have reiterated it.
Mark Lammas: Yes. No, Michael, you got it. We’re not reiterating it because Quixote isn’t performing quite to our expectations when we guided back in February. The rest of the business is, it’s in line, if not better, as Harout mentioned. But Quixote isn’t. Show counts are lower. We’re not quite getting the lift that we had hoped either from show counts or other metrics that weigh on the Quixote business. And so it’s showing up in second quarter results. It’s unclear to us just yet what exactly it will look like in third and fourth quarter because until show counts on and production activity, shoot days and so forth that drive Quixote business, until those get back to a place of normalcy, it’s very difficult for us to tell you when we get back to a normal run rate. So, in short, the original guidance is no longer — we don’t see that is achievable stemming from the Quixote business.
Michael Griffin: Got you. Appreciate that extra color there, Mark. And then just maybe broadly on the Quixote business. Obviously, your prepared remarks kind of talking about the near-term headwinds. But if we look at issues like industry consolidation, maybe less content spend from legacy media companies, are you still confident that you can hit that $75 million to $80 million run rate of the EBITDA, I think you laid out when you acquired the platform?
Mark Lammas: I think it’s still achievable. It’s difficult to really commit to that because we haven’t seen normalcy yet. So it’s hard to know what the new normal looks like. I mean I think we just have to leave it there. I mean it still seems possible, but we need the business to get back on its feet again.
Victor Coleman: Yes, Michael, it’s Victor. Just as we mentioned, I mean, the studio business is right now through mid-April, it’s off minus 16% in terms of the show counts. But that being said, our facilities that are up and running are fully occupied and completely — filming is completely going on in 2 of our full facilities 24×7, and so that — this is not an indication of does the industry going to a different level. I think it’s just — right now, until this uncertainty is sort of solved in May and in July, they’re not going to start shows if they feel they have to stop. If they get a clear line of sight, which it seems like they’re going to, we’ll see that normally pick up in the second half of the year.
Operator: Our next question comes from Blaine Heck of Wells Fargo.
Blaine Heck: Just taking a step back here, Victor. I’m sure this is [indiscernible] how you wanted the year to progress, withdrawing full year FFO guidance, again, given the slowness on the studio side, but kind of here we are, and you’ve got some large known move-outs still to come on the office side. I guess how should we think about what you guys have in your power to get the stock working again, whether that includes larger spin-off type options or highly impactful strategic moves. Should we just think about this as more blocking and tackling and trying to lease more on the office side? Selling a few assets and getting the studio back to where you think it should be on a normalized basis? Or are there bigger initiatives here?
Victor Coleman: Blaine, thanks. listen, I think you are — you’re commenting on two specific areas, and I will comment on both. First of all, we are always going to be looking at the core business, blocking and tackling. I believe that this past quarter’s leasing results were indicative of that. And so far, the start of the second quarter, as we’ve mentioned, is aligned with that as well. We are acutely aware of a couple of our known move-outs. They’re big. Large tenant activity is starting to evolve, but we’re not there yet. I believe that our results on the office side are going to be very much in line with what our expectations are and what we can achieve given where the last quarter have been. That being said, that’s not a standstill process.
We are evaluating all of our alternatives. You mentioned too. Clearly, some of the asset sales will kick in. That should be evident for the second half of the year for additional liquidity for us to look at alternatives on the existing portfolio. And then, yes, I mean, the end result is the media business has been a drag for the obvious reasons, the black swan event of last year that has just not recovered. But our conviction around that industry and the alternatives around that industry are basically evident for us to make some larger moves whether it is a spin-off, whether it is a roll-up, we are evaluating all of that, and we’re in conversations on that. And I think that will be the strategy for us going forward. The volatility of that business has obviously weighed on the stock.
And I think in proportionately because when we see good movements on the office side, we seem to be hit relatively hard on the studio side being that it’s only 20% of the business. When it was running great, we never got the full credit of it either. So we think that the best move for us is to look at some external movement around that industry and around that portfolio of ours. And those are conversations that are ongoing right now.
Blaine Heck: Great. Really appreciate all that color, Victor. Just to follow up, you said you were kind of concurrently exploring some of those more strategic options. Anything you could say about timing and kind of what stage those conversations are in?
Victor Coleman: Listen, obviously, I’m not going to talk about timing in the stages. Clearly, the capital markets are a massive driver of this right now. And given the fact that there is still some volatility out there through these potential IATSE strikes and potential strikes, those conversations are fluid. That will be more fluid around the external factors that are out of our control.
Blaine Heck: All right. I’ll leave it there. And then just second question, just on guidance. You pointed out that the updated guidance assumes there’s a successful resolution of the upcoming contract negotiations. I guess, to what extent do you think guidance could change, again, if we do run into another strike? And how much visibility do you think you have into the process at this point?
Victor Coleman: So we can’t go there on what kind of visibility we’re going to have on if there’s a strike or not a strike on that basis. That is just something that right now, it will be a moment in time, and then we’ll see what the resolution is. As we said in our prepared remarks, we believe that the process is fluid. It’s a lot better than it was last year with the writers and SAG. And as I said, I mean, 13 entities have already signed off. They’re now working on the basic agreement, which will take us through the latter part of this month, and then they’re going to work on the last part of it, which will take us through hopefully end of June, and this thing could be resolved. I mean right now, we are optimistic and the people who are at the table are telling us that we should be optimistic. Nobody wants a strike. People are still reeling as to the effects of last year.
Operator: Our next question comes from Peter Abramowitz from Jefferies.
Peter Abramowitz: So I just want to follow up on Quixote here. So you did about negative $6 million in NOI in the first quarter. Just trying to kind of deduce here with the second quarter guide, $0.17 basically unchanged quarter-over-quarter. Is the expectation that things are kind of going to stack up pretty similarly, just trying to get a sense of kind of what you’re expecting, what’s embedded in that $0.17 for the second quarter from Quixote.
Harout Diramerian: Peter, it’s Harout. I’m Just going to answer your question there. So our expectation is that we’re going to continue to improve on the Quixote business in the second quarter, just not as strong as we initially thought back when we provided guidance in February, and there’ll be some offset on the office side near-term termination. That’s the expectation, which is why you’re not seeing a change from the $0.17 midpoint.
Peter Abramowitz: Okay. Got it. And then could you specifically talk about the pipeline at Washington 1000, what you’re seeing there? Kind of the coverage on the space that you have available?
Harout Diramerian: Sure, Peter. This is Harout. Right now, we’re — we continue to be in discussions. There’s actually 3 users that are multiple floor users. We are not in negotiations yet. As you know, the larger deals that have transacted in the market have been gravitating towards some of the premier sublease space that’s out there that offers tremendous views. They’re at a deep discount, call it in the low 30s, high 20s net outsized concession packages on top of premier space that’s been built out. And so the good news is that the sublease continues to tick down in Seattle, in particular, those spaces that I’ve just referenced. And so we just delivered. We are currently building out our state-of-the-art marketing center, which will be finished within the next couple of weeks, activating all the common areas of the building in the exterior spaces and we’re poised to capture the demand that’s coming down — coming at us.
Now I will say that we — the teams out there uncovering all deals, be it in the market and outside the market. But more importantly, the kind of the late ’25, ’26 expirations that are coming are going to offer probably another 5 to 6 deals over 100,000 square feet into the market, where there’s been a dearth of large tenants out in the market currently. So we feel that that’s very promising to that — to the lease-up of that asset.
Operator: The next question comes from Alexander Goldfarb of Piper Sandler.
Alexander Goldfarb: Victor, just going back to your comments on the Hollywood negotiations this year. Last year, there was a lot of focus on AI, residuals, I think with the crew, there’s work hours. Do you get a sense that this year, it’s more sort of copacetic between the sides and they really seem to want to work towards a resolution? Or is the sense out there that it’s as tense as it was last year? From your comments, it sounds like people are working closer this year, trying to avoid what happened last year. But just trying to get a sense of the real sticking issues, how close do you think the sides are to really appreciating what both want to achieve?
Victor Coleman: I mean, it’s a different set of constituents, right, Alex, at the end of the day, I mean, the writers and actors were much more focused on the content, the creativity side, this is back of the house. This is more of the service side. This is obviously driven on their cost of living issues and medical and other aspects by which are directly resolvable and seem to be on track to be resolvable. Yes, there is an AI component to it. I’m not that close to that, so I can’t really comment on what level by which it’s impactful or not impactful and where they’re going to settle out. But I think overall, your comment is accurate. They are all striving for a resolution here, and it’s less of an issue of strong arming each other.
I think it’s more of an issue of coming to the table and trying to get this done. That being said, like anything else, people who are on either side are trying to maintain their position of strength. And so I would not be surprised if there was a vote for strike by all constituents even though they won’t strike. So I don’t want people to overreact. That’s part and parcel of negotiations. So there could be an overall vote, but that may not be included as the eventuality of a strike occurring.
Alexander Goldfarb: Okay. And then the second question is on 1455 the buyout, obviously, this seems to be a lucrative area that some of the office REITs have been able to do to buy out partners at discounted prices. So one, if you can give any color around sort of valuation or — and then two, the earnings benefit of buying that out? And then I guess the follow-up is, are there other JVs that we could see you guys buying out your partners in?
Victor Coleman: Well, I’ll just talk in general, and then I’ll let Harout give you the details. Listen, on the 1455 transaction, this is a very unique opportunity that was available by our partner. Obviously, our partner has done this, as you all know, in some other office REITs. And as a result, they’ve just decided that they don’t want to be invested in an office, we didn’t have, what I would say, was an ability to work through this, given the fact that we had rights on leasing on both sides, and they weren’t willing to put any more capital in. So this was the best resolution for both parties. I think we obviously believe this asset has massive upside. We proved it with our most recent deal, which we just announced a couple of days ago, which has a follow-on on several hundred thousand square feet that is being looked at both by the existing entity and AI entity as well.
And so as a result, this is a great deal for Hudson. And our basis is what our basis is on that asset, which is below what we paid for it in 2010. And it’s been a great investment for us throughout. And yes, we have vacancy that has occurred and will continue to occur with the 2 large tenants, one moved out and one moving out next year, but it gives us an opportunity to lease this up.
Harout Diramerian: And then to address the earnings impact. So as I said in my prepared remarks, the two areas that did change between year-end and now our interest expense and FFO attributable to noncontrolling interest. And those are directly as a result of buying out our partner. So we’re going to incur about $2 million more of interest expense, but we’re also going to generate $9 million more of FFO as a result of that transaction, which is fantastic in the short term and then our leasing will continue to improve that number on a go-forward basis.
Operator: Our next question comes from Ronald Kamdem of Morgan Stanley.
Ronald Kamdem: Just two quick ones. So one, starting with the leasing pipeline, you had 1.9 million, I think, at the end of 4Q. Just trying to get an update where that is. And if you could just provide commentary where you sort of — where is occupancy you see that trending at the end of the year. And if the lease with 1455 was included in the previous expectations? Or is that an upside surprise?
Arthur Suazo: Yes. So I’ll address the pipeline first. It’s in the 1.9 million, as you said. It ebbs and flows anywhere from 1.7 million back over 2 million square feet, usually around 2 million actually. But as deals occur. So if you think about the last 2 quarters, it’s remained at that number and we’ve leased just about just under 1 million square feet, right? So that is the piece that is the most promising is that the pipeline continues to remain robust as we start to negotiate on new deals and so forth. And where it sits now, we’re still at 1 million — we’re still at about 1.9 million, having at least 500,000 square feet. And as Victor had mentioned, obviously, we’ve got a big deal that we’ve inked since, subsequent to the quarter.
So we feel really good at where it is. Why do we feel good about where it is, we’ve been saying for a couple of quarters now that the leading indicator for our active deals in negotiation is tracking our tours. And it spiked in Q4, right? It spiked, there was about 1.4 million worth of tours in Q4 and it’s sustained itself, the numbers were really right on top of each other. So what we’re seeing, and we continue to see is that tour activity, which at some point, becomes deals in negotiation has sustained itself which is why the acceleration in lease velocity that we experienced in the first quarter, we’re comfortable saying that it’s going to continue into the next quarter.
Mark Lammas: This is Mark. On the occupancy, last call, we gave you the building blocks to outline for you how we could potentially get back to end of ’23 occupancy, which just as a reminder, was 80.9%. I’m not going to walk you back through those building blocks. But we did also indicate that we — that our own model suggested that we would see a bit of a dip in occupancy in the first and second quarter with improvement in third and fourth quarter. Our first quarter results are materially in line with what our expectations were. So our — in terms of just our expectations regarding occupancy for the year, our first quarter outcome seems to be essentially right on top of our original expectations.
Ronald Kamdem: Really helpful. And then just my second one was just sort of back to the studio NOI, I mean, I think you sort of talked about a long-term potential, just taking a step back here, right, of 131 million. So if sort of Quixote was doing 75 to 80, the balance 50 to 55 was just sort of the in-place presumably. I guess I’m trying to figure out what sort of all this uncertainty with the strike as a thinking that, that long-term target is still sort of realistic or what sort of production environment you need to get back into in L.A. for those targets to sort of make sense?
Mark Lammas: Yes. No, it remains realistic. I mean I think it’s important, by the way, to remember that also includes Glenoaks, which we’re in negotiations on a pilot for a stage there, and we have good, healthy leasing interest there. We just got to get it leased up now, and also ultimately Pier 94. So are the ingredients there, the ingredients are definitely there. The business has been a bit slower to get back on its feet as we indicated. That’s reflected in the show counts, which, as Victor indicated, are high teens, below, say, same period 2022, which is a good normalized kind of level to look to. Shoot days are down. One other indicator of that is if you look at shoot days in first on 4 months of the year compared to shoot days in the first 4 months of 2022 for TV, drama and comedy, they’re down almost 40%.
So the business is slower to get back to normal, then I think everyone in the industry expected. But once it gets back there, our Quixote business will rebound. Once it rebounds, we get the stages at Las Palmas leased up. And as we sit today of the 10 available stages that we have there, we have either — we’re in contracts or we have holds on 6 of those 10. We need to get those over the line, get those stages leased up. We need to get Glenoaks leased up. And then ultimately, when Pier 94 delivers. And then the number that you just outlined, it’s still within sight.
Operator: Our next question comes from Caitlin Burrows of Goldman Sachs.
Caitlin Burrows: I guess similar tied into that occupancy question that somebody asked before. Could you talk about your expectations for retention for the year or the rest of the year? Kind of how informed is that view at this point? And where do you think mark-to-markets on expirations for the rest of the year are?
Arthur Suazo: It’s Art. Yes, so our retention right now, as we reported, we’re about 45% for remaining expirations. That number, just remember that number includes — there’s probably 40% of that number is late-stage, smaller tenants under 6,000 square feet. So the answer is, yes, we’re in discussions with most of them — most of those small tenants. As the year progresses, we’ll get a better line of sight on what they’re doing. They usually engage 90 days out. So that number can definitely go up. And so we feel comfortable about the 45%, maybe moving beyond that.