Polen Capital, an investment management firm, published its “Polen International Growth” second quarter 2021 investor letter – a copy of which can be downloaded here. A return of 5.57% was delivered by the fund for the Q2 of 2021, outperforming its MSCI All Country World benchmark that delivered a 5.47% return for the same period. You can take a look at the fund’s top 5 holdings to have an idea about their top bets for 2021.
In the Q2 2021 investor letter of Polen Capital, the fund mentioned SAP SE (NYSE: SAP) and discussed its stance on the firm. SAP SE is a Walldorf, Germany-based software company with a $174.2 billion market capitalization. SAP delivered a 13.18% return since the beginning of the year, while its 12-month returns are down by -11.02%. The stock closed at $146.98 per share on August 25, 2021.
Here is what Polen Capital has to say about SAP SE in its Q2 2021 investor letter:
“During the second quarter, the leading absolute contributors to performance (includes) SAP. German enterprise software company SAP was a leading contributor to Portfolio returns in the quarter. Over the last six months, SAP rolled out a new simplified commercial offering aimed at making it easier for their customers to transition their core enterprise resource planning software to the cloud. “Rise with SAP” will encourage customers to consider moving certain workloads to new cloudenabled software. In many cases, SAP customers standardized business processes on SAP software over decades. Contemplating and enacting transformational change is a huge undertaking for these customers. Historically, transitioning to the cloud involves many third-party helpers, so having a single, trusted partner to lead the conversation, design the road map, and own the execution is helpful. Further, as customers shift to the cloud, more peripheral workloads can be handled by SAP, thereby potentially increasing the scale of its relationship with certain customers. Not all legacy customers will adopt SAP’s cloud software, but there could be meaningful performance benefits (quicker innovation, more agility, and mobility, etc.) and cost savings for those that do.
In addition, new customers are coming aboard the SAP cloud platform, which we view as a testament to its leading capabilities. This initiative could drive cloud software revenue growth greater than 20% in the coming years, some of which will cannibalize existing onpremise software sales. That said, the potential net result is attractive and durable growth. We think SAP is capable of doubledigit earnings growth over the coming five-year period.”
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Based on our calculations, SAP SE (NYSE: SAP) was not able to clinch a spot in our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. SAP was in 17 hedge fund portfolios at the end of the first half of 2021, compared to 19 funds in the previous quarter. SAP SE (NYSE: SAP) delivered a 6.71% return in the past 3 months.
Hedge funds’ reputation as shrewd investors has been tarnished in the last decade as their hedged returns couldn’t keep up with the unhedged returns of the market indices. Our research has shown that hedge funds’ small-cap stock picks managed to beat the market by double digits annually between 1999 and 2016, but the margin of outperformance has been declining in recent years. Nevertheless, we were still able to identify in advance a select group of hedge fund holdings that outperformed the S&P 500 ETFs by 115 percentage points since March 2017 (see the details here). We were also able to identify in advance a select group of hedge fund holdings that underperformed the market by 10 percentage points annually between 2006 and 2017. Interestingly the margin of underperformance of these stocks has been increasing in recent years. Investors who are long the market and short these stocks would have returned more than 27% annually between 2015 and 2017. We have been tracking and sharing the list of these stocks since February 2017 in our quarterly newsletter.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
