Merion Road Capital Management, an investment advisor, released its first-quarter 2025 investor letter. A copy of the letter can be downloaded here. In the first quarter, Merion Road Small Cap Fund returned (7.8%) compared to (9.5%) return for the Russell 2000 Index. The decline was due to small-cap companies’ continuous underperformance relative to their larger counterparts. The long-only portfolio of Merion Road declined (8.2%) during the quarter compared to S&P 500’s (4.3%) return. The decline was primarily attributable to tech-oriented holdings and economically sensitive industrials. In addition, you can check the fund’s top 5 holdings to determine its best picks for 2025.
In its first-quarter 2025 investor letter, Merion Road Capital Management highlighted stocks such as Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG). Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG), the parent company of Google, offers various platforms and services operating through Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets segments. The one-month return of Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG) was -13.27%, and its shares lost 6.29% of their value over the last 52 weeks. On April 21, 2025, Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG) stock closed at $149.86 per share with a market capitalization of $1.855 trillion.
Merion Road Capital Management stated the following regarding Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG) in its Q1 2025 investor letter:
“The long only portfolio fell slightly over 8% during the quarter, primarily attributable to our tech-oriented holdings (GOOG, AMZN) and economically sensitive industrials (CLH, FERG). Regarding the former, there continues to be a debate as to whether or not their investments in AI will produce adequate returns. The AI race publicly began back in 2023 when Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella threw the gauntlet down stating that he hopes GOOG would “come out and show that they can dance.” In response, Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG) ramped their capex spend from $32bn in 2023 to almost $53bn last year, with a planned $75bn this year. So far, their pre-tax return on tangible capital has barely budged at 48% (though consensus has this falling next year). With a wide range of ubiquitous products, GOOG is as well positioned as anyone to win the war. For instance, the integration of AI overviews into search has produced strong metrics and the company is broadening its application to encompass novel query formats, including images and audio.
But will all of this investment generate an acceptable return? I don’t know. And it will be many years before we have an answer. CEO Pichai’s philosophy is that the cost of missing out on what could be a generational opportunity far outweighs the benefits of conserving its cash. This makes sense to me. Even if GOOG burns the majority of their free cash flow over the next couple years, that’s a drop in the bucket. The value in the business comes from the long tail of earnings from things like Search, Youtube, Cloud, and hopefully some of their moonshots (I’m looking at you Waymo). If AI returns disappoint, I believe GOOG will scale back.”
A user’s hands typing a search query into a Google Search box, emphasizing the company’s search capabilities.
Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG) is in 7th position on our list of 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 174 hedge fund portfolios held Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG) at the end of the fourth quarter which was 160 in the previous quarter. In 2024, Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) achieved a revenue growth of 14% compared to 2023, reaching $350 billion. For the fourth quarter, the revenue was $96.5 billion, reflecting a 12% increase in both reported and constant currency. While we acknowledge the potential of Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG) as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is as promising as NVIDIA but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
In another article, we covered Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG) and shared Wedgewood Partners’ views on the company. In addition, please check out our hedge fund investor letters Q1 2025 page for more investor letters from hedge funds and other leading investors.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.