Over the years of investing, there are some stocks that continue to edge higher in the midst of certain economic uncertainty. One such company is Google Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG), which has seen its stock go up significantly since its 2008 low of around $300 per share. Over the last five years, the stock has climbed to the point where it is now trading at around $780 per share. Is Google ready to go higher?
I feel that Google has more room to run, and I feel that eventually it will advance to $1,000 per share, with the belief that market conditions stay the way they are now. Google Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG) is trying to branch out to different business segments, but its main revenue source is advertising. Google reported that in 2012 it generated $50 billion in revenue for the first time ever.
The company has a market cap of $261.5 billion. That’s a big valuation, but earnings growth over the next five years is expected to be at around 15%. The price-to-earnings ratio is 24. This number is still low, and I think investors have a great opportunity to invest in a company that continues to go up.
King of display ads
Google Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG) is the king of display ads, and this shows in the numbers that it releases each year. Currently the company takes in more than 41% of all digital ad revenue in the U.S. Search still gives Google value, but display ads are turning into a $5 billion business.
Google took the lead for ad revenue in 2012, earning approximately $2.3 billion. Facebook Inc (NASDAQ:FB) was in second place for 2012 at about $2.2 billion.
In the past, it seems that Google and Facebook Inc (NASDAQ:FB) have always traded places on leading in ad revenue, but Google seems to have the upper hand over the next few years. According to emarketer, Google will lead 2013 in ad revenue, coming in at $3.1 billion. The higher ad revenue forecast should be attributed to the future growth of ads on mobile devices.
Facebook in competition mode
It seems Google has a lot of work to do to keep Facebook Inc (NASDAQ:FB) from digging into its ad revenue. Google may be doing better against Facebook in terms of desktop display ads, but when it comes to mobile ads, Facebook is far outpacing its nearest rival. Facebook is expected to take 28% of mobile display ads in 2013, while Google Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG) is only expected to get 19%.
Why are mobile display ads more important? Well it seems that advertisers are paying more for mobile ads. With the growth of smartphones and tablets, more money is being spent on mobile ads. It’s common sense that any tech company wanting to compete in advertising in the future must start growing in mobile ads. Otherwise it will be left behind in terms of revenue.
What’s most impressive is that U.S. mobile ad spending is expected to grow by 77% in 2013 to about $7.3 billion. That’s not as big as the growth in 2012, when mobile ads grew by 174%, but it’s still significant growth nonetheless. This battle is far from producing a clear winner, but it goes to show that Google can raise its valuation if it shows an increase in mobile display ads.
Bing wants a peace of the pie
Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) wants to become a player in display ads as well with its Bing search engine. The U.S. online market share in advertising revenue for 2012 was around $39.5 billion. Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) had 5.7% in 2012, while Google was at 44.9%. Microsoft still has a long way to go, but it continues to build its ad revenue. Facebook was slightly ahead of Microsoft in the same time period with 6.5% of total display-ad revenue.
It seems that Bing is starting to compete against Google Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG) in display ads. Whether or not Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT)’s Bing ever edges higher than Google in ad spending remains to be seen, and even then it will be many years before we see that happen. If you are a long-term investor in Google, this should worry you slightly because Bing can keep taking market share away from Google.
Google earnings
Google reported first quarter earnings per share of $11.58 compared to analyst estimates of only $10.66 per share. On the other hand, quarterly revenue came in light at around $13.9 billion, when analysts were expecting $14.1 billion. As a side note, I would say that the shift into mobile-ad revenue may be the cause of the performance.
In Q2, if mobile ad revenue is implemented correctly, I believe that Google should do better in terms of revenue. Facebook has the edge now, but Google should gain more as its mobile plan is executed.
I feel this way because of the great numbers posted by Google Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG) in advertising revenue for the quarter. Its advertising business reported revenue of approximately $9.9 billion, an increase of 22% compared to last year’s revenue of $8 billion.
Final thoughts
Google has all the tools at its disposal to continue climbing higher in the coming months. Whether you are a short-term trader or a long-term investor, I don’t think you can go wrong taking a look at this company.
The good part about Google is that it’s branching out into different ways of generating revenue. Although display ads are a huge part of its business, that can all change with its other platforms.
The competition is intense in the online-advertising space, but Google should continue its lead in desktop display ads. Whether it takes market share away from Facebook for mobile-display ads remains to be seen.
Despite this, don’t count on Google Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG) quitting without putting up a huge fight. This company has the money to thwart off competitors as it has $50 billion in cash on hand. With all this information I believe that much more money can be made investing in Google, and that the stock will keep soaring to new highs.
The article Google Keeps Soaring to New Highs originally appeared on Fool.com and is written by Terry Chrisomalis.
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