Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. (NYSE:FSM) Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. (NYSE:FSM) Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript May 8, 2024

Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. isn’t one of the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds at the end of the third quarter (see the details here).

Operator: Greetings and welcome to the First Quarter 2024 Financial and Operational Results Call for Fortuna Silver. [Operator Instructions] Please note this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the conference over to your host, Mr. Carlos Baca, Vice President of Investor Relations. Sir, you may begin.

Carlos Baca: Thank you, Ali. Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. I would like to welcome you to Fortuna Silver Mines first quarter 2024 financial and operational results conference call. Hosting the call today on behalf of the company will be Jorge Alberto Ganoza, President and Chief Executive Officer; Luis Dario Ganoza, Chief Financial Officer; Cesar Velasco, Chief Operating Officer, Latin America; and David Whittle, Chief Operating Officer, West Africa. Today’s earnings call presentation is available on our website. As a reminder, statements made during this call are subject to the reader advisories included in yesterday’s news release, the earnings call presentation, MD&A and the risk factors in our annual information form.

Financial figures contained in the presentation and discussed in today’s call are presented in U.S. dollars unless otherwise stated. Technical information in the presentation has been reviewed and approved by Eric Chapman, Fortuna’s Senior Vice President of Technical Services and qualified person. I would now like to turn the call over to Jorge Alberto Ganoza, President, Chief Executive Officer and Co-Founder of Fortuna.

Jorge Alberto Ganoza: Good morning to all. We continue to report strong operational and financial performance and according to our plans and guidance expect an even stronger second half of the year for production and costs. Of our $225 million in sales, gold contributed 81% and silver 10%, with the balance being [indiscernible]. We realized an average gold price in the quarter of $2,087 per ounce compared to $1,990 in the fourth quarter of 2023. Silver stayed flat at $23 quarter-over-quarter. Our attributable net income and adjusted net income for the quarter were both $26 million or $0.09 per share. Cash flow from operations before changes in working capital was $84 million or $0.28 per share. Both earnings and cash flow were well ahead of analysts’ consensus figures of $0.06 and $0.25 per share respectively.

All our mines delivered gold and silver production in line with our plans and within guidance range projections for the year. At 112,000 gold equivalent ounces, production was softer when compared to the previous two quarters where we had consecutive record production of $129,000 and 136,000 gold equivalent ounces in Q3 and Q4 of 2023, respectively. The reduction against previous quarters is largely explained by lower grades and ounces produced at Séguéla but well according to plan. Quarterly production during 2024 is planned to pick up throughout the year with Q1 having the lowest planned production. All our mines reported consistent AISC tracking well to be within our annual guidance range. Consolidated cash cost per gold equivalent ounce was $879.

And if we adjust for San Jose mine, which is mining on its last year of reserves, the cash cost is a low $744 per ounce. Consolidated AISC at $1,495 per gold equivalent ounce is on the very low end of our guidance range for the year, which is between $1,485 and $1,640 and slightly lower than the $1,509 we reported in Q4 2023. The low AISC is largely explained by Séguéla higher gold production and lower cost per ton against your budgets and timing of capital expenses at the Lindero mine leach pad expansion. The largest short-term opportunity in the portfolio today is a throughput optimization at the Séguéla mine, which continues to render fruit. After relining of the mill and other minor works in April, the plant is expected to reach a process rate of 220 dry metric tons per hour or 42% above nameplate capacity and 25% above our 2024 budget.

Looking forward, there is an emerging situation in April in Cote d’Ivoire. Technical failures at two gas plant sourcing power into the national grid, has resulted in outages at national level. It is expected power will be restored at normal levels in July. With the information available at this moment, we believe guidance for the year at Séguéla is still achievable with no corresponding impact on consolidated guidance. With respect to capital allocation, management continued during the quarter to focus on three priorities: one, provide maximum flexibility to our balance sheet. During the period, we paid an additional $40 million on our revolving credit facility, totaling $123 million since we started repayment in the third quarter of 2023.

We brought net debt down to $83 million and our total net debt to EBITDA ratio stands at a low 0.221. Our liquidity position stands at $212 million at the end of the quarter, essentially flat with respect to the previous quarter. Second is opportunistic return to shareholders. Management initiated its normal course issuer bid program in the quarter with the repurchase of 1 million shares for cancellation at an average price of $3.42 in the New York Stock Exchange. The normal course issuer bid has been renewed in April for an additional year for up to 5% of the issued and outstanding shares of the company. And third, funding organic growth opportunities in our portfolio. Our priority exploration programs at Séguéla, Diamba Sud, San Jose and Yaramoko continue to yield positive results.

At the Séguéla mine in Côte d’Ivoire, the exploration team is planning to have new resources this year at the deposits of [indiscernible] Gabbro North and Kingfisher. Of note is a newly discovered Kingfisher deposit where drilling continues to return consistent results over the 2-kilometer strike length of the identified mineralization. A fourth drill rig has now been mobilized to Séguéla to further capitalize on these opportunities as well as examining the underground potential at deposits where we currently hold reserves in Kula [indiscernible] Sunbird. At Yaramoko in Burkina Faso, we continue to make marginal gains of high-grade mineralization at the immediate boundaries of resources on Zone 55. These gains are potentially helping to reduce the rate of depletion in the life of mine by providing opportunity to sustain 2025 at above 100,000 ounces of gold production.

At San Jose in Mexico, we continue advancing the Yessi Vein exploration with 3 dedicated drill rigs and planning to add a fourth one in May. Results to date have defined potential economic mineralization within the 350 by 450-meter area, which remains open to the Southeast. Step-out drilling holes are being prioritized currently. For the second quarter, management is planning to drive a 150-meter drift to reach the core of the identified high-grade zone. At [indiscernible] in Senegal, exploration and geotechnical drilling continues to advance according to plan along with environmental studies, hydrologic drilling is set to begin in the second quarter. And last but not least, we had a difficult start of the year on safety indicators for total recordable and lost time injury rates have been impacted by 4 lost time accidents in the quarter.

We have now been operating for 50 days without any recordable accidents and are doubling down on active leadership and multiple other initiatives that Cesar and David will touch on with the objective of still achieving a third year of continued improvement on key safety metrics. I’ll now ask David to provide an update on West African operations. David?

David Whittle: Thanks, Jorge and good day, good morning, everyone. Séguéla and Yaramoko had a successful first quarter with regard to production. At Séguéla, we unfortunately reported one LTI, whilst Yaramoko continued its good safety performance with no LTIs reported. In the first quarter, both Séguéla and Yaramoko outperformed the mine plan, producing 34,556 and 27,177 ounces of gold, respectively. At Séguéla, production was 20% lower compared to the fourth quarter of 2023. The average head grade for the period became more reflective of the life of mine grade. In the quarter, Séguéla mined 421,000 tons of ore at an average gold grade of 2.23 grams per ton and 2.54 million tons of waste to strip ratio of 6:1. The processing plant treated 395,000 tons at an average gold grade of 2.79 grams per ton.

Whilst lining operations were centered on the Antenna pit, 7,000 and 18,000 tons of waste stripping was conducted at the [indiscernible]. Processing plant operations continued to progress beyond the nameplate capacity of 154 tons an hour, achieving an average throughput of 195 tons per hour. Gold recovery for the quarter was 94.4%, in line with design. The second lift of the [indiscernible] storage facility was successfully completed in April benefiting the operation with an additional 2 years of tailing storage at the enhanced throughput rates. Séguéla’s strong performance resulted in a cash cost of $459 and an AISC of $948 per ounce of gold. At Yaramoko, mine production in the first quarter was 124,000 tons at an average gold grade of 8.3 grams per ton, with are primarily sourced from the 55 Zone underground mine.

Development and stoping operations at the Bagassi South mine improved contributing 16,000 tons at an average gold grade of 6.16 grams per ton. For the processing plant, 108,000 tons of ore were treated at an average gold grade of 8.79 grams per ton with a recovery at 98.2%. The lower processing tons are attributed to a planned plant maintenance shutdown for the first 2 weeks of January ‘24. The Yaramoko steady production resulted in a cash cost of $732 and an ASIC of $1,373 per ounce of gold. Development of the main decline, another major capital development at the 55 Zone mine was completed during the quarter. Waste development now is limited to the strike footwall drives whilst all development continues to intersect wider areas and encounters better grades than planned as well as further extending the mining boundaries to the east and the west of the ore body along strike.

Back to you, Jorge.

Jorge Alberto Ganoza: Thank you, David. Cesar, please.

Cesar Velasco: Thank you, Jorge. Yes. So starting in Argentina, Lindero’s gold production in the quarter was 23,262 ounces, this is a 21% decrease compared to the fourth quarter of 2023 due to the lower head grade of ore placed on the leach pad and a reduction in the gold rich carbon inventory. However, gold production remains aligned with the mine plan and mineral reserve estimates for the year. . During the quarter, 2 million tons of ore were mined, had a strip ratio of 0.54 to 1, a total of 1.55 million tons of forward placed on the leach pad at an average gold grade of 0.6 grams per ton, containing an estimated 29,670 ounces. The operation experienced lower mechanical loader availability, which mainly impacted the waste mining plan for the period.

The mine plan has been adjusted to reflect enhanced waste mining during the next quarters and remains in alignment with the mine plan for the year. As of April 30, 2024, the leach pad expansion project is approximately 44% complete with [indiscernible] and the construction of the [indiscernible] line at 33%, respectively. Procurement is 95% complete. Complementing current works, liner installation also commenced in April. The project is advancing on schedule. Reap operations expected to begin or placement by the end of 2024. Lindero had a cash cost of 108 and an ASIC of $1,634 per ounce of gold for the quarter. The costs reflect timing of sales at 1,700 ounces of gold remained in inventory at the end of the period. In addition to timing of sales, the operation experienced higher cost for rental equipment and intensive CapEx execution related to the leach pad expansion project.

On a general note, in-country macroeconomic conditions have improved from what we saw in 2023 and have allowed Lindero to operate more efficiently as a result. In Mexico, at San Jose, unfortunately, we reported 2 LTIs during the quarter. Both incidents were related to employees working at heights. We continue to proactively reinforce our leadership initiatives to improve safety performance throughout all of our operations. San Jose produced 759,111 ounces of silver at an average head grade of 147 grams per ton and 4,533 ounces of gold at an average head grade of 0.90 grams per ton of gold. The processing plant milled 181,103 tons of ore at an average throughput of 2,182 tons per day, in-line with the plan for the period. The mine has less operational flexibility in 2024 when compared to 2023 due to the reduced and more dispersed mineral reserves in the Trinidad deposit.

Production stopes in the upper levels contained lower head grades and a higher presence of Ferro’s oxides, which impacted recoveries by approximately 2% in the quarter. San Jose had a cash cost of $21.98 and an AISC of $24.24 per silver equivalent ounce for the quarter. The increase is explained by the lower head grades, lower production and 50% of our costs are peso-denominated also a stronger Mexican peso impact. The company continues preparation to execute a multiyear progressive mine closure and monetary plan, whilst conducting regular assessments and trade-offs between maintaining operations and the care and maintenance option. As Jorge mentioned before, exploration work continues to advance in the [indiscernible]. In Peru, the Caylloma mine produced 315,460 ounces of silver at an average head grade of 87 grams per ton.

Zinc and lead production was 12.2 million and 9.5 million pounds, respectively. Metal production is in-line with the mineral reserve estimates and production for the period. Underground development for the quarter was mainly focused on the lower levels of the Animas vein. Cash cost per sale equivalent for the quarter was 11.61%, driven primarily by lower treatment and refining charges. The all-in sustaining cash cost per ounce of payable silver equivalent was $17.18. Back to you, Jorge.

Jorge Alberto Ganoza: Luis will now provide a review of the financial results.

Luis Dario Ganoza: Thank you. So we have recorded net attributable income to Fortuna shareholders for the period of $26.5 million or $0.09 per share compared to $10.9 million and $0.04 per share in Q1 of 2023. Main driver for this 143% increase net income was our contribution from the Séguéla mine, which had its first full quarter of operations in Q3 of 2023. And Séguéla has been stressed, contributes low-cost ounces, which helped lower our consolidated cost per gold equivalent ounce sold from $916 in the prior period to $879 in Q1 of 2024. A few comments on the income statement. Depreciation in the quarter was $50 million, which includes close to $16 million in depletion of the purchase price related to the acquisition of Roxgold in 2021.

On general and administration expenses, we recorded $18.2 million. And as shown in the breakdown, we provide of this line item in our MD&A. This was comprised of $7.5 million of in-country G&A at our mining operations, $8.4 million of corporate G&A and $2.2 million of share-based compensation. Our total general and administration expenses were $3.3 million above the comparative period due to the added G&A from the Séguéla mine and higher corporate G&A related to timing of expenses. On foreign exchange, we recorded a loss of $4.1 million, which is primarily related to cash balances held in West Africa in the context of a 2.2% devaluation of the euro versus the U.S. dollar and the cost of foreign exchange trades associated to repatriation of funds from West Africa.

On interest and finance costs, we recorded $6.2 million in the quarter, of which $4.8 million is interest expense, the balance being accretion of right-of-use liabilities and asset retirement obligations. The increase of $3.6 million over 2023 is explained by $2.8 million of interest capitalized in Q1 of the prior year as part of the Séguéla construction and higher efficient charges related to Séguéla in the current quarter. Moving on to the cash flow statement. Our net cash provided by operating activities was $48.9 million after $35.3 million of negative changes in working capital. A significant portion of this was related to timing of accounts payable. I do want to note, we have been experiencing challenges in the collection of VAT at our operations in Burkina Faso and anticipate this might continue to be a challenge moving forward.

In the investing section of the cash flow statement, we recorded $41.3 million under additions to property, plant and equipment, which includes $4.2 million spend at Diamba Sud project in Senegal. Over the next two quarters, we expect higher capital expenditure levels, mostly due to the progression of the leach pad expansion at Lindero. As a remainder – as a reminder, sorry, 2024 is a heavy CapEx year at Lindero with a total budget, including capitalized stripping of $64 million comprising around 50% of our consolidated capital expenditure budget for 2024, excluding exploration activities. And moving on to the balance sheet. As Jorge has mentioned, we’ve been paying down debt aggressively with $40 million paid in the quarter and $123 million paid since the first full quarter of production at Séguéla in Q3 of 2023.

Thank you, and back to you, Carlos.

Carlos Baca: Operator, we can open the floor for questions.

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Q&A Session

Operator: Thank you, sir. [Operator Instructions] Our first question is coming from Adrian Day with Adrian Day Asset Management. Your line is live.

Adrian Day: Yes. Good afternoon, everybody. I wanted to ask about San Jose, the closure, you’re scheduled to close at the end of the year, but obviously, you’re spending money and having success at [indiscernible]. What will it what is required for you to extend mining operations there? And when will a decision be made?

Jorge Alberto Ganoza: Hi, Adrian. We will have a better idea of how the situation at San Jose will evolve. There are potentially different scenarios we are looking at right now. So one is, of course, based on exploration success, we can continue mining. It’s not just exploration success, but also resources that could not get converted in late 2023, benefiting from higher prices as we reassess our mine plans, right? So there is one scenario where we just continue mining. There is a second scenario where we decide to place the mine on care and maintenance, while we continue with exploration at Yessi. And the last one is we exhaust reserves in 2023 and make the decision to just go into – sorry, in 2024 and roll into a progressive closure plan, right?

The San Jose mine has a small footprint. We are currently updating our mine closure plans. But we really will have a better idea of which of the three avenues or three options we have will take. And we need a bit more time. We always have to be hopeful in this business, and we remain hopeful that Yessi will provide opportunities, but that still needs to be proven. Yessi has been an exciting discovery at the San Jose mine, but it needs to graduate from an exciting discovery to an exciting resource reserve. We can plug into mine plans, and we’re not there yet. We continue drilling aggressively. And as discussed in the call, management is planning to extend a drift to the core of the high-grade area to get closer to mineralization and a better handle on mineralization as well.

Adrian Day: Okay, thank you. Thank you, that’s helpful.

Operator: Thank you. Our next question is coming from Don DeMarco with National Bank Financial. Your line is live.

Don DeMarco: Thank you, operator. Good morning, Jorge and team. Maybe just continuing on the last caller’s question, Jorge. I saw that there was a response filed in the Appeals Court in February with the decision expected in 12 months. Could you add more color to this? And could this factor into any decision to extend the mine life at San Jose.

Jorge Alberto Ganoza: With respect to the court ruling. As you know, we had a favorable court ruling on first instance on the administrative court in Mexico that was appealed. We expect the appeal to be resolved by year-end, late 2024. We feel even more stronger or stronger on our legal position based on the ruling that basically discarded all the nonsensical arguments that were presented in front of us. And we are right now not positive that we will get – this appeal will not progress, and that is the last recourse the [indiscernible] against has our permit right now. We are also cognizant that there is a government change coming in June. There are elections and we are in dialogue with the two leading candidates and are hopeful that the investment climate in Mexico for mining will improve as an outcome of this coming election, yes.

Don DeMarco: Okay. Fair enough. And face value, you have got good drill results at Yessi, you got a higher gold price. So, both of those higher silver prices, both of those seem to be in your favor. If you do make a decision to go ahead, would it be kind of, oh, we will extend it one more quarter at a time type thing, or would you think we might extend it the entire year? I mean what is your preliminary thoughts at this point on a potential extension?

Jorge Alberto Ganoza: You see, I will tell you how we are viewing this. As I have said previously, Yessi has been an exciting discovery because it has very high grades over substantial width for mechanized mining. But we still need to learn and define the type of volumes and tonnages that we have available there. Today, we have defined mineralization or a panel area that stretches for 350 meters by 450 meters. This is a mine that can take as much as 1 million tons of ore a year. And at Yessi, doing napkin [ph]– the work in the napkin, you currently probably are getting closer to $0.5 million, right. So, that’s why it’s relevant to step out. It’s taken us a while to understand Yessi, because it has a strike that’s different to what we are used to at the San Jose mine.

The strike of this vein is odd with respect to what we have been mining here for over a decade. So, it took us a while to figure that one out. And now we are drilling for volume. And that’s why I would say that it’s going to be probably into the third quarter when we have a better handle on how big this is and how meaningful it can be to mine plans. Again, one thing it’s an exciting discovery and another one is a resource that you can flow meaningfully into a mine. But right now, we do not have something that can go meaningfully into a mine plan. We are working for that.

Don DeMarco: Okay. Sounds good. So, we look forward to that update maybe in Q3. Across the rest of the portfolio, we see in Côte d´Ivoire, there has been some shortage of electricity due to the national grid out of your control. But is this – you are looking at different options to work around this. Does this pose any risk to guidance for Q2 or Q3?

Jorge Alberto Ganoza: Based on the information we have at this time, our guidance is intact, right. So, we are benefiting from having a mill that can do up to 25% higher throughput than what we budgeted for 2024. We are benefiting from the fact that David stated the West African region in the first quarter has produced almost 7,000 ounces ahead of budget. The problem, that is, the portion of the problem that is out of our control appears to be improving, one of the power generators that came out of line – is back on line. This was a freak situation where two unrelated power plants came out of line, power generators came out of line at the same time. So, we are seeing one already back in line and the other one is expected to be back in July. So, we right now do not see an impact to our second quarter production. But it’s a situation that we monitor closely.

Don DeMarco: Okay. And what was behind this electricity shortage these two incidents that you speak at the private power generation plants? And is there any read-through here about the stability of power in Côte d´Ivoire once these are fixed?

Jorge Alberto Ganoza: We did a thorough assessment of the power availability, stability of the grid when making the construction decision for Séguéla and the assessment was that there was ample power generation capacity and the grid was stable. And then this accident happens, right. So, we are sourcing a longer term solution for us, which is a full backup for the entire operation. We expect we can have that – get those power generators, diesel generators on site by July. So, even if this problem drags on with national grid, we should be autonomous by July. So, that’s why we say that – and that we can control. So, we are bringing the problem into our hands rather than relying on something that’s out of our control.

Don DeMarco: Okay. Thanks for all that. Congratulations on again a strong start to the year and good luck with Q2.

Jorge Alberto Ganoza: Thank you.

Operator: Thank you. Our next question is coming from Eric Winmill with Scotiabank. Your line is live.

Eric Winmill: Great. Thank you. Hi Jorge and team, firstly, taking my question. On Argentina, we are seeing some positive headlines there after the election. Any comments about what you are seeing on the ground? And does this change your view in terms of deploying more CapEx within Argentina? Thanks.

Jorge Alberto Ganoza: I think as Cesar pointed out, we are seeing positive signs all across. But I think there are two important things that we look at here, Eric, that I think the positive signs we are seeing are building up to one, liberating exchange controls, FX controls. I think what we are seeing is a lot of positive steps from these government towards that. And the second one that relates to this is country risk, right. Having lenders, looking at Argentina, as place to where they will take collateral, right. They will lend money to Argentina and Argentinian capital projects. So, we are seeing a lot of positive messages followed by positive actions. Country risk has come down from 2,400 points to around 1,200 points. To give you a sense, the average for Latin American country risk is around 400, right.

So, there is still a long way to go in terms of the country risk perception. But it’s trending in the right direction. We are hearing the right messages from government followed by the right actions. But with respect to our view on investment on new large capital projects, greenfield projects, I think we are still on a watch-and-see mode, yes.

Eric Winmill: Alright. Thank you. I appreciate that. That’s very helpful. Maybe just one more for me on the financial side, obviously, you did see some working capital payments in the quarter. Any sort of view here in terms of an optimal level? Should we expect additional working capital payments throughout the balance of this year?

Jorge Alberto Ganoza: Capital payment, you mean debt?

Eric Winmill: Yes.

Jorge Alberto Ganoza: Yes. We – I mean we intend to continue using our liquidity over the next few quarters to pay down bank debt. The pace at which we do it will be a function of what we decided to do with the convertibles, which is due around October of this year and any other competing uses of cash. But overall, the pace we have seen so far is what we expect to maintain over the next few quarters.

Eric Winmill: Okay. Great. It’s helpful. Appreciate that. And I will hop back in the queue.

Jorge Alberto Ganoza: Thank you.

Operator: [Operator Instructions] We have a question on the line from Tony Christ with Odyssey Investments. Your line is live.

Tony Christ: Thank you. Thank you for taking my question. I want to congratulate you, first of all, your team for a great quarter, and we are looking forward to the future. I wanted to know any color you could give additional comments on your African mines and what your hopes are over the next year, realistic hopes for the mine. Is it at a level now that should be consistent this year? Are there chances it could increase? Any comment, any more color you could give on it. Thank you so much and again, congratulations.

Jorge Alberto Ganoza: Thank you, sir. With respect to our African operations, I can stress that we see short-term opportunities at Séguéla. As stated during the call, we are in a position to run our mill and mine at approximately 25% above the throughput rate that we budgeted in 2024. And that is an outcome of the good work done by the site team on debottlenecking and squeezing the lemon, if you will. On the facility and adequating the mine plans to source or that rate. So, that is low-hanging fruit that we can capture throughout the year. Now, a bit more longer term, we continue enjoying exploration success at Séguéla. I cannot stress that enough, as we are able to not only replace what we deplete but expand beyond that.

We can also consider opportunities for further expansions. And at Yaramoko, in Burkina Faso, the team – the mine is operating at a steady rate. But the team continues to capture opportunities on expansion of the resources. And as I said during the call, we continue to see opportunities on the fringes of the deposit on 755, on the deeper portion of the mine. And as we extend our underground infrastructure or drifts at the deep end of 755, we continue to find its structure with grade, which leads us to think that we have an opportunity to continue ameliorating the rate of depletion at the mine and supporting the loan, right. So, those are the big ones. And of course, the Diamba Sud in Séguéla, which is a big lever for medium-, long-term growth in the company, we are exploring there.

We have close to a 50,000-meter drill program budgeted that we are well advanced. We are advancing with engineering studies, environmental studies in parallel to the exploration. And if successful with the program this year, we believe we are in a position to deliver a PEA also by year-end, an updated preliminary economic assessment on that project by year-end.

Tony Christ: Very good. Thank you. Continue the good work. Thank you.

Jorge Alberto Ganoza: Thank you, Sir.

Operator: Thank you. As we have no further questions in queue at this time, I would like to hand it back to Mr. Carlos Baca for closing remarks.

Carlos Baca: Thank you, Ernie. If there are no further questions, I would like to thank everyone for listening to today’s earnings call. Have a great day.

Operator: Thank you. This concludes today’s conference call and you may disconnect your lines at this time. We thank you for your participation.