In this article, we will take a detailed look at the Famous Analyst Says You Should Buy the Dip on These AI Stocks.
Gene Munster, managing partner at Deepwater Asset Management, said in a latest interview with CNBC that the key reason behind the latest decline in tech stocks was major companies projecting high CapEx and giving no updates on AI monetization. Munster, however, thinks AI spending is necessary for these companies to reap rewards in the future. Munster referred to a latest interview of Mark Zuckerberg in which he said if his company does not keep spending on AI it may miss the biggest opportunity in the next 10-15 years. Munster said Zuckerberg believes this AI spending “cannot slow down.”
“I am most optimistic because that CapEX number, if you’re gonna boil it down to one point, it’s gonna be higher for longer and it’s good for AI.”
Asked whether investors should stick with mega-cap AI stocks or move on to smaller companies that could benefit from this AI spending, Munster said that depends on to what degree you believe in the transformative power of AI.
“If you are in my camp.. which I think it (AI) will be more transformative than the internet, then small companies and the big companies are going to participate.”
Munster thinks the AI-led bull market could last for 3-5 years before ending in what he called a “spectacular bubble burst.”
For this article we picked the AI stocks Gene Munster and his firm Deepwater Asset Management holds, according to the disclosures on CNBC. With each stock we have mentioned the number of hedge fund investors. Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
9. Arista Networks Inc (NYSE:ANET)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 69
Deepwater Asset Management owns a stake in Arista Networks.
Last month, Citi analyst Atif Malik increased his price target on the stock to $385 from $330. The analyst thinks while InfiniBand (a computer networking standard where NVDA has an edge) can take a major chunk of the AI networking market, Ethernet (Arista’s strength) is clearly gaining share. The analyst also said the AI back-end switching total addressable market could reach $15 billion by 2027, up from $10 billion. Based on these catalysts, the analyst increased his earnings estimates for Arista Networks Inc (NYSE:ANET) for 2024, 2025 and 2026 by 4%, 16% and 13%, respectively.
What makes Arista a promising AI stock?
Arista Networks Inc (NYSE:ANET) is set to gain amid the AI-driven shift to high-speed networks due to its open Ethernet design and unified Arista EOS. The company’s partnership with Broadcom also created an opportunity for Arista Networks Inc (NYSE:ANET) to expand its integrated software and hardware solutions.
Arista Networks Inc (NYSE:ANET) claims its Ethernet architecture based on merchant silicon allows fast deployment for major hyperscalers and Tier-2 cloud providers.
During Q1 earnings call, Arista Networks Inc (NYSE:ANET) management said it targets $750 million in AI revenue by 2025.
Ethernet at scale is becoming the de facto network and premier choice for scale-out AI training workloads. A good AI network needs a good data strategy delivered by a highly differentiated EOS and network data lake architecture. We are therefore becoming increasingly constructive about achieving our AI target of 750 million in 2025. In summary, as we continue to set the direction of Arista 2.0 networking, our visibility to new AI and cloud projects is improving, and our enterprise and provider activity continues to progress well.
Read the full earnings call transcript here.
Despite Nvidia’s integrated Ethernet approach with Spectrum-X, Arista Networks Inc (NYSE:ANET) is confident about its scalable AI solutions using Jericho-based platforms, which could drive broader market adoption. Arista Networks Inc (NYSE:ANET) EOS offers a unified interface for various network applications, making it a reliable choice for cloud providers.
Arista Networks Inc (NYSE:ANET) does not see Nvidia as a direct competitor in the Ethernet space yet. Playing on its strengths instead of competing against a giant gives it a strong position in the market.
Madison Mid Cap Fund stated the following regarding Arista Networks, Inc. (NYSE:ANET) in its Q2 2024 investor letter:
“We trimmed our positions in Arista Networks, Inc. (NYSE:ANET) and Carlisle Companies. Both of these companies have witnessed strong multi-year growth in their stock prices, which have resulted in elevated valuations. While we remain confident in the long-term prospects of both of these businesses, we trimmed our holdings to more appropriate position sizes given the risk/reward offered.”
8. Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 74
Gene Munster continues to be bullish on Tesla.
Amid a decline in EV sales growth, Elon Musk’s only option is to go all-in on AI. After a Twitter poll that overwhelmingly voted in favor of Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) investing capital in xAI, Musks’ AI company, the CEO of Tesla said he’d discuss investing $5 billion in xAI with Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA).
Elon Musk said in a latest earnings call with analysts that massive discounts from Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) competitors created headwinds for the company in the most recently reported quarter.
Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) has also delayed its robotaxi event until October. All possible catalysts for Tesla stock lie far into the future and the reality is revealing itself to Elon Musk who admitted during the latest earnings call that he’s been overly optimistic about robo taxis.
“It’s difficult, obviously, my predictions on this have been overly optimistic in the past. So I mean, based on the current trend, it seems as though we should get miles between interventions to be high enough that — to be far enough in excess of humans that you could do unsupervised possibly by the end of this year. I would be shocked if we cannot do it next year.”
During the second quarter, Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) automotive gross margin fell to 18.47% from 19.22% the previous year. Non-automotive revenue, now 22% of total sales compared to 14.67% in Q2 2023, has a lower gross margin, negatively impacting overall profitability. Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) is still heavily reliant on EVs where demand is falling. Tesla energy business is not strong enough to offset declines in the core business.
Baron Partners Fund stated the following regarding Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) in its first quarter 2024 investor letter:
“The vast majority of the Fund’s underperformance this quarter stemmed from the Fund’s 10-year investment in Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA). Tesla’s shares fell 29.3% during the period and detracted 13.41% from the Fund’s first quarter results. Although Tesla has contributed importantly to the Fund’s performance since 2014, on occasion it has detracted from quarterly performance. In previous instances when Tesla shares have underperformed during a discrete period, they have shortly afterwards reflected the strong growth of the underlying business and the stock has appreciated considerably. We believe that will be the case again, although cannot guarantee it.
A significant decline also occurred at the end of 2022. In that instance, investors had become concerned about a host of external factors. Investors believed the company founder, visionary, and CEO Elon Musk was distracted by his acquisition of Twitter. They also believed a weak Chinese economy emerging from COVID and U.S. government policies would curtail the purchases of Tesla vehicles. These fears proved to be overblown. As the company achieved milestones in the succeeding year, the stock subsequently doubled over the next 12 months
7. ServiceNow Inc (NYSE:NOW)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 90
Gene Munster mentioned ServiceNow’s earnings in his interview and said application companies like NOW can benefit from the rising AI spend.
ServiceNow Inc (NYSE:NOW) impressed the market with strong second-quarter results which have proved the company’s AI potential. Morgan Stanley’s Keith Weiss maintained his Overweight rating on the stock and a $900 price target, saying the AI momentum is real and continues to build. ServiceNow Inc (NYSE:NOW) said additional annual revenue from new Pro Plus edition contracts, which includes generative AI features, doubled from the previous quarter. The company secured 11 new contracts worth over $1 million each. Analysts believe ServiceNow Inc (NYSE:NOW) strength is its NOW platform as it makes it easier for companies to integrate all tools and software at one place, including Salesforce, Microsoft, and SAP. The company’s portfolio has 168 digital workflow solutions with a 98% renewal rate.
In a tough environment for SaaS companies, ServiceNow Inc (NYSE:NOW) managed to raise its full-year guidance. It also raised its operating income by 50 basis points.
NOW is training at 40 times its estimates earning for 2025, which is not a high multiple when compared with over 20% revenue growth estimates for ServiceNow Inc (NYSE:NOW) and an increasing number of growth catalysts.
Lakehouse Global Growth Fund stated the following regarding ServiceNow, Inc. (NYSE:NOW) in its April 2024 investor letter:
“US-based software company, ServiceNow, Inc. (NYSE:NOW), provided another strong result, continuing its long and consistent track record of 20%-plus revenue growth combined with healthy profitability. Subscription revenues grew 25% year-on-year to $2.5 billion and free cash flow grew 47% year-on-year to $1.2 billion. The company’s core operating metrics were also impressive with remaining performance obligations growing 26% year-on-year to $17.7 billion (i.e. roughly 2x 2023 revenue) and renewal rates holding steady at 98%. Performance was evenly spread across segments, products, and geographies, with notable strength in the US federal government. The company now boasts 1,933 customers generating in excess of $1 million in Annual Contract Value (ACV), which is pleasing to see as it implies multiple solutions are involved and that the company’s platform model is increasingly resonating with customers. In our view, ServiceNow is one the highest quality software businesses globally as the combination of consistent growth at scale, robust free cash flow generation and a large addressable market make it a compelling opportunity.”
6. Micron Technology Inc (NASDAQ:MU)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 115
Deepwater Asset Management owns a stake in Micron.
Bank of America analyst Vivek Arya recently talked about the latest declines in semiconductor stocks. However, the analyst said most of the declines were due to temporary factors and fundamentals are still “intact.”
“AI still the strongest and most dependable area of capex, driven by domestic US tech companies with solid balance sheets, proven monetization and mission-critical imperatives…” Arya said.
Micron Technology Inc (NASDAQ:MU) posted quarterly results earlier in the month which came in better than expected but the market didn’t welcome the in-line guidance and rising expenses. However, this short-term view misses the fact that Micron Technology Inc (NASDAQ:MU) is investing heavily in high bandwidth memory (HBM) production that is expected to generate billions in sales by fiscal 2025 compared with just hundreds of millions in 2024.
After the earnings, BofA analyst Vivek Arya reiterated a Buy rating and gave a $170 price target on Micron Technology Inc (NASDAQ:MU).
“Mgmt emphasized both CY24 and CY25 volumes are now fully sold out with pricing generally secured, providing visibility to its healthy sales and margin expansions (HBM is GM accretive),” Arya said.
Here is what Micron Technology Inc (NASDAQ:MU) said about HBM during fiscal Q3 earnings call:
“Our HBM shipment ramp began in fiscal Q3, and we generated over $100 million in HBM3E revenue in the quarter, at margins accretive to DRAM and overall Company margins. We expect to generate several hundred million dollars of revenue from HBM in fiscal 2024 and multiple billions of dollars in revenue from HBM in fiscal 2025. We expect to achieve HBM market share commensurate with our overall DRAM market share sometime in calendar 2025. Our HBM is sold out for calendar 2024 and 2025, with pricing already contracted for the overwhelming majority of our 2025 supply. We are making significant strides toward expanding our HBM customer base in calendar 2025, as we design-in our industry-leading HBM technology with major HBM customers. We have sampled our 12-high HBM3E product and expect to ramp it into high-volume production in calendar 2025 and increase in mix throughout 2025.”
ClearBridge Value Equity Strategy stated the following regarding Micron Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MU) in its Q2 2024 investor letter:
“Stock selection in the IT sector proved to be the largest contributor to performance, particularly driven by the strong performance of Micron Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MU) The company, which designs, develops, manufactures and sells memory and storage products, continued its strong performance alongside other AI beneficiaries as the anticipated demand for new and additional storage essential for housing and training large language AI models continues to grow.”
5. Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ:AVGO)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 115
Deepwater Asset Management has a stake in Broadcom (AVGO).
TD Cowen in a fresh note named Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ:AVGO) as one of the stocks that can benefit from the rise in AI spending. Analysts at the firm said there are “no signs” of generative AI demand abating and highlighted that Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ:AVGO) recently raised its full-year AI outlook. Broadcom expects AI-related revenue for 2024 at $11 billion.
Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ:AVGO) recently reported second-quarter results. Revenue in the second quarter rose about 43% year over year in the second quarter. AI revenue in the period rose a whopping 280 year over year. Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ:AVGO) revenue stream is diverse and does not rely on a single source. It includes enterprise, networking, storage, data center/hyperscaler, industrial, and consumer space. For 2024 Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ:AVGO) has increased its annual revenue guidance to over $51 billion, anticipating growth of over 40%. A significant portion of this growth is expected to come from software, which would also help margins.
Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ:AVGO) Ethernet business is also strong amid partnerships with Arista Networks (ANET), while the company is also collaborating with Dell (DELL), Juniper (JNPR), and Super Micro (SMCI) in the networking business and other segments. Broadcom has also developed ASIC AI chips in partnership with Google and Meta Platforms.
Based on this strong growth and upcoming catalysts, Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ:AVGO) forward P/E of about 25 makes the stock look undervalued.
Aristotle Atlantic Large Cap Growth Strategy stated the following regarding Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO) in its Q2 2024 investor letter:
“Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO) is a global technology leader that designs, develops and supplies a broad range of semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions. The company strategically focuses its research and development resources to address niche opportunities in target markets and leverage its extensive portfolio of U.S. and other patents and other intellectual property to integrate multiple technologies and create system-on-chip component and software solutions that target growth opportunities. Broadcom designs products and software that deliver high performance and provide mission-critical functionality. The company has a history of innovation in the semiconductor industry and offers thousands of products that are used in end products such as enterprise and data center networking, home connectivity, “set-top boxes broadband access”, telecommunication equipment, smartphones and base stations, data center servers and storage systems, factory automation, power generation and alternative energy systems, and electronic displays. Broadcom differentiates itself through its high-performance design and integration capabilities and focuses on developing products for target markets where it believes it can earn attractive margins.
We view Broadcom’s semiconductor business as being very well positioned to benefit from secular growth in data center networking, which is being driven by AI and cloud computing. The company continues to invest in research and development, and we see this as a competitive advantage for the company. Broadcom’s infrastructure software business is a recurring revenue business model that provides mission-critical mainframe support software to its customer base. The recent VMware acquisition will enhance this business strategy and accelerate the growth rate of this business unit, as VMware’s product suite includes key tools for AI server upgrades. Our long-term investment thesis is supported by Broadcom’s success in its strategy of maintaining technology and market share leadership in mission-critical markets with high switching costs and deep profit pools.”
4. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (NYSE:TSM)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 135
TSM is one of the top AI semiconductor stocks in Deepwater Asset Management’s portfolio.
Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd. (NYSE:TSM) is one of the top AI semiconductor stocks big tech funds are piling into, and for the right reasons. Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd. (NYSE:TSM) is the biggest foundry that makes chips for fabless companies, enjoying an over 50% market share. Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd. (NYSE:TSM) is behind some of the world’s most advanced chips, including 2nm and 3nm nodes. It supplies chips to major players like Apple (AAPL), Qualcomm (QCOM), and Nvidia (NVDA).
Despite these growth catalysts, analysts believe Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd. (NYSE:TSM) valuation is depressed amid the Taiwan factor — any conflict between China and Taiwan would hamper Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd.’s (NYSE:TSM) business due to its huge reliance on international supply chains. The stock is trading at a forward P/E of 27, much lower than peers like ASML, NVDA and AMD. But some believe these concerns are overblown and there are no short-term risks to Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd. (NYSE:TSM) from this perspective. Bank of America’s Brad Lin recently increased his earnings estimate and price target for the stock, saying TSMC is the “key beneficiary and enabler of AI prosperity.” Lin set a $180 price target on TSMC. Lin thinks Apple’s latest plans revealed at the WWDC event would bode well for Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd. (NYSE:TSM) since TSMC makes 25% of its revenue from the Cupertino giant.
Wedgewood Partners stated the following regarding Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (NYSE:TSM) in its Q2 2024 investor letter:
“Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (NYSE:TSM) was a top contributor to performance during the quarter. The Company’s revenue growth continued to accelerate due to the rollout of its leading-edge N3 manufacturing node along with strong demand for chips used in artificial intelligence applications. Unlike in traditional CPUs, the Company has blue-chip customers, monopoly market share for manufacturing AI chips, such as GPUs. The Company’s aggressive investment in capital equipment several years ago should continue to pay off as fabless chip designers proliferate and require a manufacturing partner to shoulder capex risk. The Company’s continued aggressive investment and deployment in semiconductor manufacturing equipment is not an easily replicable competitive advantage.”
3. Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 150
Gene Munster continues to be bullish on Apple.
Does Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL) have any AI growth catalysts? Wall Street is turning bullish on the company after Apple revealed Apple Intelligence plans at the WWDC event.
Morgan Stanley expects Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL) to ship nearly 500 million iPhones in the next two years, marking a 6% increase from the FY21-FY22 cycle. Morgan Stanley said this growth can boost the annual iPhone average selling price (ASP) by 5%, leading to nearly $485 billion in revenue and $8.70 in earnings per share by FY26, exceeding consensus estimates by 7-9%.
Wall Street is expecting a new AI-powered refresh cycle for iPhones because it’s been years since millions of users upgraded their iPhones. Wedbush recently said 270 million, of 1.5 billion iPhones, have not upgraded in 4+ years
Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL) is also training Siri based on its own language models. These smaller models run on devices, handling various daily tasks, with Apple revealing its on-device model has 3 billion parameters. For more complex tasks, a larger language model runs on Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL) private servers, though its size is undisclosed and likely smaller than current large language models like OpenAI’s GPT-4, which has around 1.8 trillion parameters.
Polen Focus Growth Strategy stated the following regarding Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) in its Q2 2024 investor letter:
“The largest relative detractors in the quarter were NVIDIA, Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL), and Salesforce. In a reversal from some of the concerns driving the stock down in the first quarter, Apple re-emerged as a top performer in the second quarter. The company reported better-than-feared results in its iPhone segment that quelled concerns over weakness in China. Additionally, the company forecast a return to sales growth and announced a $110 billion stock buyback plan, the largest in U.S. history. Later in the period, at its Worldwide Developers Conference, Apple introduced long-awaited new AI features that spurred some optimism around an upgrade cycle for the iPhone and, more generally, the important role Apple may be able to play in the emerging AI landscape. We continue to study Apple closely, which we previously owned the company for many years during its growth phase, to determine if it is poised for another significant revenue and earnings growth period.”
2. Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:GOOG)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 165
Gene Munster in his latest interview reiterated his bullish take on Alphabet, saying the company is best positioned for AI monetization thanks to the huge “distribution” advantage due to billions of users of its products.
Munster also said recently that Alphabet is going to win the “AI arms race.” While talking to CNBC, the analyst said that Google search business is “intact, no need to worry.” Munster’s thesis is based on his in-depth testing of several large language models and chatbots including Google’s Gemini. Munster also thinks other chatbots do not offer a strong imperative for users to switch from Google search as of yet.
Wedbush’s Dan Ives in a fresh note named Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG) as one of the stocks that can benefit from the AI boom.
According to a latest UBS report, Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG) falls in all three layers of the AI value chain – enabling, intelligence and application layer. Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG) is an AI enabling player because of its Tensor Processing Units (TPUs) and Google Cloud Platform, while Gemini makes it a key player in the intelligence layer. On the application layer, UBS believes Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG) has an edge with its Duet AI assistant and advertising. All these catalysts make Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG) a company that could benefit from the $1.2 trillion AI opportunity by 2027, UBS said.
Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG) bulls believe the company is just getting started with AI product launches. Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG) is indeed in a strong position to develop an AI ecosystem around its products. For example, demos have shown that Gemini app will help people perform daily personal tasks like note-taking, appointments, writing, etc. These features could easily be integrated with other Google apps. Alphabet Inc.’s (NASDAQ:GOOG) app urges users to sign up for ‘Google One AI Premium’ plan, which has a $19.99 price tag.
Vulcan Value Partners stated the following regarding Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG) in its Q2 2024 investor letter:
“There was one material contributor to performance: Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG). During the first quarter, Alphabet’s revenue growth accelerated and margins expanded. The company continues to introduce new search pathways with advanced models and algorithms that are 100 times more efficient than they were 18 months ago. Disruption risks to core search from generative AI have not completely abated, but Alphabet’s technical prowess and historical investments in leading technologies are becoming more apparent.”
1. Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 246
Meta Platforms is one of the top AI stocks in Deepwater Asset Management’s portfolio.
The market has been reluctant about Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) massive spending on AI. What does Meta want to achieve with its AI spending? The company wants to use AI to improve engagement and language models like Llama 3 to improve user interactions, boost engagement, and better monetize its 3.2 billion daily active users.
But can Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) sustain this high spending? The company’s free cash flow margin is around 30%, and it’s well on track to report $50 billion in free cash flow this year. Based on this target the stock is trading at around 26 times this year’s free cash flow. Given the current trajectory continues Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) can post $58 billion in free cash flow by next year, which means the stock is trading at 21 times next year’s free cash flow. With a whopping $35 billion in net cash, a strong user base, and a key position in the consumer-facing side of the AI industry, Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) could be a solid long-term investment.
Polen Focus Growth Strategy stated the following regarding Meta Platforms, Inc. (NASDAQ:META) in its Q2 2024 investor letter:
“In the second quarter, the top relative contributors to the Portfolio’s performance were all names we do not hold: Home Depot, Meta Platforms, Inc. (NASDAQ:META), and AbbVie. Meta Platforms delivered robust results in the period, with revenue growth accelerating in the first quarter. However, revenue comparisons for Meta will become more difficult from here, and its guidance for 2Q revenue fell below market expectations. After the company’s “year of efficiency,” where it cut costs in its core business, management is now indicating another ramp-up in GenAI and metaverse spending, spurring concerns about future profit margins. Metaverse spending, by our calculations, is now over $20 billion per year with little to no expected return on the foreseeable horizon.”
While we acknowledge the potential of Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META), our conviction lies in the belief that under the radar AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than META but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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