We recently published a list of 10 Best Utility Dividend Stocks To Buy. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE: XOM) stands against other best utility dividend stocks to buy.
Utilities are typically viewed as defensive investments. Unlike growth stocks, which are often tied to economic cycles, utilities provide essential services that are in constant demand, such as electricity, natural gas, and water. This makes them relatively stable performers during economic downturns. Despite experiencing a challenging year in 2023, the utilities sector is well-positioned for growth in 2024 and beyond.
So far, the utilities sector has been one of the best-performing sectors. There are a few primary factors driving the recent outperformance of the utilities sector. First, the market is anticipating potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Given their relatively low-risk profile, utilities are often seen as bond proxies. As bond yields decline, the attractive dividend yields offered by utilities become more compelling.
Second, the growing demand from data centers powering artificial intelligence and cryptocurrency is significantly increasing electricity consumption. The International Energy Agency estimates that electricity usage by these sectors could rise from 460 terawatt-hours in 2022 to over 1,000 terawatt-hours by 2026, rivaling Japan’s total electricity consumption.
Read Also: 8 Best Utilities Stocks to Ride the AI Boom in 2024
Electrification Trends Across Key Sectors
The growth in the electric power industry is also fueled by the ongoing electrification of transportation, buildings, and industry sectors. Within the transportation segment, electricity demand projections vary widely based on EV adoption rates. While estimates range from a 16% to a 36% compound annual growth rate over the next decade, recent developments suggest a potential for higher growth. The increasing affordability of EVs, coupled with government incentives like tax credits, is driving rapid adoption.
In the buildings sector, the transition to electric heat pumps and water heaters in residential and commercial buildings is increasing electrification. Demand within this segment is projected to grow at a rate of approximately 0.5% to 0.9% annually through 2035, with the potential to reach as high as 3,700 terawatt-hours per year.
The industrial sector might not be as fast to electrify as the buildings and transport sector. Demand is forecasted to increase at a rate of 0% to 0.6% annually through 2035, reaching over 1,070 terawatt hours. Given that only 13% of the sector’s energy needs are currently met by electricity, there is significant potential for further electrification to align with decarbonization goals.
The sector’s long-term prospects are even more promising. The global transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources is accelerating, and utilities are at the forefront of this shift. In fact, The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts a significant increase in utility-scale solar installations, with a projected more than doubling to a record-breaking 24 gigawatts (GW) in 2023. This growth is expected to continue in 2024, with an additional 36 GW of solar capacity anticipated. As a result, the renewable energy share of electricity generation is projected to rise from 22% in 2023 to nearly 25% in 2024.
Our Methodology
To compile our list of the best utility dividend stocks, we conducted an analysis of our database, covering over 900 hedge funds as of Q2 2024. Our focus was specifically on dividend-paying utility companies, including diversified utilities, independent power producers, and regulated gas, electric, and water utilities. From this list, we identified the 10 stocks with the highest number of hedge fund investors as of Q2 2024.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
Aerial view of a major oil rig in the middle of the sea, pumping crude oil.
Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE:XOM)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 92
Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE: XOM) is on track to complete its 42nd consecutive year of dividend increases by the end of 2024. Although the company’s dividend growth has slowed in recent years compared to the early 2000s, Exxon is implementing strategies to promote ongoing growth.
The company’s corporate plan outlines a $14 billion increase in annual earnings and cash flow by 2027 due to cost savings, reinvestments, and low-carbon initiatives. Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE: XOM)’s low-carbon division is projected to play a significant role in future cash flow, with a goal of achieving a 15% return on investment from projects involving lithium, hydrogen, biofuels, and carbon capture and storage. This diversification aligns with the company’s commitment to a sustainable energy future.
Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE:XOM) has a strong financial position, backed by a payout ratio of 45.7%, which supports its dividend. Although fluctuations in oil prices could affect earnings, the company’s overall stability and 3.3% yield make it an attractive option for investors looking for a solid energy stock and a source of passive income.
Here’s what Madison Investments said about Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE: XOM) in its Q1 2024 investor letter:
“This quarter we are highlighting Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE:XOM) as a relative yield example in the Energy sector. XOM is a leading integrated oil and natural gas company. It has upstream assets that develop and produce oil and natural gas, along with downstream refining and chemical manufacturing assets. We believe it has attractive low-cost acreage in the Permian basin and has a sizeable growth opportunity in Guyana. Further, we think XOM has a sustainable competitive advantage due to size and scale, and its ability to integrate refining and chemical assets provides a low-cost advantage versus competitors.
Our thesis on XOM is that it will grow production volumes of oil and gas moderately over the next few years, while limiting excessive capital investment that plagued the industry from 2014-2020. Production growth will come from its 2023 acquisition of Pioneer Natural Resources, which is the largest producer in the Permian basin. XOM plans to double its Permian output by 2027, to 2 million barrels per day. Capital spending will be limited to $20-25 billion per year through 2027, which should allow for significant amounts of cash to be returned to shareholders including a $35 billion share repurchase program and continued dividend increases. Higher oil prices would provide a tailwind to our thesis but are not necessary. We think XOM can grow earnings and cash flow if oil prices remain above $60 per barrel…” (Click here to read the full text)
Overall, XOM ranks 1st on our list of best utility dividend stocks to buy. While we acknowledge the potential of XOM as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than XOM but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
