If you’re looking to invest in mobile gaming, you’re better off buying shares of Electronic Arts Inc. (NASDAQ:EA) instead of Zynga Inc (NASDAQ:ZNGA).
Although Zynga Inc (NASDAQ:ZNGA) is generally considered a major mobile developer, Electronic Arts Inc. (NASDAQ:EA), through its subsidiary PopCap games, is better positioned. Its Plants vs. Zombies franchise is poised to dominate the mobile space, while Zynga Inc (NASDAQ:ZNGA)’s future remains uncertain.
Mobile gaming takes off
The widespread adoption of tablets and smartphones has helped to fuel the rise of mobile gaming. Gaming-focused investment bank Digi-Capital called mobile games the “highest-growth large technology market today” in a report released back in July (via AllThingsD).
The bank noted that, when it comes to using apps, mobile device owners spend 43% of their time gaming. For just tablets, it’s 67%. Moreover, games monetize four times better than other types of apps, and the market for games is growing — by 2016, it’s expected to be an $83 billion market, with over half of that coming from online and mobile games.
While some companies — like Zynga Inc (NASDAQ:ZNGA) — have struggled, others have done quite well. Candy Crush‘s creator, King, is currently raking in over $600,000 per day (over $200 million per year) in revenue from the app — and that’s just American players. Rovio, the creator of Angry Birds, took in over $200 million last year, more than double its 2011 revenue.
Plants vs. Zombies 2 will be the next big hit
Electronic Arts Inc. (NASDAQ:EA) is sitting on the next big mobile hit. The sequel to Plants vs. Zombies (itself still a top grossing app), Plants vs. Zombies 2, was released in the U.S. last week. Already, it’s shot up the app charts, blowing past Candy Crush and becoming the most popular free app on the iTunes app store.
It has also received rave reviews. Gaming publication IGN gave it an 8.7 on a 10 point scale; Eurogamer gave it an 8. As someone who has played both titles extensively, I can testify that the sequel keeps everything that was great with the original, but adds amazing new content.
But the biggest change Electronic Arts Inc. (NASDAQ:EA) made will ultimately be the key to the game’s financial success — unlike its predecessor, which cost $10 at launch, Plants vs Zombies 2 is completely free to play. If players wish, they can fork over cash for optional upgrades. This is the model that Candy Crush has used to fuel its financial success.
Theoretically, users can spend as much or as little money on the game as they want. If they want to purchase all the available upgrades, they’ll be spending well over $30 — more than three times the price tag of the original game.
Obviously, given that it’s free, it’s likely that it will attract many more players. This alone is great for Electronic Arts Inc. (NASDAQ:EA), as the company already has plans for at least one spinoff game. Moreover, the cartoony nature of the plants and zombies that make up the game’s characters lend themselves to merchandising. Electronic Arts Inc. (NASDAQ:EA) already sells plush toys and t-shirts based on the game, and if it really takes off, the potential merchandise-related sales could be significant.
If Plants vs Zombies 2 sees similar success to Candy Crush, it could have a meaningful impact on EA’s financials. In fiscal years 2011 and 2012, EA reported total revenue figures of $1.09 billion and $1.36 billion, respectively. Adding another $200 million per year would increase EA’s total revenue by 15-18%.
