Elbit Systems Ltd. (NASDAQ:ESLT) Q2 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

Elbit Systems Ltd. (NASDAQ:ESLT) Q2 2023 Earnings Call Transcript August 15, 2023

Elbit Systems Ltd. misses on earnings expectations. Reported EPS is $1.57 EPS, expectations were $1.65.

Operator: Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to Elbit Systems Second Quarter 2023 Results Conference Call [Operator Instructions]. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. You should have all received by now the company’s press release that is available in the News section of the company’s website at www.elbitsystems.com. I would now like to hand over the call to Mr. Rami Myerson, Elbit Systems Investor Relations Director. Rami, please go ahead.

Rami Myerson : Thank you, Nathan. Good day, everyone, and welcome to our second quarter 2023 earnings call. On the call with me today are Butzi Machlis, President and CEO; Kobi Kagan, our CFO; and Yossi Gaspar, Senior EVP, Business Management. Before we begin, I would like to point out that the safe harbor statement in the company’s press release issued earlier today also refers to the contents of this conference call. As we do every quarter, we will provide you with both our regular GAAP financial data as well as certain supplemental non-GAAP information. We believe that this non-GAAP information provides additional detail to ever understand the performance of the ongoing business. You can find all the detailed GAAP financial data as well as the non-GAAP financial information and the reconciliation in today’s press release.

Kobi will begin by providing a discussion of the financial results, followed by Butzi, who will talk about some of the significant events during the quarter and beyond. We will then turn the call over to a question-and-answer session. With that I would like now to turn the call over to Kobi. Kobi, please.

Kobi Kagan: Thank you, Rami. Hello, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. The financial results of the second quarter of 2023 reflects sustained demand of our — for our solutions, increased production capacity and gradual easing of supply chain pressures that supported the revenue growth. The sequential increase in operating profitability provides an encouraging initial indication of the successful implementation of the operational improvement plan. We continue our efforts across the company to improve profitability and cash generation and realize our potential. Before I discuss some of the key figures and trends in our financial results, I would note that the sale of Ashot Ashkelon to FIMI Opportunity Funds was completed at the end of the second quarter of 2022.

And our results in the second quarter of 2023 do not include a contribution from Ashot Ashkelon. Second quarter revenues increased by 12% to $1.454 billion compared to $1.303 billion in the second quarter of 2022, with growth across all business segments. In terms of quarterly revenue by segment, aerospace revenue increased by 19% in the second quarter of 2023 compared to the second quarter of 2022, mainly due to training and simulation sales in Europe. C4I and cyber revenues increased by 1% year-over-year. ISTAR and EW revenues increased by 21%, mainly due to European Electronic Warfare sales. Land revenues increased by 3%, mainly due mainly due to armored vehicle upgrades and ammunition sales. Elbit Systems of America revenues increased by 7% in the second quarter due to growth in night vision sales.

Elbit Systems benefit from a diverse geographic revenue base that reduces revenue volatility and supports the long-term sustainability of our business. In the second quarter, Europe was our largest market, contributing 32% of group revenues. North America was 23%, Asia Pacific, 22%; and Israel contributed 17% of revenues. European revenues increased mainly due to growth in training and simulation sales. Asia Pacific revenues declined mainly due to lower precision-guided munition sales. The non-GAAP gross margin for the second quarter was 26.1% compared to the second quarter of 2022 at 26.5%. GAAP gross margin in the second quarter was 25.6% of revenues compared to 26.1% in the second quarter of 2022. Second quarter non-GAAP operating income was $112 million or 7.7% of revenues compared with $103 million or 7.9% of revenues last year.

The sequential improvement in non-GAAP operating profitability is an encouraging indication of the tangible benefits of the operational transformation plan. GAAP operating income for the second quarter was $102 million or 7% of revenues versus $115 million or 8.8% of revenues in the second quarter of 2022. GAAP operating income in the second quarter of 2022 included a capital gain related to the sale of our subsidiary, Ashot Ashkelon Industries as well as the sale of a building in Israel. The operating expenses breakdown in the second quarter was as follows: Net R&D expenses were 6.4% of revenues versus 7.4% in 2022. Marketing and selling expenses were 7% of revenues versus 6.4% last year. The positive inflection in global defense budget growth has created multiple opportunities and the increase in marketing and sales spend will help to realize the potential this create.

G&A expenses were 5.2% of revenues compared to 5.6% last year. Financial expenses were $32 million in the second quarter compared to $9 million in 2022. Financial expenses in the second quarter were higher as a result of the significant increase in interest rates and higher debt. Operating cash flow in the second quarter was $138 million outflow compared to $169 million outflow in the same quarter last year. Operating cash flows in the first half of 2023 reflect an increase in inventories to support revenue growth and delays of payments from the Israeli Ministry of Defense. We do not believe there is a risk to receiving these outstanding payments, and we continue to work with our customers to expedite these payments. Our operational improvement plans should also support our efforts to improve cash generation in the medium term.

We recorded a tax expense of $9 million in the second quarter compared to $13 million in 2022. The effective tax rate in the second quarter was 13.6%, a similar level to the tax rate in 2022. Our non-GAAP diluted EPS was $1.57 in the second quarter compared with $1.73 in 2022. GAAP diluted EPS was $1.40 for the second quarter compared with $1.82 in 2022. Our backlog of orders as of June 30, 2023, was $16.1 billion, a $2 billion higher than the backlog at the end of the second quarter of 2022. Approximately 49% of the current backlog is scheduled to be performed during the remainder of 2023 and 2024, and the rest is scheduled for 2025 and beyond. The Board of Directors had declared a dividend of $0.50 per share. I will now turn the call over to Mr. Machlis, Elbit CEO.

Butzi, please go ahead.

Bezhalel Machlis : Thank you, Kobi. The second quarter results demonstrate the successful implementation of Elbit Systems long-term strategy. Revenue growth accelerated in the quarter as we started to benefit from increased capacity, raising of supply chain bottlenecks and continued demand for our portfolio of solutions from customers around the world. The operational improvement plan that we discussed with you in the past is starting to deliver tangible results with sequential increase in our operating profitability. Financial expenses in the first half reflects the increase in interest rates and higher debt due to delayed payments from customers. In recent years, we have leveraged a strong balance sheet to overcome the challenges presented by COVID-19 and supply chain disruption to sustain deliveries to our customers.

The increased interest rate environment has raised our cost of financing. As part of our operational improvement plan, we are working to improve cash generation and reduce financial leverage. This should contribute to a reduction in financial expenses over time. I would like to review how the financial results in the second quarter reflect the successful implementation of Elbit Systems’ long-term strategy. The growth in European revenue in recent quarters is a direct result of our multiyear investment in building a multi-domestic footprint across Europe. Elbit Systems identified the long-term potential across the European market as part of our strategic planning. Many European governments had significantly reduced the scale of the military forces following the end of the cold war.

This also resulted in reduced procurement from the domestic defense industrial base and the investment in defense related research and development. At Elbit Systems, we identified the opportunity. This provided to supply our advanced solutions to customers across Europe by building domestic subsidiaries with engineering, manufacturing and support capabilities, transferring our cutting-edge IP and solutions and adapting them to the requirements of the different European customers. We established domestic subsidiaries and partnerships with local companies across Europe from Sweden to Greece and from UK to Romania. When we were ramping up our investments across Europe, other defense companies were shrinking their exposure and reducing investments.

The Russian invasion of Ukraine was a wake-up call for many European countries that have substantially decided to ramp up their defense spending, capitalizing the military forces and the domestic industrial base. Following years of investment in our multi-domestic presence across Europe and portfolio of leading and relevant solutions, Elbit Systems has started to benefit on the growth in European defense spending as demonstrated by the growth in recent quarters as well as the orders we announced for Watchkeeper X UAV on Romania and airborne EW systems from Germany in the recent months. In 2018, we acquired IMI on the Israeli government and integrated it into our Land segment. IMI has two major product areas, active protection systems for armed vehicles and a broad portfolio of munitions.

The strategic rationale for recognition or the potential we identified for significant value creation we could generate by combining our legacy [CK] technology with IMI’s munition portfolio to develop a range of air and ground launch precision-guided munitions. As part of the acquisition, we committed to building a brand new mission production development and testing facility in the south part of Israeli. The Russian and Ukraine militaries are consuming thousands of rounds of ammunition every day of the current conflict. And militaries around the world have realized the critical importance of munition production capacity and stock price. We are benefiting from the strong demand for our portfolio of munition and launches from customers around the world.

In July, we announced a $60 million contract to supply artillery shells to the Israeli MOD. These orders follow multiple orders from our — for our PULS rocket launches and precision rockets, artillery solutions and tank munitions. Demand for platform protection solutions has also increased, and we have received [indiscernible] from customers around the world in our Iron Fist active protection system. The strong demand for the Land segment solutions validates the strategic rationale on the acquisition of IMI and our M&A processes. As part of our strategic processes, we regularly review our portfolio to identify capability or technology gaps that we can fill through M&A. We have spent more than $1 billion in recent years on a series of acquisitions that we are delivering tangible returns like IMI and NICE.

We also review our existing portfolio to identify the business units that are no longer relevant to our strategy and could be more successful under different ownership. When we identify these businesses, we explore opportunities to sell them. In 2022, we sold Ashot Ashkelon to FIMI Opportunity Funds and Ferranti Technologies’ Power and Control business to the UK to TT Electronics. This is the preferred option, but if we are not able to find a buyer we close the business as part of our strategy to optimize our business portfolio. Last week, following our AGM David Federmann was appointed chair of Elbit Systems’ Board of Directors, replacing Michael Mickey Federmann who will remain on the Board as a director. Mickey was appointed as the Chair of the Board in July 2000, following the merger between El-Op and Elbit Systems.

In 2000, Elbit Systems reported annual revenues of $591 million and a backlog of $1.4 billion. In 2022, Elbit reported annual revenues of $5.5 billion, a 900% increase and a backlog of $50.1 billion, that increased to $6.1 billion at the end of the second quarter. Revenues and order backlog growth was — during Mickey’s tenure has — outstripped global difference budget growth and Elbit Systems has become one of the leading defense companies in the world. Elbit Systems was ranked 21st in the first news top 100 global defense companies. On behalf of Elbit’s employees, I would like to thank Mickey for his leadership and I would like to wish David Federmann success in his role as the Chair of the Board of Directors. And with that, I will be happy to take your questions.

Operator?

Q&A Session

Operator: [Operator Instructions] The first question is from Sheila Kahyaoglu from Jefferies.

Sheila Kahyaoglu : I just wanted to ask a few questions, if that’s okay. You talked about it in the prepared remarks a little bit, but obviously, Europe was really strong in the quarter. And Israel and North America weaker. How should we think about the cadence of growth across geographies from here? And any color on the regional mix in the backlog?

Bezhalel Machlis : Sheila, we see a big potential ahead of us, the funnel of opportunities we deal with this is quite big. And we see many opportunities in all domains, actually. And we see — we expect to see growth in Europe, and we also expect to see growth in Asia Pacific. As well as in the U.S. In Israel, we are waiting for a five-year planning with the Israeli MOD, which should take place around the end of this year. After it will take place, I believe that we’ll be able to get more orders from the MOD. And Latin America is shrinking. And I don’t expect big orders from this region in the near quarter — or in the near future. And — this is it more or less. After Abraham Accords that — to say that there are more opportunities for us in the Middle East.

We have a subsidiary in the UAE and we believe that there are more — there is quite a big potential for us in this market as well. Our diverse presence is stabilizing factor for future growth. And I believe that the strategy of Elbit, which includes two main pillars. One is the very wide portfolio, and the other one is being a global company with many subsidiaries all around the globe, is proving itself, and I expect to see additional growth in revenues as well as in backlog.

Sheila Kahyaoglu : Great. And I may ask one or two more if that’s okay. When we think about the European market, obviously, it’s been really good again. Is there a different strategy there? You mentioned for all your coverages, in your prepared remarks, in Europe, like how you sell in Europe versus how you sell in North America and Asia?

Bezhalel Machlis : No, I don’t expect — I don’t — we continue to enhance our local presence in Europe. We have many subsidiaries. We have subsidiaries in the UK. We just inaugurated a month ago, another facility for Elbit in the UK we are enhancing our position also in Germany. We inaugurated another facility in Germany. We have subsidiaries in Sweden. We have subsidiaries in Belgium. We have subsidiaries in Switzerland. We have subsidiaries in Austria as well as in Romania. And we are working hard with our customers to improve our local position in the continent because that’s our strategy. With regards to the U.S., as you know, we acquired two companies in the U.S. recently. We acquired Sparton and we acquired Night Vision. And we are very happy with these acquisitions. Actually, we see a lot of interest for our portfolio in the U.S. market, and we expect additional growth for us in the U.S. market.

Sheila Kahyaoglu : Great. And then one more. if you don’t mind. On the free cash flow, continued usage. How much of that $300 million or so of usage in the first half will reverse in the second? And how much is tied to Israel specifically on the working capital?

Kobi Kagan: Sheila, this is Kobi. We expect that the second half will be a positive one. We see some delays in payments from the Ministry of Defense here in Israel. But we don’t expect that those delays will cross the year-end. So we expect that in the second half, the Ministry of Defense will pay all the outstanding receivables that we are currently missing in our cash flow position.

Operator: The next question is from Pete Skibitski of Alembic Global.

Peter Skibitski : Butzi, I did want to follow up on Sheila’s question with regard to Europe because the revenue there has been incredible, right, up 40% last year and roughly 60% here through the first half. So very impressive. And just from the perspective of playing the role of a devil’s advocate, as they say, how much concern do you have about the willingness of European governments to continue to fund defense budget increases just in light of, I think, there’s some inflationary pressures there. There’s, I think, some macroeconomic concerns there. Do you think the governments will follow through with budget increases in the next few years in the current kind of macroeconomic backdrop they find themselves in?

Bezhalel Machlis : Thank you, Pete. From what I understand, there is — all European countries, understand right now, they need to spend 2% of GDP for defense, not only then — some countries are really investing more than that. And this is not for the short term, it’s more the long term. And many countries also understand, as I discussed earlier, that they need to build local capabilities and they want to reduce their dependency on external sources. And this is exactly the Elbit strategy. So I do not see a decline in defense spending in the near term or even in the medium term in Europe. And also I want to add to this that inventories, there are actually huge demand to increase inventories for munition as well as for additional staff and additional products in Europe.

Actually, many countries are left without critical mass of ammunition of tanks of artillery pieces of UAVs of communication equipment. So it will take years to fill all the storage again with the required quantities. So I don’t see a shift or a change in the demand in the market. I also want to add that the backlog we have in Europe as well as in other places is not just for the coming quarters. It’s a long-term backlog, and I’m sure it will yield additional revenues in Europe. We see a growing demand for guided munition for UAVs or EW systems for command and control and communication solutions for anti-drone solutions all over the continent as a result of the conflict with Ukraine, and I don’t expect it to change in the near future.

Peter Skibitski : Okay. That’s very helpful. I appreciate all the color on that. Let me ask one about Israel now and not to go down a political path from thousands of miles away here. But can you just briefly give us a sense of, let’s call it, the recent social unrest that we’ve heard about. Do you expect that to have any impact upon the MOD’s budget processes or contracting activities?

Bezhalel Machlis : No. Without entering into politics, as you said, I don’t expect — Israel, there is a budget in the country. And as a result of that, there is a process which is taking place right now in Israel to build five-year plan for the IDF. This plan should be concluded around the end of this year, and then we expect to get orders. I don’t see any changes yet.

Peter Skibitski : Okay. Okay. I appreciate it. Last one for me. So earlier this year, we sort of stopped talking about Phantom stock options expense because the shares were — had retreated a bit. But of course, now the shares are up about 25% year-to-date. So do we have to start thinking again about stock option expense as a headwind to margin at some point? Could you give us some color there?

Kobi Kagan: Thank you, Pete, for the question. As you know, the Phantom stock option plan is a specific plan as — and the terms of the option plan is scheduled that all of the payments of this stock option plan will be concluded this year. And we don’t expect any other cost on the P&L from the stock options, not this year and not in coming years.

Operator: [Operator Instructions] The next question is from Ella Fried of Bank Leumi.

Ella Fried : Well, it seems that you managed to tackle the supply chain challenges, but also the cost of increasing inventories, correct me if I’m wrong. And this increase in demand is actually a follow-up question on the cash flow. How do you plan in this — when the supply isn’t so smooth as it used to be. How do you plan to face this challenge of inventories with your huge growth?

Bezhalel Machlis : I would like to — first, I must — supply chain, as we predicted, supply chain, most of the obstacles we faced during COVID are over, going down, not all of them yet, but it’s much better than it was a year ago or even a quarter ago. And so we don’t have — and so — and it should have a positive effect on inventories in the past because of the uncertainty we faced during COVID, we had to buy more inventories in order to ensure deliveries to our customer. Today, we are able to return back to the previous procedures, and we don’t have to maintain any more big stocks because of supply chain issues, and this is more or less coming back to normal. The company is growing quite a lot, as you all see. And in order to meet the demand and in order to meet the commitment we have, we need to acquire more stocks in order to be able to deliver the goods to the customer.

And that’s actually what you see in the results. We continue to work hard to reduce the inventories. As I said, the fact that supply chain is more normal right now will help us to do so. And this is an important effort in the company which takes place these days.

Ella Fried : Well, it seems that the headwind of supply chain actually was replaced in the kind of decreasing the impact of cost of labor and delays. And the question is do you think it will follow us into 2024? And how are you handling it?

Bezhalel Machlis : No, with regards to workforce, it’s a contrary, Ella. To be quite — as you know, the company has grown a lot, and we — as the demand to — and we still have a demand to recruit additional people, it was quite challenging during the COVID time. Right now, it’s more easy for us to find good talent in the country. So it’s we need to find good people, and it’s also the salaries are more reasonable. So this factor is also easing. And I don’t see major challenges for us now to recruiting good talent in the country with reasonable costs. So it wasn’t the case a year ago. Right now, it’s much better.

Ella Fried : So I think the next question is for Kobi. So how should we look at the profitability in 2024 in comparison to this quarter? I mean, do we expect a very substantial — I remember that you told us that we should expect the quarter-after-quarter increase and improvement. But when I’m looking at this quarter was the impact of financial expense, how should we be looking at 2024 in comparison to this quarter?

Kobi Kagan: So Ella, as you know, and thank you for the question. As you know very well, we don’t provide guidance.

Ella Fried : I know, but I speak to more general terms.

Kobi Kagan: We — as Butzi mentioned before, we are looking for sequential improvement in non-GAAP operational profitability. And we promised that, and we think we kept our word and there is improvement — a gradual improvement in non-GAAP operational profitability and the company is doing a lot of efforts to achieve this improvement. For your second half of the question, as to financial cost, we see a dramatically increased neighborhood of interest rates and we face higher interest rates. Our rating is excellent. But as you know, the base interest rates, the SOFR is now 5.5% compared to almost zero a year ago. So with almost the same debt we face higher in financial costs, and this is the new reality. And as we mentioned, we’re looking at improvement cash generation to reduce our financial debt.

Bezhalel Machlis : And we are committed also, as mentioned earlier, to continue to improve our operational profit, our non-GAAP operational profit, as you saw in the last few quarters, it will continue in the future as well.

Ella Fried : And maybe not very politically correct question. But can you tell us what actually happened with Denmark because there are so many publications about it and does it impact — first and most important for Elbit, does it impact the order? And the second question, is it relevant in any way to Elbit’s position?

Bezhalel Machlis : The answer is very clear and easy. It has nothing to do with Elbit. There was an urgent requirement, the Danish MOD came here and took a decision to acquire our stuff. We got an order, this order is valid. The criticism, which is taking place in Denmark right now is not on Elbit, it’s on internal…

Ella Fried : About the process there, yes.

Bezhalel Machlis : The internal process in Denmark, we delivered already some equipment to them. And this program is valid, is active. And we believe that we’ll get additional orders from them, I hope, in the future. And as you know, we won rocket launchers, not just in Denmark, also in the Netherlands and just recently a $300 million contract, and I foresee big opportunities for us for guided munitions in Europe.

Operator: The next question is from Elad Kraus of Meitav.

Elad Kraus : Well, you answered most of my questions, but I do have still one. Do you see any change in the competition right now that regarding the margins of the company can affect the 2024, 2025 margins maybe to be higher or lower than today?

Bezhalel Machlis : Of course, there is competition in the market, but I believe that the depth of the portfolio we have and the global positions we have are very unique. And customers are looking to get mature equipment, to get it as soon as possible and to get it from local providers. And we are unique with our offering. Of course, it gives us an advantage in the market. But of course, there is still competition. It depends on which segment. In each segment, it’s different type of competition, but there aren’t many companies who have such a portfolio and such market position like us.

Elad Kraus : So if this is the case, should we expect the same margins as we saw in the last couple of years?

Bezhalel Machlis : I can tell you that of the gross profit profitability of our backlog is higher than the gross profit of the revenues that you saw — that you see quarterly results. And because of that, I’m able to commit that our revenues in the future will be higher. Our profit in the future will be higher.

Operator: The next question is from Boaz Ben-Shitrit of Altshuler Shaham.

Boaz Ben-Shitrit : I have three little references that I wanted to ask. First of all, the delayment of payments from the Israeli Defense Force. Are you getting any compensation for that because of bearing cost? And the other side of it is if I’m looking forward, I see higher interest rates, what can we expect coming next year? Is it similar to this past six months or more even? And on your future contracts, mainly the backlog, is it linked to interest rates or inflation because the world changed in the past year? And your backlog is about two or maybe three years long. So how will we see this in the coming quarters?

Kobi Kagan: So for your first question, we are negotiating with the Ministry of Defense, and I would not like to disclose those — the details of the negotiation. And as I mentioned before, we expect all the payments to be made until the end of the year. As to the second question, the second question, we see probably at the same level of this quarter, financial expenses for next quarters as the interest rate level, to our analysis, have reached some peak and we don’t see additional — we don’t foresee additional increase in interest levels and we are expecting with cash generation to decrease the debt level. So we hope to see some decrease in financial expenses. And as for price-adjusted contracts, we have some of our contracts, which are price adjusted and some of the contracts, which are fixed contracts.

We are subject to competition. And of course, part of the competition is determining the competition rules and part of our contracts are price adjusted and part are not.

Operator: The next question is from Pete Skibitski of Alembic Global.

Peter Skibitski : Yes, I did have one follow-up, but I think it’s largely been asked for Kobi. So Kobi, if cash collections do improve in the second half. It sounds like you intend to pay down some of the short-term debt that you raised this quarter. But just would you guys prioritize debt paydown over M&A if an attractive deal comes your way? Or are you more flexible in that sense for capital deployment?

Kobi Kagan: So we are known for very strict capital deployment and we know how to deploy our capital. We do that very diligently. And as to specifics, we don’t have any specifics on big M&A transactions. We are always looking for opportunities. And as we mentioned before, we look for M&A to increase our portfolio or to increase market share. So there is always a surge in the company and as we’ve proved in the past, we know our way in M&A transactions. And of course, if we have positive cash generations, we will decrease our short-term debt, that’s for sure, Pete.

Operator: There are no further questions at this time. Before I ask Mr. Machlis to go ahead with his closing statement, I would like to remind participants that a replay of this call will be available 2 hours after the conference ends. In the U.S., please call 1 (888) 782-4291. In Israel, please call (03) 925-5900. And internationally, please call 972-3-925-5900. A replay of the call will be also available on the company’s website at www.elbitsystems.com. Mr. Machlis, would you like to make your concluding statement?

Bezhalel Machlis : I would like to thank all our employees for their continued hard work and contribution to Elbit Systems’ success. To everyone on the call, thank you for joining us today and for your continued support and interest in our company. Have a good day, and goodbye.

Operator: Thank you. This concludes the Elbit Systems’ Second Quarter 2023 Results Conference Call. Thank you for your participation. You may now go ahead and disconnect.