We recently published a list of Top 10 AI Stocks to Watch In February. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL) stands against other top AI stocks to watch in February.
Barry Bannister, Stifel’s chief equity strategist, said in a latest program on CNBC that the macroeconomic factors are finally catching up to the AI-led bull market. He expects inflation to remain sticky and no further rate cuts from the Federal Reserve in the short term. The analyst also rejected the notion that the massive tech selloff after the launch of DeepSeek was a buying opportunity.
“Over 30 years ago, we used to joke about how technology was such a displacement event business where new competitors would come in and destroy the entrenched stocks, that it deserved a lower multiple because of that. It’s a short life cycle business that’s got a very short competitive advantage period. But investors forgot about that. They bid up the stocks. The growth relative to value large-cap total return, one divided by the other on a 10-year compound basis, reached the absolute outer limits of the past 90 years. And that exact limit line is exactly where it peaked—the price earnings multiple and the outperformance of growth. So, for us, it’s just a very bubbly market that’s just gotta take some air out of it.”
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For this article, we chose 10 AI stocks currently making moves in the market. With each stock, we have mentioned the number of hedge fund investors. Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
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Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 158
Dan Niles, Niles Investment Management founder & portfolio manager, said in a latest program on CNBC that Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL) is a laggard in the AI race.
“Apple, likewise, is using AI the worst, or has really no AI presence, their stock’s down 11% to start this year, and they were the second worst performing of the Mag 7 last year. So, to some extent, the market’s starting to differentiate between all of these names.”
Apple’s latest results were helped by Services revenue in the latest quarter, but the key challenges haunting the company remain as they were. Many analysts believe just a few AI apps would not be enough to trigger a broader upgrade cycle for iPhone. Apple is dealing with currency headwinds as the stronger US dollar is expected to reduce top-line growth by 2.5% next quarter. For Q2 FY2025, management expects overall revenue to grow in the low to mid-single digits. Apple’s stock is trading at a premium valuation, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 39-40x, a price-to-free-cash-flow ratio of 33-34x, and a PEG ratio exceeding 3x. Upcoming quarters would be difficult for Apple and its current valuation is not justified. The company’s revenue in China fell 8% in fiscal year 2024, following a 2% decline the previous year. The Chinese market accounts for about 15% of Apple’s total revenue, so this downtrend cannot be ignored.
Greenlight Capital stated the following regarding Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) in its Q4 2024 investor letter:
“We continue to be concerned about the overall valuation of the market and have maintained a lower-than-average net market exposure. In fact, our daily correlation to the S&P 500 last year was 0.01. Cyclically and interest rate adjusted valuations are as high as we can remember.
A look at a prior favorite company of ours, Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL), shows that the stock at times sported a single digit P/E ratio and achieved 19.2% compounded revenue growth during the eight years we owned it. The last couple of years AAPL has had no revenue growth, but the P/E multiple has expanded from 22x to 37x. In this environment, we can’t say the multiple won’t expand to 45x a year from now. It might. But we don’t see why it should or what the investment appeal is at this valuation.”
Overall, AAPL ranks 5th on our list of top AI stocks to watch in February. While we acknowledge the potential of AAPL, our conviction lies in the belief that under the radar AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than AAPL but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
