We recently published a list of 15 Most Promising Technology Stocks to Buy Now. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Cognex Corporation (NASDAQ:CGNX) stands against other most promising technology stocks to buy now.
The global technology sector is on track for strong earnings growth in 2025, driven by advancements in artificial intelligence (AI), cloud computing, and semiconductors. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, tech companies have demonstrated resilience, leveraging innovation to sustain revenue and profit expansion. Analysts anticipate substantial earnings growth across the sector, reflecting solid fundamentals and continued investment in transformative technologies.
According to a December 2024 report by John Butters, Vice President and Senior Earnings Analyst at FactSet, earnings for the S&P 500 are expected to grow by approximately 15% in 2025, with the information technology (IT) sector playing a crucial role in this expansion. Notably, all eleven sectors of the S&P 500 are projected to see year-over-year earnings growth, with six—including IT—expected to achieve double-digit increases. The report also emphasizes an interesting shift which is occurring outside of the “Magnificent 7,” the group of mega-cap tech companies that have historically driven market performance. While analysts forecast a 21% earnings growth for the Magnificent 7 in 2025, they also predict a significant improvement in earnings for the other 493 companies in the S&P 500, projecting a 13% increase. This represents a considerable jump from the mere 4% earnings growth expected for these same companies in 2024, signaling broader market participation in 2025.
Shifting Investor Focus Beyond Mega-Cap Tech
Although the Magnificent 7 continue to dominate the market, investor sentiment suggests a growing shift toward smaller, high-growth tech firms. Gene Munster, Managing Partner at Deepwater Asset Management, highlighted in a recent CNBC interview that while large-cap tech remains fundamentally strong, smaller companies within the “frontier tech” sector—typically valued below $500 billion—are poised to outperform over the next few years. This shift stems from concerns that trillion-dollar companies may have limited potential for high-percentage gains, prompting investors to explore smaller opportunities in AI, cloud infrastructure, and semiconductor equipment manufacturing.
A report from Deloitte’s 2025 Technology Industry Outlook reinforces the growth trajectory of the sector. Despite economic headwinds, technology investments are expected to accelerate, with increased spending on AI, cybersecurity, and enterprise software. Cybersecurity will be a critical focus as the digital attack surface expands due to the rise of IoT, generative AI, and cloud adoption. The global cost of cybercrime is projected to reach a staggering $10.5 trillion in 2025, emphasizing the need for heightened security investments.
Conclusion
As the technology sector heads into 2025, robust earnings growth is expected to continue, supported by AI-driven innovations and expanding digital transformation initiatives. The massive capital expenditures recently announced by major tech companies reflect confidence in the sector’s long-term potential. However, while mega-cap tech remains a dominant force, investor focus may increasingly shift toward smaller, high-growth companies that are pioneering next-generation technologies.
Our Methodology
To determine the 15 most promising technology stocks, we began by analyzing all U.S.-listed tech companies with a market capitalization of at least $2 billion. To exclude unprofitable companies, we considered only companies that reported a positive net profit margin over the trailing twelve months period. From this refined list, we further narrowed our selection to those stocks with a potential upside of more than 10%. Finally, we ranked the companies in ascending order based on the number of hedge funds holding stakes in the respective company, with the company attracting the most hedge fund interest securing the top spot.
Note: All pricing data is as of market close on February 17.
At Insider Monkey we are obsessed with the stocks that hedge funds pile into. The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
A worker utilizing a vision sensor to verify discrete items.
Cognex Corporation (NASDAQ:CGNX)
Number of Hedge Funds: 34
Potential Upside: 27%
Cognex Corporation (NASDAQ:CGNX) is a global provider of machine vision products and solutions that improve efficiency and quality in high-growth potential businesses across attractive industrial end markets. Machine vision products are used to automate the manufacturing or distribution and tracking of discrete items, such as mobile phones, electric vehicle batteries and e-commerce packages, by locating, identifying, inspecting, and measuring them. Its solutions blend physical products and software to capture and analyze visual information, allowing for the automation of manufacturing and distribution tasks for customers worldwide.
Cognex Corp. (NASDAQ:CGNX) reported its Q4 2024 results on February 12. Quarterly revenue increased by 17% year-over-year (YoY) to $230 million, with the acquisition of Moritex contributing around 5% of this growth. Adjusted EBITDA came in at $42 million with an 18.5% margin reflecting a 580 basis point YoY improvement. Net income per diluted share was $0.2, an 84% YoY increase. For Q1 2025, the company guided for revenue to be between $200 million and $220 million, with a projected adjusted EBITDA margin of 12%-15%. Management expects momentum to continue in logistics and semi, automotive to remain weak, and other factory automation growth to be relatively in line with macro indicators such as PMI.
As a result of the slightly softer guidance, Needham analyst has reduced his price target on Cognex Corp. (NASDAQ:CGNX) to $41 from $47 earlier, but maintained his Buy rating. Street has been focusing on the Q1 2025’s guidance and is concerned about the slowdown inthe automotive end-market. The automotive sector is the company’s second-largest end-market and declined around 14% over the full year of 2024. However, Logistics end-market grew 20% supported by demand from global e-commerce leaders as well as regional e-commerce, retail and parcel, and post providers. Growth in this end-market is expected to offset some of the pressure in automotive. Moreover, strict cost discipline should continue to support earnings.
Overall, CGNX ranks 10th on our list of most promising technology stocks to buy now. While we acknowledge the potential of CGNX to grow, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than CGNX but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.