We recently compiled a list of the 7 Best Bank Stocks To Buy in 2024. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:C) stands against the other bank stocks.
The largest dip since August occurred in U.S. stocks on September 4, 2024, when the market fell 1.6%. The decline was mostly caused by drops in the technology and energy markets amid economic uncertainty. The market remained volatile, and worries about jobs and economic data mounted, as the August BLS report shows the US created fewer than anticipated jobs in August 2024. Nonfarm jobs grew at 142,000 but remained below the Dow Jones forecast of 161,000. However, the unemployment rate went down from 4.3% in July to 4.2% in August.
Treasury yields dropped to 3.85% as investor attention turned to impending payroll data that may have an impact on the Fed’s interest rate decisions. Despite a historically challenging September, some analysts see possible drops as buying opportunities, citing investors’ controlled inflation and high cash reserves.
Despite the financial volatility, the financial services industry’s long-term outlook is still favorable. As we discussed in our article “25 Biggest Financial Firms in the World,” the financial services industry is projected to grow at a 7.7% CAGR from $31138.82 billion in 2023 to $33539.52 billion in 2024.
According to IBM’s report, financial services are being revolutionized by generative AI, which increases productivity and automates tasks. AI speeds up fraud detection by 50% and decreases transaction processing times by 30%, as per IBM’s survey. While 75% of financial workers expect AI to automate 25% of their duties, it aids in the analysis of market trends in investment management. AI-driven chatbots reduce human labor by 80% and increase query processing accuracy by 85% in customer support. Furthermore, generative AI improves data management in CRM systems by automatically summarizing calls and extracting insights, boosting CRM update efficiency by 30% and saving companies millions of dollars in operating expenses while strengthening client relationships.
Specifically, the global retail banking market was valued at $2.08 trillion in 2023 and $2.21 trillion this year, according to the Precedence Research. The market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 6% to reach approximately $3.97 trillion by 2034, per the research. In 2023, Asia Pacific held the highest share of 34.14% in the market. It is anticipated that North America is predicted to be the second-largest region for the retail banking market during the projection period.
Looking ahead, the 2024 U.S. Banking Industry Outlook Survey by KPMG outlines the major obstacles and prospects that banks face in the face of technological, regulatory, and financial disruptions. Of the 200 banking CEOs surveyed, 65% claimed that generative artificial intelligence is an integral part of their institution’s long-term vision and strategy, and 60% said that their companies have GenAI-enabled cybersecurity in both pilot and production stages. Despite challenges including interest rate risks and geopolitical unpredictability, two-thirds of executives are still confident in their bank’s growth prospects, with 59% predicting inorganic profitability growth. Regulatory intensity dominates focus, with 80% thinking regulatory supervision and enforcement in the area of cyber risk will increase, while 55% of institutions have boosted their resources to manage cyber threats. Moreover, following the Fedwire and SWIFT deadlines in November 2025 and March 2025, respectively, ISO 20022 compliance is a top priority for U.S. banks.
Methodology:
We sifted through holdings of bank ETFs and financial media covering bank stocks to form an initial list of 20 bank stocks. Then we selected the 7 stocks that were the most popular among institutional investors. The stocks are ranked in ascending order of the number of hedge funds that have stakes in them, as of Q2 2024.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points. (see more details here)
A team of financial advisors huddled around a desk, discussing the best investment strategy for their client.
Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:C)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 85
The third largest U.S. lender, Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:C), has headquarters in New York, was established in 1812, and offers financial services and products. The segments that it operates through include Corporate/Other, Institutional Clients Group, and Global Consumer Banking.
Citigroup operates a retail banking division with a domestic focus as well as an international commercial banking franchise. Large trading, investment banking, international corporate banking, and custody operations are all part of the bank’s commercial operations, which include services, markets, and banking segments (which were formerly combined under the Institutional Client Group, or ICG). Given its impossible-to-replicate global scope, Citi’s most distinctive business is its commercial banking division. Citigroup’s global reach contributes to its continued status as the preferred bank for multinational corporations.
The company earnings for the second quarter of 2024, are comfortably above analyst consensus projections for both revenue and earnings, powered by strong performance in Markets and Investment Banking, which reported YoY revenue increases of 6% and 38%, respectively. Shares fell by about 2% in spite of the impressive results, though, amid investor worries about expenses, dividends, and market share and as Citigroup issued a warning that costs for FY 2024 may come in at the higher end of the range.
Diamond Hill Capital Long-Short Fund stated the following regarding Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:C) in its first quarter 2024 investor letter:
“Other top Q1 contributors included Meta Platforms, Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:C) and Walt Disney. Banking and financial services company Citigroup’s restructuring efforts are ongoing, and it continues remediating regulatory issues and building capital in anticipation of increased requirements. The company expects to see expenses fall meaningfully in the second half of 2024, bolstering the outlook from here.”
The Hold rating given by DBS analyst Lim Rui Wen is a reflection of worries about small growth catalysts and restructuring difficulties. However, analysts also considered 2024 a transitional year for Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:C), as the company becomes leaner under CEO Jane Fraser’s turnaround.
Although high investment expenses and continuous regulatory scrutiny may put pressure on the financial company’s short-term performance, the company’s strategic exits and efficiency gains are intended to increase future profitability.
Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway is the largest shareholder in the company, with 55,244,797 shares worth $3.51 billion.
Overall C ranks 3rd on our list of the best bank stocks to buy. While we acknowledge the potential of C as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than C but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
