We recently compiled a list of the 10 Best LNG and LNG Shipping Stocks to Buy According to Analysts. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Chevron Corporation (NYSE:CVX) stands against the other stocks.
The global market for Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG), with the support of secure energy and industrial demand, is looking at continued expansion. The industry is forecasted to grow from $143.35 billion in 2024 to $155.85 billion in 2025, according to The Business Research Company. This reflects a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 8.7%. Looking further ahead, it is expected that the LNG market will reach $205.95 billion by 2029, exhibiting a CAGR of 7.2%, which is predominantly attributed to the global demand for cleaner energy. The demand for LNG is majorly fulfilled by the U.S., exporting around 88.3 million metric tons (MT), which is up by 4.5% from 2023, according to LSEG.
In contrast, the global market also has a major impact from Europe’s LNG demand. The region’s demand accounted for 55% of total LNG exports by the U.S. in 2024, according to LSEG. LNG shipments of 5.84 MT were sent to Europe by the U.S. in December 2024, which is up from 5.09 MT in the previous month.
This increased demand is driven by strong winters as well as supply-related issues from Russia. Previously, Europe imported LNG through Ukraine in 2024, while it is currently seeing increasing geopolitical issues. On the other hand, Asia’s LNG demand has also seen growth, making up 34% of the total LNG exports made by the U.S. in 2024. Accordingly, shipments to Asia rose to 2.01 MT in December from 1.64 MT in November (up by 24%).
However, the industry is currently facing challenges in the form of the U.S.-China trade war, under which China imposed a 15% tariff on the U.S. LNG, as U.S. President Donald Trump put a 10% charge on Chinese imports. While long-term commitments are significant, in 2024, China’s imports made up for only 5.5% (4.3 MT) of the total exports by the U.S., as per Kpler. It has been reported by Reuters that under 20-year agreements, Chinese buyers are to import 20 million tons per annum (MTPA) of LNG from U.S. terminals. However, ongoing issues may curb further contracts.
Thus, for short-term ease, the U.S. may rely on Europe’s demand, however, IEA predicts that the European gas demand will decline from 507 billion cubic meters (bcm) in 2023 to somewhere between 281 and 407 bcm by 2035, owing to its transition to renewable energy sources. On the other hand, China’s LNG demand is expected to grow and reach between 397 and 522 bcm by 2035.
Moreover, advancements in technology in liquefaction and regasification have helped in improving energy efficiency and in reducing methane emissions across the supply chain. Furthermore, offshore gas extraction has been enabled by floating LNG (FLNG) with minimal onshore infrastructure, which adds to flexibility in production. The global LNG liquefaction capacity by 2028 is expected to increase from 473 million tons per annum (MTPA) in 2023 to 968 MTPA by 2028 with the help of new projects as per BusinessWire. The expansion will be led by North America, making up for 54% of the total capacity increase.
Looking on to the other side, Australia also makes up for a key LNG player with over $126 billion invested in new and upcoming projects, as reported by Deloitte. These investments look to increase production capacity and help Australia secure long-term contracts amidst changing global demand.
Despite these developments, natural gas futures prices have increased by around 98.02% in the past six months. This is an increase from $1.956 on August 26, 2024 to $4.23, as of writing this article. This reflects on the high volatility of the market as well as evolving trade flows.
Methodology
To curate our list of the 10 Best LNG and LNG Shipping Stocks to Buy According to Analysts, we picked the top LNG companies having an exposure to LNG production and distribution. Furthermore, we made sure that we picked companies with strong market capitalization. Additionally, we looked into the number of hedge funds having a stake in the respective stocks, and made sure the hedge fund sentiment was positively strong for the respective stocks. Finally, we ranked the stocks based on the upside potential predicted by a healthy number of analysts, as of writing this article.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here).
An aerial view of an oil rig at sea, the sun glinting off its structure.
Chevron Corporation (NYSE:CVX)
Average Upside Potential: 11.34%
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 81
Chevron Corporation (NYSE:CVX) is one of the biggest energy companies with operations in the upstream and downstream segments in the U.S. and globally. The company has control over an extensive transportation system for natural gas and crude oil, which includes pipelines and storage facilities. Furthermore, the company has LNG projects as well, such as the Angola LNG and the Mafumeira Sul.
Chevron Corporation (NYSE:CVX) reported adjusted earnings of $3.6 billion for the quarter ended December 31, 2024. It reported an increase of 7% in full-year production, supported by an 18% increase in Permian Basin production. As a result, the company was able to return a record $27 billion to shareholders, and reduce its share count by 10% in the past two years, owing to record output, especially from the Permian Basin.
Furthermore, its strong financial position is also reflected by its net-debt ratio of 10% at year-end. However, financials were also negatively impacted by restructuring charges and asset sales, hindering its cash flow in the short term. Chevron Corporation’s (NYSE:CVX) projects like Angola LNG and Mafumeira Sul are crucial to its LNG portfolio, adding to its growth potential, and enabling them to meet growing demand.
The company’s focus toward such LNG initiatives strengthens its ability to secure long-term contracts, supplementing a steady revenue stream. It is also generating revenue from its new energies business, with over $600 million coming through sales of bio-based diesel.
Chevron Corporation (NYSE:CVX) also has stakes in Australia’s Gorgon LNG, Wheatstone LNG, and Angola LNG, keeping up with its expansion goals. Thus, such efforts, coupled with strong cash positions, allow Chevron to be among the 10 Best LNG and LNG Shipping Stocks to Buy.
Overall CVX ranks 7th on our list of the best LNG and LNG shipping stocks to buy according to analysts. While we acknowledge the potential of CVX as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that certain AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than CVX but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
READ NEXT: 20 Best AI Stocks To Buy Now and Complete List of 59 AI Companies Under $2 Billion in Market Cap.
Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
