We recently published a list of 10 Best Performing Software Stocks to Buy According to Analysts. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Cerence Inc. (NASDAQ:CRNC) stands against other best performing software stocks to buy according to analysts.
The global software market has witnessed tremendous growth over the past few decades, emerging as a key driver of productivity, economic expansion, and technological advancement. Software, in its broadest sense, includes a diverse range of programs and applications that power computers and other digital devices, enabling them to perform specialized tasks. These range from basic operating systems to sophisticated enterprise solutions and even cutting-edge quantum computing technologies.
The rapid expansion of the software industry is driven by increasing digital transformation, the widespread adoption of mobile technology, and continuous innovations in fields like artificial intelligence (AI). Additionally, with cyber threats and data breaches becoming more frequent and sophisticated, businesses are placing greater emphasis on data security and privacy. This has fuelled the rising demand for cybersecurity solutions, including encryption technologies, compliance tools, and advanced security applications, as the software sector continues to evolve to address these critical concerns.
According to an August 2024 report by Precedence Research, the global software market was valued at approximately $737 billion in 2024. Their projections suggest that it will surge to $2.25 trillion by 2034, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.8%. The U.S. software market, one of the largest globally, is expected to reach $676 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 12% between 2024 and 2034.
To put the current software market in perspective, Michael Wilson, CIO & Chief U.S. Equity Strategist at Morgan Stanley, shared his insights in a February 11 CNBC interview, discussing the near- to mid-term equity market outlook. While he anticipates market volatility over the next 3–6 months, he highlighted that software stocks have recently outperformed semiconductors. He attributes this shift to the growing diffusion of AI and the expansion of the application layer, which have driven greater investor interest in software. Although the semiconductor sector has experienced a temporary slowdown, Wilson emphasizes that it remains a cyclical industry rather than one in permanent decline. He also noted that advancements such as the DeepSeek AI-model announcement could renew excitement in AI and shift the focus back to software infrastructure.
With AI and machine learning becoming integral to various industries, the software market presents a compelling investment opportunity. Companies that demonstrate strong innovation in AI applications and have the potential to disrupt traditional industries are particularly well-positioned for long-term success.
Our Methodology
To determine the 10 best-performing software stocks to buy according to analysts, we began by screening all U.S.-listed software companies with a market capitalization above $300 million and a stock price over $10, eliminating smaller and more volatile stocks. Next, we identified companies with year-to-date (YTD) returns of at least 20%, refining the selection further to include only stocks with a potential upside of 10% or more. Finally, we ranked the top 10 stocks based on YTD returns, placing the highest-performing ones at the top. Additionally, we also included data on hedge fund holdings in these companies as of Q4 2024 to provide further insight into investor interest.
Note: All pricing data is as of market close on February 25.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here).
A man with an AI powered virtual assistant, demonstrating the coexistence of the two.
Cerence Inc. (NASDAQ:CRNC)
YTD returns: 50%
Potential Upside: 15%
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 10
Cerence Inc. (NASDAQ:CRNC) develops AI-powered virtual assistants for the mobility and transportation industry, primarily serving the automotive sector.
The company endured a difficult 2024, with its stock plunging as much as 87% between January and mid-November before ending the year 60% lower. While Cerence Inc. (NASDAQ:CRNC) has been gradually losing market share to competitors and alternative technologies in recent years, the sharp decline was primarily triggered by an unexpected and significant downward revision of its full-year revenue guidance for 2024, as announced with its Q2 2024 results in May 2024.
Interestingly, investor sentiment shifted dramatically since mid-November after the company unveiled its Cerence Automotive Large Language Model (CaLLM) Edge, an embedded AI model designed to function independently, even without internet connectivity. This announcement sent the stock soaring threefold in just two days (November 21-22).
The momentum continued into early 2025 when Cerence Inc. (NASDAQ:CRNC) announced an expanded partnership with NVIDIA in January to enhance the CaLLM model using NVIDIA AI Enterprise, a cloud-native AI platform. Following this news, the stock surged 157% in the first four trading days of the year, reaching $20.2, before retreating to around $11.8, still up 50% YTD.
Despite the recent rally, analysts remain cautious about further upside, with a consensus price target suggesting a 12% potential upside, reflecting lingering uncertainties about sustainability of Cerence Inc. (NASDAQ:CRNC)’s long-term growth prospects.
Overall, CRNC ranks 1st on our list of best performing software stocks to buy according to analysts. While we acknowledge the potential of CRNC to grow, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than CRNC but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.