CarGurus, Inc. (NASDAQ:CARG) Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

Sam Zales: Ralph, I’ll take it. I’m close to that business day to day. So thanks for asking Sam here. The operational improvements we talked about the last few quarters have been tremendous. We’ve talked about mechanical inspections. We’ve talked about the ability to look inside a vehicle for frame damage. We’ve done electrical. We’ve done much more in the upfront process of understanding customer vehicle quality and that’s led to arbitration dropping dramatically. We needed to do that to have a trusted process for buyers and sellers, and that’s been tremendous. Our transportation efficiency has been phenomenal. We’ve got much more margin out of how we’ve led that business. So, all of the efforts on operations have been terrific.

But I think you’re speaking to the exact point here. Number one, by being able to manage the business directly day-to-day, which has been sort of a third party relationship and advisory. It gives you the opportunity to do the same thing we’ve done at CarGurus is run a predictable efficient, highly profitable business. And we’d like to take control and the opportunity came to us to be able to do that earlier than later. And as Jason said, Zach Hallowell came at a nowhere as an industry expert, 25 years of digitizing two of the largest business in the wholesale arena. When you think about that Jason said, it’s very early in the market for digital takeover wholesale. So we think of his opportunity to watch the operation as well as define market fit, product market fit.

We know we have a platform that has been created that is phenomenal that it leads to largest buyers and sellers in the marketplace using programmatic. They’re comfortable that they use it. It’s getting to the rest of the market to grow our business by continuing to improve those operations and defining the perfect product market fit with things like 24-hour or buy-it-now, combined with the programmatic effort and with a guy like Zach taking over that day-to-day, we think the operational improvements are there for us to continue advancing and run a business that’s not only growth, but profitable for the long-term.

Jason Trevisan: I’ll just add one thing to complement what Sam said. Any time there’s an earn-out structure, which effectively step two and step three were, there’s — it’s just tough to perfectly align incentives if nothing else, the set remeasurement was on EBITDA or a line on EBITDA, but you’re not aligned on time horizon, for instance. And you’re also limited in how closely you can integrate, because you want to let that business perform to its highest potential. And so 100% ownership there allows total alignment of incentives of time horizon of integration and an efficiency of operations, if you can do things at a greater scale rather than it’s two different entities.

Ralph Schackart: Great. That’s helpful. Thanks Jason, Thanks Sam.

Operator: Our next question is from Marvin Fong with BTIG. Please proceed.

Marvin Fong: Hi. Great. Good evening. Thanks for sneaking me — question on the new cellular car products. So from CarGurus’ a standpoint, do you guys have like a different margin profile between the INCO mantra driven way, which I think is kind of a transaction fee basis versus what sounds like a subscription model for the — for sort of like the in-store drop-off. So do you guys have a preference? And sort of a second part of that question. So is there no arbitration risk if it’s dropped off at the dealer? Is it dealer responsible for inspection and all that letting?

Jason Trevisan: Sure. Thanks, Marvin for the question. Yes, they’re very different. So the cell my car, top dealer offer is a subscription product. It is oriented around the leads that are driven to that dealer. And so it’s extremely high margin similar to our listings business. The Instant Max cash offer, as you know, is a gross revenue rev rec dynamic and it’s more a transaction fee based. I wouldn’t say, I wouldn’t think of it as whether we have a preference. The preference is to give the consumer selection and convenience, and so we think we’re doing that. And especially by giving them the two highest offers, the white glove highest offer and the local dealer highest offer, we’re sort of doing most right by the consumer and giving the most control to dealers by allowing them to bid whatever they feel is appropriate to bid.

So we are very early days in Sell My Car, really excited by it. And — but it’s — I wouldn’t try to compare the two because there’s such different treatments, and it’s really about giving the consumer and the dealer frankly more options.

Marvin Fong: Understood, thanks. And maybe a follow-up question, I guess, to tackle a different topic. I mean, it’s great to hear that both the UK is not profitable, but I think Canada as well. You guys obviously narrowed your focus a couple of years ago. I mean, would you entertain expanding internationally again, or do you feel like you have enough on your fleet?

Jason Trevisan: That’s not on the short list of our priorities right now. We think there’s so much opportunity in our expansion to move into supporting all the transaction types that you’re hearing us roll out now, that’s where our focus is. And by the way, doing that in Canada and the UK as well, where we’re bringing modified versions there of the things that we’re doing here. And that’s a small reason that those companies or those countries rather are achieving the success that they are. But it’s certainly a contributing factor. There’s just a lot of runway in those countries, even with our existing model. And as we get more scale, then that gives us more, a little more pricing power, but also more brand recognition and more dealer customer satisfaction.

Marvin Fong: Got it. Thanks so much, Jason.

Jason Trevisan: Thanks, Marvin.

Operator: Our next question is from John Colantuoni with Jefferies. Please proceed.

Vincent Kardos: Hey, guys. Thanks for taking my questions. This is Vincent Kardos on for John and Jefferies. May first question talked about digital D a little bit. You talked a lot about the 2X conversion on leads and then 5X conversion on leads that you’ll see a bit further down the funnel. Can you talk a little bit about the features that make that product such a great tool for converting leads and then whether 2X is kind of about where you’d expect the conversion to stick around at long term? Or if there are product enhancements or new features or ways to channel in more down-front leads that could push that multiple higher over time? Thanks.

Jason Trevisan: Sure, Thanks for the question. I think Vincent, what’s your name? You cut out there for your name. So yes, we’ve given a 2X to 5X times higher conversion rate data point on digital deal. And that range reflects that a user can do different aspects in the digital deal funnel. So for example, if they do simply a prequalification, financing prequalification, then that may only increase their close rate at the lower end of that. But as they start to do some or all of things like getting a trade and appraisal, or setting up an appointment or if they do a hard pull on financing to get actual penny perfect deals or if they put down a deposit — with each of those items, you’re getting just so much further and further down the funnel and ready to purchase that those conversion rates get to the higher end, and in some cases with some combinations at some of the best run dealers, they’re getting just phenomenal close rates.

And so what we’re pushing for as a company and within the digital deal product, is giving the consumer and the dealer as much choice as they can. I mean, we talk about it as consumer who’s sort of going down this path to buying a car, they can decide to pull on any of these levers that they’d like and then they can decide to get off the highway and go into the dealer at any point that they’d like and give them that selection. So they don’t feel as if they’re boxed in to doing all of it online or if they’re boxed in and not doing any of it online. So summarize its different elements in different combinations and given the skill set of the dealership that will drive the close rate improvement.

Operator: And our next question is from Jed Kelly with Oppenheimer. Please proceed.

Jed Kelly: Hey. Great. Thanks for sneaking me in. Just two, if I may. Can you talk about how you view higher interest rates? And do you see this has an ability to gain more share? And then just on the subscription for the top dealer offer do you potentially see that evolving into more of a transactional pay by lead product as that product gains more scale? Thanks.

A – Jason Trevisan: Thanks, Jed. I’ll take the first. And Sam, if you want to take the second. So yes, I mean, interest — very high interest rates. — was reading this morning that the average interest rate right now in auto loans is 16%. It’s incredibly high. Car payments are incredibly high. We are seeing more searches for lower-priced cars as a result. We’re seeing more searches that are predicated on payment rather than total price of the car or even type of the car. And so we’re absolutely seeing how the consumer behavior is changing because of it. And dealers who tend to stock lower-priced cars are seeing much faster lead growth in our platform than dealers who stock higher-priced cars. So I think any time a consumer has new search criteria or is going to have a harder time finding the car that’s right for them.