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Atkore Inc. (ATKR): An Oversold Midcap Stock to Buy

We recently compiled a list of the 10 Oversold Midcap Stocks to Buy Right Now. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Atkore Inc. (NYSE:ATKR) stands against the other oversold midcap stocks.

The outlook for mid-cap stocks is looking increasingly bullish after lagging large-cap stocks for the better part of the year. That’s the sentiment in the equity market in the aftermath of the “red wave” sweep in the just concluded US elections. Growing optimism that a Republican administration will help foster a pro-growth environment while reducing regulatory constraints are some factors that make a case for mid-cap stocks heading into year-end.

While interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve were expected to be a positive for small-cap stocks, that has not been the case. Most have underperformed in the market on investors paying close attention to fundamentals. While most small-cap companies are struggling with disappointing financial results and outlooks, Bank of America Global Research Head Jill Carey Hall believes it is time to pay attention to mid-cap stocks.

READ ALSO: 10 Best Recycling Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds and 11 Best NYSE Penny Stocks to Buy Right Now.

“I think midcaps could be a better hedge for the near term, they have seen better earnings and guidance trends and they have historically still done well and often time better than smaller caps following the initial Federal Reserve cut historically,” said Hall in an interview with CNBC’s Squawk Box.

The S&P 400, a benchmark for midsized companies, is only up by about 17% year to date. While it has underperformed the larger S&P 500, up by about 22%, the S&P 400 index has started showing signs of edging higher, signaling renewed investor interest in mid-cap companies. The optimism comes from growing expectations that they will be one of the biggest beneficiaries of reduced regulations and tax cuts from the Trump administration.

Similarly, the case for oversold mid-cap stocks is growing amid the interest rate cutting spree by the Fed which is expected to steer the economy into a soft landing. The interest rate environment is becoming increasingly favorable for small and mid-sized companies looking to access cheap capital to enhance their operations.

“Historical data suggest that smaller-cap stocks have tended to be main beneficiaries once the Fed begins to lower rates. Therefore, we continue to advise investors to increase exposure to this area since we believe it is only a matter of time before the fortunes of this group take a turn for the better,” BMO Capital Markets’ Brian Belski wrote in October.

Compared to large-cap stocks, which can issue debt at a rate that reflects the quality of their income statement and balance sheet, small-cap stocks are more vulnerable to high interest rates due to their cost of borrowing.

Consequently, technology companies focused on revolutionary technologies such as artificial intelligence and machine learning should be the biggest beneficiaries of being able to access cheap capital to accelerate their research and development activities. Likewise, small-cap utilities and industrial companies are on the cusp of booming business amid a massive increase in power demand driven by the artificial intelligence boom.

Mid-cap stocks that have pulled back significantly while backed by solid underlying fundamentals offer opportunities heading into the year-end. With valuations in the overall market appearing overstretched, now would be the best time to pay close watch to the best oversold mid-cap stocks to buy, as most are well poised to benefit from a favorable monetary policy environment and regulatory environment under the new administration.

Our Methodology

To compile our list of the oversold midcap stocks to buy right now, we used the Finviz and Yahoo stock screeners to find stocks with a market cap of between $2 billion and $10 billion. We then focused on stocks that have fallen significantly by more than 30% year to date and have a forward P/E of less than 10 as of November 14. We then narrowed our choices to 10 stocks that have significant upside potential based on analysts’ average price targets. The list is sorted in ascending order of their upside potential.

At Insider Monkey, we are obsessed with the stocks that hedge funds pile into. The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).

A technician on a ladder inspecting the electrical components of an industrial building.

Atkore Inc. (NYSE:ATKR)

Forward P/E: 8.04

Analysts Upside Potential as of November 14: 20.38%

Year to date performance as of November 14: -43.31%

Atkore Inc. (NYSE:ATKR) is an industrial company that manufactures and sells electrical, mechanical safety, and infrastructure products and solutions. Down by about 43% year to date, the stock has felt the full brunt of a turbulent market environment.

In addition to being named as one of the defendants in an antitrust case brought against a group of PVC electrical conduit and water pipe manufacturers for price manipulation, Atkore Inc. (NYSE:ATKR) has recently had to contend with mounting pricing pressure and decreased profitability brought on by Mexican steel conduit dumping. Its core business has also been hit hard by a slower macro environment and poor visibility for upcoming orders headwinds that have affected its sentiments in the market.

In Q3, revenues fell 10.5% to $822.4 million, with net income per diluted share dropping to $1.80 from $3.33 last year. Despite these issues, organic volume increased 8% sequentially and 4% year to date, and the Safety & Infrastructure business is improving operational efficiency at its new Hobart, Indiana facility.

It is trading at a discount with a price-to-earnings multiple of 8.04, backed by a healthy balance sheet that allows the company to return value through dividends. Consequently, Atkore Inc. (NYSE:ATKR) is one of the best oversold mid-cap stocks to buy, as it rewards income-focused investors with a 1.35% dividend yield. Additionally, analysts on Wall Street rate the stock as a buy with an average price target of $111.33, implying a 20.38% upside potential, as of November 14, 2024.

Here is what Columbia Acorn Fund said about Atkore Inc. (NYSE:ATKR) in its Q3 2024 investor letter:

“Atkore Inc.Atkore Inc. (NYSE:ATKR) is a leading manufacturer of electrical products primarily for the non-residential construction and renovation markets, and safety and infrastructure products for the construction and industrial markets. Electrical products form the critical infrastructure that enables the deployment, isolation and protection of a structure’s electrical circuitry from the original power source to the final outlet. Atkore is the only vendor with meaningful share across PVC, steel and high-density polyethylene conduits making it easy for distributors and contractors to get all three with one order. Atkore has faced several headwinds recently including increasing pricing pressure and lower profitability due to Mexican steel conduit dumping as well as being named as one of the defendants in antitrust litigation filed against a group of PVC electrical conduit and water pipe manufacturers for price manipulation. A slower macro backdrop and limited visibility for future orders remain headwinds. We have added on weakness given the long-term secular tailwinds from the electrification of everything and highly attractive risk/reward proposition.”

Overall ATKR ranks 10th on our list of the oversold midcap stocks to buy right now. While we acknowledge the potential of ATKR as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than ATKR but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: 8 Best Wide Moat Stocks to Buy Now and 30 Most Important AI Stocks According to BlackRock

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

AI Fire Sale: Insider Monkey’s #1 AI Stock Pick Is On A Steep Discount

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J.P. Morgan’s warns of “most predictable crisis in history”

Dear Concerned Citizen,

In President Reagan’s farewell address, he called America a “Shining City on a Hill.”

And in many ways, America still is shining.

We have supersized homes, two cars in every garage, and more food to eat than any country in history.

We have smartphones, tablets, laptops, AI assistants, VR headsets and flatscreen tv’s that stream any entertainment we could think of on demand.

Many of us even have swimming pools, maids to clean our houses, nannies to watch our kids, and landscapers to manicure our lawns.

But despite all these shiny things…

There are massive cracks forming right below the surface of our “shining city.”

Cracks that threaten us with a widespread collapse unlike anything we’ve seen in our lifetimes.

During this presentation, I’m going to show you exactly what these cracks are and what’s really causing them.

I’m also going to show you why these cracks will only get worse, regardless of who’s President. 

Why?

Because these cracks are a symptom of a much bigger problem.

A problem that threatens the very foundation of our country.

What may shock you is that this problem was indirectly caused by President Reagan.

His greatest triumph has turned out to be our biggest curse.

A curse that is now cracking the very foundation of our great country.

And there’s absolutely nothing that can be done to stop these cracks from continuing to weaken our foundation until we collapse.

There’s no government stimulus package big enough…

No interest rate cut dramatic enough….

And no tax cut deep enough to stop the inevitable.

The only thing you can do is prepare for it.

In the end, we will see the market tumble 50%, real estate plummet 40%, savings accounts lose 30% and unemployment triple.

Click to continue reading…