John W. Rogers‘ Ariel Investments is an Illinois-based investment manager that specializes in small-cap and mid-cap stocks. It follows a value-based approach of targeting undervalued companies that show potential for growth. Its Ariel Focus Fund has total assets under management (AUM) of around $47 million, which the fund has invested in around 30 holdings. The Fund outperformed its index during the third-quarter, as the overall stock market also did well shaking off the Brexit blues. In its letter to investors, the fund said that the environment for equities remains good, with a sound economy and low interest rate. However, while the fund remains optimistic about the future, it thinks that some areas of the market are in the overvalued zone.
In this article, we’ll take a look at Ariel Focus Fund’s discussion of five stocks from its latest investor letter and see what the investment manager thinks of them and their performance.
Our backtests showed that the 15 most popular small-cap stocks among hedge funds managed to generate a monthly alpha of 81 basis points, versus an alpha of 0.7 percentage points posted by their top 50 large-cap picks (see more details).
Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) is one of the largest investment banks in the world, with a market value of around $63 billion. The bank benefited from the volatility caused due to Brexit, leading to a sharp increase in revenues at its commodity trading and fixed income divisions. Ariel is bullish on Morgan Stanley’s (NYSE:MS) prospects because it thinks that MS is a well-structured and diversified company that can take advantage of unexpected situations. The stock is currently trading near its 52-week-high after advancing by more than 24% during the third quarter. Analysts love the stock was well, as 21 out of the 27 analysts covering the stock rate it as a buy. 49 hedge funds that we track at Insider Monkey had a position in this stock on June 30, with the value of their holdings in it appreciating by 67% to $2.92 billion during the second quarter.
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KKR & Co. L.P (NYSE:KKR) is a global investment firm that manages investments across multiple asset classes, including private equity, energy, infrastructure, real estate, credit and hedge funds. KKR had a good third-quarter, with fund inflows of $9 billion exceeding expectations. The market rewarded the stock, as its price increased by more than 16% during the quarter. The firm’s good performance has also resulted in its AUM increasing to $131 billion, which is much higher than what it was a year ago. Ariel thinks that the profit engine of this company remains intact and continues to hold onto its position. Approximately 6.2% of the company’s float as of June was held by 27 hedge funds in our system. The value of their holdings in KKR & Co. L.P (NYSE:KKR) declined by 32% to $341 million during the second quarter however.
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We’ll check out three more of the fund’s stock picks and its discussion on them on the next page.
Tiffany & Co. (NYSE:TIF) is a luxury jeweler and specialty retailer operating in Asia, North America and Europe. The Ariel Focus Fund added the stock to its portfolio during the third quarter, citing the company’s strong brand, exclusive merchandise, attractive profitability, clean balance sheet, conservative management, growth prospects, pricing power, and a demonstrated track record of prudent capital allocation (phew). Concerns about spending on luxury goods has led to the stock declining by around 4% year-to-date through the end of October, which gave Ariel an opportunity to enter the company at an attractive price. Shares have enjoyed a strong November, gaining 5%, as Ariel appears to have timed its purchase well. The number of hedge funds in our database with a position in Tiffany & Co. (NYSE:TIF) remained the same quarter-over-quarter at 26 as of June 30, while the value of their holdings increased by almost 44% to $534 million.
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Barrick Gold Corporation (NYSE:ABX) is one of the largest gold miners in the world, having a market value of more than $20 billion. The stock has had a spectacular run over the last year, boasting a return of more than 120%, though it had a poor third-quarter, when its earnings fell below expectations. Ariel nonetheless remains upbeat about the prospects of the company as it continues to cut costs and debt. Barrick Gold Corporation (NYSE:ABX)’s management also recently maintained its gold production guidance, which the fund views as a positive. With many top investors advocating a position in gold due to low interest rates and the volatile economic environment, the stock remains a favorite of many analysts. About 53 hedge funds that we track held long positions in this stock on June 30, increasing from 49 a quarter earlier.
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Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE:XOM) is the largest oil and gas company in the world, with revenues of more than $200 billion a year. The company’s stock fell during the third quarter due to softness in oil prices, but Ariel likes it despite that, as it remains cash flow positive in an environment where most of its peers are suffering from negative cash flows. Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE:XOM)’s stock price was also affected by a fall in quarterly profits in the second quarter, to $1.7 billion from $4.2 billion a year earlier. The company continues to provide a decent dividend yield of 3.6%, and its dividend is believed to be safe. Within our database, 60 hedge funds held long position in Exxon Mobil as of June 30.
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Disclosure: None