We recently compiled a list of the 16 Most Undervalued Stocks to Buy Now. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Apollo Global Management, Inc. (NYSE:APO) stands against the other undervalued stocks.
With the US stock market touching record highs, mainly driven by significant contributions from big technology sectors, domestic and global investors continue to observe market dynamics to tap potential opportunities. Therefore, identifying undervalued stocks becomes important as they might provide substantial value amidst high valuations across sectors.
Concentration of S&P 500
Courtesy of “Magnificent 7” stocks that captured investor attention in 2024, the market cap concentration in the leading US equities is the highest in decades. Strategists at Goldman Sachs believe the 10 largest US stocks now constitute ~33% of the S&P 500 index’s market value. This is well above the ~27% share reached at the peak of the tech bubble which was seen in 2000.
The present concentration helped in driving a period of strong US market returns. The market saw an annualized total return of ~16% over the previous 5 years. This compares to the 30-year annual average of 10%. As per Goldman Sachs, the top 10 stocks made up for over a third of that gain. That being said, “today’s top stocks are trading at lower valuations than the largest stocks did at the peak of the tech bubble in 2000.”
Despite healthy returns, investors are anxious regarding the extreme current degree of market concentration relative to the recent history.
There appear to be similarities between the current conditions today and the episodes in 1973 and 2000. The labor market seems to be in a decent state, and concentration has been rising along with robust equity market returns. In these episodes, the peak of equity market concentration also led to the peak of a bull market, and the US economy saw recessionary fears in the subsequent year.
However, the 1964 experience reflects that an ongoing bull market might continue to move higher despite a decline in market concentration. After the market concentration peaked, stock prices and the US economy were resilient for an extended period.
Are The US Stocks Overvalued or Undervalued?
The valuations of the largest stocks are well below the previous highs. As of now, the 10 largest stocks continue to trade at the collective forward P/E multiple of ~25x, well below the peak valuations seen in the largest stocks in 2000, 2020, and the middle of 2023.
The valuations are also lower based on the premium the largest stocks are trading at relative to the rest of the market. That is to say that the ~35% valuation premium today remains well below the 80% premium seen in the middle of 2023 and the 100% premium of 2000. Though the degree of market cap concentration is indeed higher today as compared to the peak touched in 2000, the largest stocks are trading at much lower multiples than during the technology bubble.
Our methodology
We used the Finviz screener to extract the list of 16 Most Undervalued Stocks to Buy Now. We have shortlisted the stocks that are expected to report earnings growth this year and have a forward P/E multiple of less than ~21.66x (as the market trades at the forward multiple of ~21.66x). We ranked the stocks in ascending order of their hedge fund sentiment.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points. (see more details here).
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Apollo Global Management, Inc. (NYSE:APO)
Forward P/E as of August 22: 15.13x
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 79
Expected EPS Growth this Year: 4.9%
Apollo Global Management, Inc. (NYSE:APO) is an alternative investment manager. The company serves several sectors like chemicals, manufacturing and industrial, natural resources, consumer and retail, consumer services, and business services, among others.
Over the last decade or so, the company’s primary growth driver has been its investment-grade credit business, which is closely linked to the rise of its insurance subsidiary, Athene. Moving forward, the company’s earnings and revenues are expected to be driven by the disruptive trends in financial services, mainly the shift of retirement assets to higher-yielding private credit. This is because it plays a dual role as an asset manager and annuity provider.
Moving forward, Apollo Global Management, Inc. (NYSE:APO)’s innovative products, like fixed indexed annuities and multi-year guaranteed annuities, should act as principal growth drivers.
The company released its 2Q 2024 results, highlighting significant capital deployment and inflows, with $70 billion invested and record inflows of $39 billion. The company has a positive strategic outlook, with expectations of healthy growth over the next decade across sectors, such as infrastructure and energy transition, and in the retirement services market. Apollo Global Management, Inc. (NYSE:APO)’s debt origination and hybrid and equity strategies are expected to act as tailwinds.
TD Cowen increased its price objective on shares of Apollo Global Management, Inc. (NYSE:APO) from $146.00 to $147.00, giving the stock a “Buy” rating on 8th July. The Insider Monkey database indicates that 79 hedge funds held stakes in the company as of the end of Q2 2024.
Baron Funds, an investment management company, released its second-quarter 2024 investor letter. Here is what the fund said:
“Strength in Tech-Enabled Financials was broad based, led by gains from alternative asset manager Apollo Global Management, Inc. (NYSE:APO) and specialty insurer Arch Capital Group Ltd. Apollo continues to benefit from disruptive trends in financial services, most notably the shift of retirement assets into higher-yielding private credit given the company’s dual role as an asset manager and an annuity provider.”
Overall APO ranks 5th on our list of the most undervalued stocks to buy. While we acknowledge the potential of APO as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some deeply undervalued AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for a deeply undervalued AI stock that is more promising than APO but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
