There has been much uproar about AI stock valuations and how investors are overpaying for mega-cap tech stocks that are promising something that still lies far into the future — productivity gains, real-life AI products and AGI. But the market doesn’t seem to care what the AI skeptics and naysayers believe. There seems to be no end in sight to the AI-led gains in stocks. And analysts are expecting more. Goldman Sachs’s Scott Rubner recently said that he sees a “wall of money” heading towards the market. Rubner pointed towards the whopping $7.3 trillion sitting in money market funds and said he believes the floodgates are about to open and investors would funnel that money into stocks. According to Rubner’s model, the third quarter of 2024 is when we should expect billions ($29 billion, to be precise) to be flushed into the market.
“Stick With What’s Working”
One doesn’t need to have a crystal ball to know where all of those billions would be headed. AI is the promising theme everyone is betting on and that everyone includes experts, billionaires, money managers and long-term value investors. Tom Lee, Fundstrat Global Advisors co-founder, recently said in a program on CNBC that investors have been “hesitant” for much of the year, but they should just “stick” with “what’s working.” AI, weight loss drugs and related themes is what’s working these days, according to Lee.
Methodology
For this article we picked the top AI stocks Wall Street analysts recently upgraded or gave bullish comments about. With each stock we have mentioned the number of hedge fund investors. Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
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10. Palantir Technologies Inc (NYSE:PLTR)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 45
Last month, Wedbush’s Dan Ives said the latest selloff around Palantir Technologies Inc (NYSE:PLTR) was a “golden” buying opportunity. Ives has an Outperform rating and a $35 price target on Palantir Technologies Inc (NYSE:PLTR). Palantir Technologies Inc (NYSE:PLTR) is trading at a high P/E multiple of 170, which has alarmed many. However, Palantir Technologies Inc (NYSE:PLTR) bulls believe Palantir Technologies Inc’s (NYSE:PLTR) consistent contract wins from the government and AI-related growth catalysts justify this multiple. Analysts are bullish on Palantir Technologies Inc’s (NYSE:PLTR) AI platform (AIP), which helps companies and governments in decision making based on AI technologies. In the first quarter alone, Palantir Technologies Inc (NYSE:PLTR) saw a 16% YoY increase in government contracts. US government revenue jumped 12% year over year.
Palantir Technologies Inc (NYSE:PLTR) has increased its U.S. commercial sector growth outlook to 45% from an initial estimate of 40%. Palantir Technologies Inc (NYSE:PLTR) is expected to report sales growth of 20% next year according to Wall Street estimates. The stock is trading at 54X its 2025 EPS estimate of $0.39, which is justified based on the strong growth trajectory.
Carillon Scout Mid Cap Fund stated the following regarding Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) in its fourth quarter 2023 investor letter:
“Second was another technology stock, Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR), which rallied earlier in the quarter before pulling back. Sentiment remains positive on Palantir as it has successfully rolled out a new marketing effort called “boot camps” where customers can demo the company’s new artificial intelligence platform (AIP) product. These events have been popular with potential clients, and in many cases it has been reported that customers can develop an artificial intelligence use case in just a few hours. The stock rallied as some expected this successful marketing effort could translate into faster revenue growth. Palantir also landed the coveted National Health Services account in the UK, long rumored, but the delay in the award had weighed on investor sentiment.”
9. Cisco Systems Inc (NASDAQ:CSCO)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 58
Cisco Systems Inc (NASDAQ:CSCO) is in the news after the company launched a $1 billion investment fund that would invest in AI startups. Cisco Systems Inc (NASDAQ:CSCO) has also announced a new partnership with Nvidia to simplify the development of generative AI applications. Wall Street considers Cisco Systems Inc (NASDAQ:CSCO) a promising AI stock, thanks to Cisco Systems Inc’s (NASDAQ:CSCO) $28 billion acquisition of Splunk. Cisco Systems Inc (NASDAQ:CSCO) expects the AI switching market to exceed $10 billion in the next three years. Cisco Systems Inc (NASDAQ:CSCO) has several AI-focused products, including AI-native cybersec solution Hypershield, AI assistants and other AI infrastructure solutions.
In May, Cisco Systems Inc (NASDAQ:CSCO) reported strong fiscal Q3 results, beating EPS estimates by 7.3% and revenue by 5.50%. Cisco Systems Inc (NASDAQ:CSCO) also increased its full-year revenue guidance. Bank of America analysts led by Tal Liani said in a note that if we exclude the Splunk effect and go with ~3% FY25 revenue growth guidance, Cisco Systems Inc’s (NASDAQ:CSCO) management expects Cisco Systems Inc’s (NASDAQ:CSCO) revenue (excluding Splunk’s) to grow 5% next year, a solid improvement. Bank of America has a Buy rating and $60 price target on the stock.
Morgan Stanley analyst Meta Marshall last month praised Cisco Systems Inc’s (NASDAQ:CSCO) Q3 results, saying Cisco Systems Inc (NASDAQ:CSCO) was able to beat estimates “slightly” with better-than-expected orders. The analyst has an Overweight rating and $58 price target on Cisco Systems Inc (NASDAQ:CSCO). Marshall thinks Cisco’s 2025 earnings estimates are “achievable.”
8. Marvell Technology Inc (NASDAQ:MRVL)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 87
Marvell Technology Inc (NASDAQ:MRVL) is another stock JPMorgan believes could “dominate” the customer application-specific integrated circuit, or ASIC, market. Analysts at JPMorgan estimate that Marvell Technology Inc (NASDAQ:MRVL) could generate between $1.6 billion and $1.8 billion in AI revenue from ASICs and networking this year and between $2.8 billion and $3 billion next year.
Marvell Technology Inc (NASDAQ:MRVL) shares recently tumbled following mixed Q1 results. However, some analysts believe the stock could be an opportunity to buy on the dip. Oppenheimer analyst Rick Schafer maintained his outperform rating on the stock and upped his price target to $90 from $80.
Analysts believe that Marvell Technology Inc. (NASDAQ:MRVL) could be the next major AI play as Marvell Technology Inc. (NASDAQ:MRVL) begins to roll out AI-specific products like Spica™ 800G PAM4 DSP platform for optical interconnects. Marvell Technology Inc. (NASDAQ:MRVL) also sells Application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) for data centers, which are seeing a huge boost amid the AI revolution.
According to data compiled by Yahoo Finance, average Wall Street price target for Marvell Technology Inc. (NASDAQ:MRVL) is $87.7, which represents a 14% upside potential from the current levels.
However, Marvell Technology Inc’s (NASDAQ:MRVL) negative revenue growth has alarmed many especially when peers are growing at a faster pace. In the first quarter, revenue fell 12.2% on a YoY basis. Marvell Technology Inc (NASDAQ:MRVL) has a $3 billion of net debt. In fiscal 2025, Marvell Technology Inc’s (NASDAQ:MRVL) FCF is expected to come in at $1 billion, excluding taxes and management’s stock options. While the stock’s PE ratio (TTM) is 52, it’s trading at 32X 2025 EPS estimate. This makes Marvell Technology Inc. (NASDAQ:MRVL) a stock to consider only for the long-term. In the short-term there are much better options to invest in the AI space other than Marvell Technology Inc. (NASDAQ:MRVL).
7. Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ:AVGO)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 115
JPMorgan is a latest report said that Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ:AVGO) can “dominate” the high-end of the customer chips market. JPMorgan expects the high-end of the application-specific integrated circuit, or ASIC, market to reach anywhere between $20 billion and $30 billion, up from its previous estimate of $20 billion to $25 billion.
While Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ:AVGO) is directly exposed to the AI semiconductor market, some believe the stock is priced for perfection, with a P/E multiple of 52 and YTD share price gain of 30%. In the first quarter Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ:AVGO) saw a 34% revenue growth, which surprised the Wall Street. However, adjusted earnings clocked in growth that was significantly less than revenues, indicating limited margins. Broadcom Inc’s (NASDAQ:AVGO) EV/EBITDA is 22.5, much higher than its five-year average of 14 and sector median of 14. Broadcom Inc’s (NASDAQ:AVGO) debt levels are also worrying for many. It has $73,429 million in long-term debt and $2,374 million in current debt. Broadcom Inc’s (NASDAQ:AVGO) revenue growth is expected to come in at 13% next year and 15.10% over the next five years on a per-annum basis. This means Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ:AVGO) is a laggard when compared to industry leaders like NVDA. The stock’s one-year average analyst price estimate set by Wall Street is $1533, representing an upside potential of just 9%.
Baron Durable Advantage Fund stated the following regarding Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO) in its first quarter 2024 investor letter:
“We also initiated a new position in Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), a global technology leader that designs, develops, and supplies a broad range of semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions. Its semiconductor solutions focus on complex digital, mixed signal, and analog products across a variety of end-markets while its software products help customers plan, develop, automate, manage, and secure applications across various platforms.
Historically, Broadcom’s semiconductor business has been a market-leading franchise with high margins and market-level growth, but the emergence of AI-related demand has spurred stronger growth across its portfolio, specifically in its Networking business unit. Broadcom’s AI-related revenue has grown from less than 5% of its semiconductor business to an expected 35% in its fiscal 2024 as its industry-leading Ethernet switch silicon business and, more importantly its custom silicon solutions, primarily the TPU for Google but with two additional customers ramping as well, have grown significantly. While custom chips tend to be less versatile and flexible than GPUs, their adoption makes sense if customers have large scale workloads with algorithms that are relatively stable, as they allow hyperscale customers to save costs on both upfront capex as well as on energy consumption. Over time, we believe that custom silicon solutions will obtain a noticeable market share of internal AI workloads, with Broadcom as the main beneficiary given its 10-year history of working with its customers, leading to a higher proportion of sales related to AI and an above-market growth in the company’s semiconductor solutions business…” (Click here to read the full text)
While we acknowledge the potential of AVGO, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than AVGO or NVIDIA but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
