In this article, we will take a detailed look at the Analysts are Recommending These 10 AI Semiconductor Stocks Despite Selloff.
Despite the concerns around AI stock valuations, some analysts believe companies are just getting started with the AI revolution and have a long runway for this bull run. Last month Cantor Fitzgerald analysts said in a note that AI semiconductor companies were positioned well heading into the second-quarter earnings season. They also said strengths in NAND and HDD markets and fiscal discipline make data storage companies attractive.
“We continue to believe that AI-leveraged names are still the most attractive to own heading into earnings,” Cantor analysts led by C.J. Muse said.
Cantor’s analysts said that companies that make semiconductor equipment are still in the early cycle of recovery.
“We are now five quarters into the recovery versus the average typical cycle of nine quarters and believe this cycle will be even more elongated,” they said.
Deutsche Bank also expects strong performance from AI-driven semiconductor stocks in the second-quarter earnings season. However, the firm observes that investors are becoming more selective. Analyst Ross Seymore highlighted that while optimism persists around the current AI leaders, there is growing caution about which companies will sustain or begin to show financial gains amid lingering uncertainty about the momentum’s longevity.
Melissa Weathers, another Deutsche Bank analyst, noted that semiconductor stocks have surged by 10-20% or more since the beginning of the second quarter, with price-to-earnings ratios approaching or exceeding previous highs. She emphasized that future upward movement will likely depend on revisions to earnings estimates.
For this article we picked 10 AI semiconductor stocks Deutsche Bank and Cantor Fitzgerlad are bullish on. With each stock we have mentioned the number of hedge fund investors. Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
10. NXP Semiconductors NV (NASDAQ:NXPI)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 40
Cantor Fitzgerald increased its price target for NXP to $350 from $325. The new price target presents an upside potential of 33%.
NXP Semiconductors is not directly exposed to the AI or data center chips market. The company makes chips for IoT, industrial applications and cars. Amid a slowing automotive demand, some analysts are reluctant about NXP. However, some of the demand headwinds in the automotive segment could be offset by growth in hybrid control units and 48V systems, in addition to radar transceivers, ADAS components, and UWB connectivity. The company’s strengths in 32-bit Microcontrollers (MCUs) and RFID could also boost the stock in the future. NXP’s gross margins are stable at around 58%, with operating margins expected to rise from 35% in FY’24 to 36% over two years. Free cash flow margins should improve to the mid-20% range, translating into a 10% FCF growth.
NXPI shares are trading at a forward P/E ratio of 18.55, much lower than the industry average of 25. The stock could be a long-term buy for patient investors.
Aristotle Large Cap Growth Strategy made the following comment about NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NASDAQ:NXPI) in its Q3 2023 investor letter:
“We sold NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NASDAQ:NXPI) to reduce our exposure to the automotive sector in semiconductors following the strong returns over the past 3 years. We are seeing early data of slowing global auto sales due to macroeconomic conditions and higher interest rates. While we think this may be a shorter-term slowdown, the risk is increasing of elevated inventory levels and pricing headwinds.”
9. Western Digital Corp (NASDAQ:WDC)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 65
Western Digital Corp (NASDAQ:WDC) is one of the top semiconductor picks of Cantor Fitzgerald. The company recently reported quarterly results. Cloud segment revenue jumped 20% on a sequential basis. Overall, the company is seeing a rise in profits amid higher pricing and a shift to premium high-performance products. The cloud business, particularly in high-capacity HDDs for data centers, remains strong.
What are AI-related growth catalysts for Western Digital? How can an SSD and storage devices company be called an AI stock?
The rise of artificial intelligence and its data demands positively impact both HDD and flash demand. Generative AI apps and machine learning require substantial data storage, a tailwind for Western Digital. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend, which is still in its early stages.
During fiscal Q3 earnings call the company’s management talked about AI-related business trends:
“I would say about the AI demand as it’s coming into focus. I don’t think it’s so much in the results just yet, but we’re seeing where it’s going to impact both businesses. And clearly, one of them you just outlined, which is we’re seeing enterprise SSD demand return, we saw some increase in the last quarter. We expect some increase in this quarter. But really, as we look to the second half, we have customers coming to us wanting the kind of SSDs we built and qualified before the downturn. They just want them in much bigger capacity points, 30 and 60 terabyte capacity points. So it’s the same product just taking it and increasing capacity and going through a qualification on that so we’re in that process with customers.
We also introduced a new SSD that’s more compute focused, which is PCIe Gen 5 product based on BiCS 6, very high performance that plays a little bit different role in the AI training stack and we’re getting very good feedback on that product. It’s being qualified by our starting qualification, we samples. We’re kind of getting rid of the qualification of the hyperscaler and we’re seeing good demand in the enterprise market as well. So we feel like the portfolio set up well as we go into the second half, and we’re seeing a lot of demand show up for people that are very building large amount of infrastructure for model training.”
read the full earnings call transcript here.
8. ASML Holding NV (NASDAQ:ASML)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 75
ASML is also among the top semiconductor picks of Cantor.
ASML Holding NV (NASDAQ:ASML) has a near monopoly in the semiconductor industry as it machines used by chip manufacturers use to make physical chips.
ASML Holding NV (NASDAQ:ASML) supplies ultraviolet lithography photolithography machines used to manufacture advanced 3nm and 5nm chips. Jim Kelleher of Argus has set a $1,000 price target on the stock. Over the past one year ASML Holding NV (NASDAQ:ASML) shares have gained about 35%.
ASML was one of the stocks pitched during the SOHN Conference this year. Vijay Shilpiekandula of Dilation Capital, who was named the Sohn Idea Contest Winner, presented ASML as his best stock idea.
“What I find like good opportunity for investors in the market to think about right now is to be creative about the long-term capacities and the long-term earnings potential of this company based on this gold rush that all these memory makers and large language models are chasing,” Shilpiekandula said
Polen International Growth Strategy stated the following regarding ASML Holding N.V. (NASDAQ:ASML) in its fourth quarter 2023 investor letter:
“Netherlands-based ASML Holding N.V. (NASDAQ:ASML) and Japan-based Lasertec play dominant roles within different segments of the global semiconductor industry. In both cases, shares rallied significantly in the fourth quarter of 2023, prompting our positions to grow as a percentage of the overall portfolio. We believe both companies will see demand for their products as extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography and soon high-numerical aperture lithography must be utilized to manufacture the world’s smallest chips. However, in our estimation, 2024 could deliver a year of less exciting growth for the semiconductor industry, which prompted us to trim these positions back.”
7. Qualcomm Inc (NASDAQ:QCOM)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 78
Cantor Fitzgerald increased its price target for QCOM to $215 from $190.
QUALCOMM Inc (NASDAQ:QCOM) was seen as a laggard in the AI arms race but all of a sudden the stock has a new growth catalyst: AI PCs. Microsoft has announced that its Surface Laptop and Surface Pro will be powered by QUALCOMM Inc (NASDAQ:QCOM) chips. These devices can run several AI tasks without the internet. QUALCOMM Inc (NASDAQ:QCOM) is a key partner of Microsoft to deliver Copilot+ PCs.
In addition to AI PCs, AI smartphones is another emerging growth catalyst for QUALCOMM Inc (NASDAQ:QCOM). The company’s Snapdragon 8 Gen 3 Mobile Platform can power smartphones to process up to 10 billion parameters of generative AI models, effectively making them intelligent personal assistants.
Wall Street expects Qualcomm’s revenue to grow 10% in 2025 and earnings to rise by 13.10% in the year. Despite these growth catalysts, QUALCOMM Inc (NASDAQ:QCOM) is trading at a forward P/E of 20, lower than the industry median of 23.73.
Aristotle Capital Value Equity Strategy stated the following regarding QUALCOMM Incorporated (NASDAQ:QCOM) in its Q2 2024 investor letter:
“QUALCOMM Incorporated (NASDAQ:QCOM), a leading wireless communications technology company, was the largest contributor for the quarter. After a period of weaker global demand for smartphones (driven by a slowdown in China) and elevated channel inventory, demand from Chinese handset manufacturers accelerated 40% year‐over‐year. More importantly, in our opinion, Qualcomm continues to execute on a previously identified catalyst of shifting its business mix beyond smartphones. The company announced increased progress for its automotive and Internet of Things (IoT)solutions. Within auto, the increase in vehicle content has resulted in 35% year‐over‐year revenue growth, with a design win pipeline of ~$45 billion, keeping the company on track to achieving ~$4 billion in auto‐related revenues by 2026. In recent years, despite persistent threats of insourcing from large clients (most notably Apple), Qualcomm has been able to retain its high market share in handsets while simultaneously expanding in non‐smartphone devices. We believe this progress is a testament to Qualcomm’s history of high (and productive) R&D spending, resulting in technological superiority. We believe Qualcomm’s technologies will continue to benefit as the world stays on a path toward a proliferation of connectivity between varying devices and as AI applications extend from the cloud to on‐device.”
6. Applied Materials, Inc (NASDAQ:AMAT)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 79
AMAT is another AI semi stock Cantor is bullish on.
Analysts at Stifel kept a bullish on on Applied Materials, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMAT) after attending Semicon West 2024 in San Francisco. Brian Chin and Denis Pyatchanin believe Taiwan Semiconductor’s continued spending will benefit the stock. They increased the stock’s price target to $275 from $240.
“Ultimately, we see Applied Materials, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMAT) as well on track to establish higher peak revenue/profitability through the ensuing upcycle, and warranting a higher multiple as it demonstrates improved financial performance across the cycle, and in particular during the downturn,” they said.
Applied Materials, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMAT) is one of those non-fancy AI stocks that don’t get much limelight from the Wall Street. The stock, up 59% this year so far, received an upgrade from Barclays. The investment firm expects the stock to benefit from higher spending in the semiconductor equipment industry. Barclays expects wafer fab equipment spending to hit $96.3 billion in 2024 and $106.4 billion in 2025, up from its previous estimate of $80.6 billion and $89.1 billion, respectively.
In May, Applied Materials, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMAT) posted solid Q2 results. Mizuho Securities analyst Vijay Rakesh upped his price target on the stock to $245 from $225 and kept his Buy rating. Citi analyst Atif Malik also increased his price target on the stock to $250 from $170. The analyst sees “further upside” to Applied Materials, Inc.’s (NASDAQ:AMAT) 2025 estimates.
Applied Materials, Inc.’s (NASDAQ:AMAT) moat is strong and wide. The company makes equipment used to make semiconductor chips. It has a diverse equipment portfolio that addresses the high-growth ICAPS industry (IoT, Communications, Automotive, Power, and Sensors). Last year Applied Materials, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMAT) made a breakthrough announcement by launching Centura Sculpta, a machine that dramatically reduces the number of steps required in chips production. Applied Materials, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMAT) said chipmakers can save a whopping $250 million per 100K wafer starts per month of production capacity in costs.
Wall Street expects Applied Materials, Inc.’s (NASDAQ:AMAT)’ revenue to surge 11% in 2025 while earnings growth is forecasted to come in at 15.60% in the year. The stock’s forward P/E is 23.73, not much higher than the industry average of 27, when seen in the context of growth.
5. Marvell Technology Inc (NASDAQ:MRVL)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 87
Deutsche Bank is also bullish on MRVL.
JPMorgan believes MRVL could “dominate” the custom application-specific integrated circuit, or ASIC, market. Analysts at JPMorgan estimate that Marvell Technology Inc (NASDAQ:MRVL) could generate between $1.6 billion and $1.8 billion in AI revenue from ASICs and networking this year and between $2.8 billion and $3 billion next year.
Marvell Technology Inc (NASDAQ:MRVL) shares recently tumbled following mixed Q1 results. However, some analysts believe the stock could be an opportunity to buy on the dip. Oppenheimer analyst Rick Schafer maintained his outperform rating on the stock and upped his price target to $90 from $80.
Analysts believe that Marvell Technology Inc. (NASDAQ:MRVL) could be the next major AI play as Marvell Technology Inc. (NASDAQ:MRVL) begins to roll out AI-specific products like Spica™ 800G PAM4 DSP platform for optical interconnects. Marvell Technology Inc. (NASDAQ:MRVL) also sells Application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) for data centers, which are seeing a huge boost amid the AI revolution.
According to data compiled by Yahoo Finance, average Wall Street price target for Marvell Technology Inc. (NASDAQ:MRVL) is $87.7, which represents a 14% upside potential from the current levels.
However, Marvell Technology Inc’s (NASDAQ:MRVL) negative revenue growth has alarmed many especially when peers are growing at a faster pace. In the first quarter, revenue fell 12.2% on a YoY basis. Marvell Technology Inc (NASDAQ:MRVL) has a $3 billion of net debt. In fiscal 2025, Marvell Technology Inc’s (NASDAQ:MRVL) FCF is expected to come in at $1 billion, excluding taxes and management’s stock options. While the stock’s PE ratio (TTM) is 52, it’s trading at 32X 2025 EPS estimate. This makes Marvell Technology Inc. (NASDAQ:MRVL) a stock to consider only for the long-term. In the short-term there are much better options to invest in the AI space other than Marvell Technology Inc. (NASDAQ:MRVL).
Artisan Mid Cap Fund stated the following regarding Marvell Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MRVL) in its Q2 2024 investor letter:
“During the quarter, we initiated new GardenSM positions in CCC Intelligent Solutions, Marvell Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MRVL) and Insmed. Marvell Technology is a semiconductor company offering networking, secure data processing and storage solutions to customers worldwide. We believe Marvell has among the broadest range of intellectual property in technological areas (e.g., high-bandwidth data switching and storage applications) that position it well for the growing requirements of data centers, wireless networks and autos. Several of the company’s product lines (e.g., custom silicon, optical connectivity and switching) are benefiting from the growth of AI data centers. And we believe a significant opportunity exists for the company to help design and manufacture cost-effective custom data center chips that would help cloud providers reduce their reliance on expensive graphics processing units (GPUs). Furthermore, like many other semiconductor companies, a portion of its business may be poised for a cyclical recovery after the industry’s recent inventory correction.”
