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Analyst Says Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is the ‘Key Beneficiary of AI Prosperity’

We recently published a list of the Big Tech Funds are Buying These 10 AI Stocks. Since Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd. (NYSE:TSM) ranks 7th on the list, it deserves a deeper look.

As mega-cap technology stocks continue to soar to new highs, the number of Wall Street analysts highlighting the “concentration of gains” problem are increasing. It’s more than evident now that just a handful of technology companies account for most of the gains in the market, thanks to the AI-fueled rally that is favoring only those companies that are leading in the AI arms race. Barclays analyst Venu Krishna recently said in a report that “Big Tech” has  “largely carried the broader U.S. equity market through 1Q24 earnings results.” Krishna said that Q1 results showed the “ongoing dominance” of Big Tech over earnings revisions and margin upside.

“This makes it difficult to argue for a broadening of overweight allocations,” Krishna added. The analyst said this dominance comes at the expense of other sectors as funds cut their exposure to cyclical sectors like industrials, financials and discretionary to go overweight on tech.

Billionaire Steve Cohen’s New AI Fund

Billionaires and VCs are now planning to create their own AI-focused funds to attract money from investors and tap into the unprecedented opportunities unlocked by AI. Bloomberg recently reported that Steve Cohen’s Point72 Asset Management is planning to raise about $1 billion to make a new AI-focused hedge fund. The fund will bet “on and against” companies in AI hardware and semiconductor industries. The report said that billionaire Cohen will be overseeing the fund along with Eric Sanchez. The fund’s expected launch date is later this year or early 2025.

Billionaire Cohen is already ramping up his bets on AI. To see his AI investments this year, click 10 Best AI Stock Picks of Billionaire Steve Cohen.

Since Krishna of Barclays talked about the rise of big tech funds and their concentration into AI, in this article we will take a look at the major AI stocks that form the portfolios of these funds and discuss their growth catalysts and long-term outlook. For that we first listed down all holdings of major tech funds like Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund and iShares Global Tech ETF and picked 10 AI stocks with the highest number of hedge fund investors.

Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).

Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd. (NYSE:TSM)

Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 135

Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd. (NYSE:TSM) is one of the top AI semiconductor stocks big tech funds are piling into, and for the right reasons. Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd. (NYSE:TSM) is the biggest foundry which makes chips for fabless companies, enjoying an over 50% market share.  Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd. (NYSE:TSM) is behind some of the world’s most advanced chips, including 2nm and 3nm nodes. It supplies chips to major players like Apple (AAPL), Qualcomm (QCOM), and Nvidia (NVDA).

Despite these growth catalysts, analysts believe Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd. (NYSE:TSM) valuation is depressed amid the Taiwan factor — any conflict between China and Taiwan would hamper Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd.’s (NYSE:TSM) business due to its huge reliance on international supply chains. The stock is trading at a forward P/E of 27, much lower than peers like ASML, NVDA and AMD. But some believe these concerns are overblown and there are no short-term risks to Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd. (NYSE:TSM) from this perspective. Bank of America Brad Lin recently increased his earnings estimate and price target for the stock, saying TSMC is the “key beneficiary and enabler of AI prosperity.” Lin set a $180 price target on TSMC. Lin thinks Apple’s latest plans revealed at the WWDC event would bode well for Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd. (NYSE:TSM) since TSMC makes 25% of its revenue from the Cupertino giant.

Baron Emerging Markets Fund stated the following regarding Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (NYSE:TSM) in its first quarter 2024 investor letter:

“Semiconductor giant Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (NYSE:TSM) contributed in the first quarter due to investor expectations for a continued strong cyclical recovery in semiconductors and significant incremental demand for AI chips. We retain conviction that Taiwan Semiconductor’s technological leadership, pricing power, and exposure to secular growth markets, including high-performance computing, automotive, 5G, and IoT, will allow the company to sustain strong double-digit earnings growth over the next several years.”

Overall, Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd. (NYSE:TSM) ranks 7th on Insider Monkey’s list titled Big Tech Funds are Buying These 10 AI Stocks. While we acknowledge the potential of Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd. (NYSE:TSM), our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd. (NYSE:TSM) but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: Analyst Sees a New $25 Billion “Opportunity” for NVIDIA and Jim Cramer is Recommending These Stocks.

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

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