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Analyst Says Nvidia (NVDA) Will Be ‘Just Fine’ Despite DeepSeek Threat

We recently published a list of Top 10 AI News You Should Pay Attention To. In this article, we are going to take a look at where NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA) stands against other top AI news you should pay attention to.

LinkedIn co-founder Reid Hoffman said in a latest program on CNBC that the DeepSeek breakthrough was not “news” for him and many tech insiders as he believed sooner or later more efficient models would be launched. However, he sees China’s rise in the AI race as surprising:

“I do think that the thing that is news is, well, look, as we’ve been saying, China is in the game. This is actually, in fact, a game-on competition, and it was resoundingly demonstrated that way. There is good, useful work that comes out of it.”

The tech investor believes efficiency will lead to more use cases and usage:

“Say, for example, you can train a model on a thousand GPUs, but you can make it much better on 10,000 GPUs. You will, in a lot of cases, always spend for the 10,000 GPUs or the 100,000 GPUs because if your coding model is even 20% better with that and you think that there are billions of people who could be using and engaging with that around the world, that’s actually worth it at that kind of cost. So, the fact that you’re trying to do efficiency — that’s a good thing. All of the American companies will also get to points where they’re focusing on efficiency. I think there are things that we can learn from some of the stuff the Chinese are doing.”

READ ALSO 7 Best Stocks to Buy For Long-Term and 8 Cheap Jim Cramer Stocks to Invest In

For this article, we picked 10 AI stocks currently making moves on the back of the latest news. With each stock, we have mentioned the number of hedge fund investors. Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).

NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA)

Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 193

Eric Jackson, EMJ Capital founder, explained on CNBC why he believes NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA) will not be impacted negatively due to DeepSeek.

“NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA) is such a poster child for AI in general… So it was just such a shocker that it really took it down. I stuck with it because I believed it was overdone. And despite the fact that we have to work smarter at how we build these models, I don’t think there’s anybody who’s going to pass on the opportunity to get their hands on some Blackwell chips or Rubin chips next year if they have the opportunity. So I think the order book for NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA) is going to show to be really strong. I expect NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA) to be just fine.”

Simply beating earnings estimates is not enough for NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) anymore, and the impact of high expectations will continue to weigh on the stock as growth cools.

Nvidia’s forward P/E ratio for the fiscal year ending January 2026 is around 31. An EPS surprise of 8.5% was not able to help the stock. A similar trend occurred following the second-quarter earnings after a 5.6% EPS surprise. It’s difficult to see Nvidia maintaining a mid-70s gross margin by the end of 2026. Over the last two quarters, Nvidia has already reported a drop in its gross margin from 78% to 74.5%.

Then there’s competition. Amazon (AMZN) recently disclosed its Trainium 3 chip, which is set to be released by the end of 2025. The chip is expected to be twice as fast with 40% more power efficiency than the previous generation, manufactured on TSMC’s (TSM) cutting-edge N3 technology. Reportedly, technology giant Apple (AAPL) will be a consumer of Amazon’s new silicon.

Alger Spectra Fund stated the following regarding NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) in its Q4 2024 investor letter:

NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) is a leading supplier of graphics processing units (GPUs) for a variety of end markets, such as gaming, PCs, data centers, virtual reality, and high-performance computing. The company is leading in most secular growth categories in computing, and especially artificial intelligence and super-computing parallel processing techniques for solving complex computational problems. In our view, Nvidia’s computational power is a critical enabler of AI and therefore essential to AI adoption. Shares contributed to performance during the quarter, driven by strong demand for its data center products, especially the Hopper H200 chips, which generated double-digit billions in revenue, marking the fastest product ramp in the company’s history. Management provided fiscal fourth-quarter revenue guidance above analyst estimates, along with resilient operating margins supported by robust demand and limited competition. In our view, Nvidia’s leadership in scaling AI infrastructure, including advancements in inference and test-time scaling (i.e., reasoning during inference), is driving adoption among enterprises and startups, providing continued demand for its high-performance chips and software solutions. As older-generation chips are repurposed for inference and new clusters are deployed, we believe Nvidia is well-positioned to capitalize on growing compute needs across AI applications.”

Overall, NVDA ranks 3rd on our list of top AI news you should pay attention to. While we acknowledge the potential of NVDA, our conviction lies in the belief that under the radar AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than NVDA but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: 20 Best AI Stocks To Buy Now and Complete List of 59 AI Companies Under $2 Billion in Market Cap

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

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Click to continue reading…