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Analyst Says ‘ Impossible to Compound Money’ With Meta Platforms (META) Stock Amid High Valuation

We recently published a list of Top 10 AI Stocks Buzzing on Latest News. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) stands against other top AI stocks buzzing on latest news.

Investors are continuing to assess the impact of new LLMs in the AI industry. X. Eyeé, CEO of AI consulting firm Malo Santo and senior policy advisor at the Goldman School of Public Policy at UC Berkeley, said in a recent program on CNBC that the DeepSeek breakthrough in China has changed the dynamics of the AI race. She believes AI development is no longer limited to the companies with the “largest pockets.”

“I mean, the world has long looked to the United States to be the leader in artificial intelligence, but these recent model releases from China have demonstrated its ability to leapfrog and catch up with us tech giants and achieve groundbreaking results without the luxury of advanced hardware, which is ultimately challenging everything that we thought was necessary for innovation in the AI space. See, what DeepSeek represents is that AI innovation isn’t necessarily driven by the companies with the largest pockets or the fanciest hardware, but that collaborative development approaches can actually end up providing market-leading technologies.”

READ ALSO 7 Best Stocks to Buy For Long-Term and 8 Cheap Jim Cramer Stocks to Invest In

For this article, we picked 10 AI stocks making the biggest moves these days. With each stock we have mentioned the number of hedge fund investors. Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).

Photo by Timothy Hales Bennett on Unsplash

Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META)

Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 235

Smead Capital CEO Cole Smead explained in a latest program on CNBC why he believes Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) is not an attractive stock when it comes to valuation.

“Let’s just use your discussion a second ago of Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META). If I back out the stock-based compensation out of what the street expects Meta to make this year, they’re not going to make $43 billion in free cash. They’re going to make $26 billion in free cash flow, a 40% reduction because that’s how much stock-based compensation cost them last year. Now, that’s still a lot of money, admittedly, Kelly—$43 billion—but when you compare it to the book value of the business at $180 billion, it means it’s producing about a 15% return on capital when you look at cash returns. Now, that’s fine, but when you trade at eight or nine times book, that’s impossible to compound money.”

Meta crushed expectations with the latest quarterly results but yet again pointed to higher expenses in the future. In 2025, it sees total operating expenses in a range of $114-$119 billion, with 19-25% y/y growth. Capex is expected to rise 61-74% y/y to $60-$65 billion, compared to just $37.3 billion in FY24. Advertising rose strongly but analysts believe it should be seen in the context of higher political ad spend and holiday quarter perspective.  In 2025, the company might not be able to keep reporting double-digit growth in ad pricing amid weaker consumer spending and a cautious macroeconomic backdrop.

In the long term, Meta shares are expected to grow because of AI. How?

Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) is driving usage and ads revenue by improving its algorithms and user experience thanks to AI. Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META)’s advancements in Reels and WhatsApp are helping manage CapEx growth as the company strives to stay competitive in AI. Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META)’s substantial user base of 3.3 billion provides a data and distribution edge that could capture a significant share of the GenAI market.

Rowan Street Capital stated the following regarding Meta Platforms, Inc. (NASDAQ:META) in its Q4 2024 investor letter:

“Meta Platforms, Inc. (NASDAQ:META): Investment Initiated: April 2018: Internal Rate of Return (IRR*): 22% *IRR represents the annualized rate of return on an investment, accounting for the timing and magnitude of cash flows over the holding period.

For META, our 22% IRR aligns closely with the company’s compounded growth in earnings per share (EPS) and free cash flow per share during the 6 years holding period.

Looking ahead, Meta is expected to grow its revenues, earnings, and free cash flow per share at mid-teens rates over the next two years. There’s a good possibility that it could exceed these estimates, considering the breadth of growth initiatives currently in place, such as advancements in Al, monetization of Reels, expansion into business messaging, and the ongoing development of the metaverse…” (Click here to read the full text)

Overall, META ranks 2nd on our list of top AI stocks buzzing on latest news. While we acknowledge the potential of META, our conviction lies in the belief that under the radar AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than META but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: 20 Best AI Stocks To Buy Now and Complete List of 59 AI Companies Under $2 Billion in Market Cap

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

AI Fire Sale: Insider Monkey’s #1 AI Stock Pick Is On A Steep Discount

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Here’s why this is the prime moment to jump on the AI bandwagon:

Exponential Growth on the Horizon: Forget linear growth – AI is poised for a hockey stick trajectory.

Imagine every sector, from healthcare to finance, infused with superhuman intelligence.

We’re talking disease prediction, hyper-personalized marketing, and automated logistics that streamline everything.

This isn’t a maybe – it’s an inevitability.

Early investors will be the ones positioned to ride the wave of this technological tsunami.

Ground Floor Opportunity: Remember the early days of the internet?

Those who saw the potential of tech giants back then are sitting pretty today.

AI is at a similar inflection point.

We’re not talking about established players – we’re talking about nimble startups with groundbreaking ideas and the potential to become the next Google or Amazon.

This is your chance to get in before the rockets take off!

Disruption is the New Name of the Game: Let’s face it, complacency breeds stagnation.

AI is the ultimate disruptor, and it’s shaking the foundations of traditional industries.

The companies that embrace AI will thrive, while the dinosaurs clinging to outdated methods will be left in the dust.

As an investor, you want to be on the side of the winners, and AI is the winning ticket.

The Talent Pool is Overflowing: The world’s brightest minds are flocking to AI.

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This influx of talent guarantees a constant stream of groundbreaking ideas and rapid advancements.

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Act Now and Unlock a Potential 10,000% Return: This AI Stock is a Diamond in the Rough (But Our Help is Key!)

The AI revolution is upon us, and savvy investors stand to make a fortune.

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Our research team has identified a hidden gem – an AI company with cutting-edge technology, massive potential, and a current stock price that screams opportunity.

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Trump’s $500B AI Investment: One Small Cap Stock With Big Potential in 2025

President Trump just announced a massive $500 billion investment into project “Stargate”, a joint venture between OpenAI, SoftBank, and Oracle to build artificial intelligence infrastructure within the United States over the next four years. (1)  The AI frenzy is in full swing, but beneath the surface lays one critical piece with a massive opportunity for investors reading this now: Copper.

What does Trump’s $500B investment into AI infrastructure have to do with copper one may ask? Every AI data center requires 60,000 pounds of copper – equivalent to 30 tons … With 100-150 grams of copper per Nividia H100, This represents a 4-6x increase over traditional data centers.

Analysts at Goldman Sachs predict “AI will add 1 million metric tons of annual copper demand by 2030”. (2) Compounding on top of the already crippling Copper Deficit, AI Data Centres are set to add another 1 Million tons to the projected 10 million ton supply deficit looming in 2030. With no major new copper mines being developed, and one of the world’s largest copper mines recently going out of production (First Quantum’s Cobre Panama mine) (3), BHP has warned of a “critically constrained” market. Bloomberg analysts forecast that copper prices could exceed $12,000 per ton as shortages intensify (4).

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