We recently published a list of Top 10 Stocks on Analysts’ Radar These Days. In this article, we are going to take a look at where NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA) stands against other top stocks on analysts’ radar these days.
Fundstrat’s Tom Lee said in a recent program on CNBC that he is still optimistic about the stock market despite recent selloffs. Here is how he explained some of the reasons behind his rationale:
“I can understand why investors are sitting on their hands. I mean, they don’t really know how severe these tariffs are going to be or how long they’ll last. But now we’re seeing a big price correction and a decline in sentiment. Then something like today happens—we get a bad ADP jobs report, and the market is actually up. So we’re rising on bad news, which is a good sign that a lot of bad news is already priced in.”
Lee believes the market’s near-term bottom is close as he talked about the importance of staying invested during the “best days.”
“In my mind, we put out a piece yesterday just talking about the 10 best days that happen every year. Last year, for instance, the 10 best days added up to 21 percentage points of the S&P. Without those 10 days, the market was only up 4%. So, you know, you don’t get 20% years because it’s good throughout the year—it’s just the 10 best days. I think the setup for a 10 best day is near because if the economy’s near stall speed, I think people realize the Trump put does come back because otherwise it has to unwind all this austerity. And if the job market’s soft, the Fed put comes back into play because the Fed doesn’t want to deal with stall speed.I think that’s what’s going to be the positive catalyst in the next couple of weeks. On top of that, we already know stocks will bottom before bad news peaks. So if we’re seeing the market not fade on bad news, it means we’ve already priced in a lot of things that would normally scare us.”
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For this article, we picked 10 stocks currently trending on the latest news. With each stock we have mentioned the number of hedge fund investors. Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here).
A close-up of a colorful high-end graphics card being plugged in to a gaming computer.
NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA)
Number of Hedge Funds Investors: 193
Chris Caso, Wolfe Research senior analyst, said in a latest program on CNBC that while NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA) quarterly beat was not as impressive as it used to be in the past, the company can still see more growth in the future on the back of a potential increase in compute demand.
“One of the things that I thought was interesting, and Jensen brought it up in the spot you had about Deep Seek, is the move to reasoning models where the AI actually thinks itself. It doesn’t have the answer itself, but it could figure it out using a couple of steps. You know, what they said was that actually uses 10 times the compute power for inference, for actually running the models, and it does appear that that’s going to be one of the drivers as well.”
Caso said his price target for NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA) is $180 and that takes into account the possible revenue slowdown the company will see in the coming quarters.
“It’s a big gain, and even that just only factors in some deceleration of revenue growth, about, you know, in the 30s next year. So, you know, and that’s what’s compelling about Nvidia as an investment right now because you’re not seeing a bubble valuation, you’re seeing a really reasonable valuation on a company that’s been growing like crazy.”
The market will keep punishing Nvidia for not coming up to its gigantic (and sometimes unrealistic) growth expectations. About 50% of the company’s revenue comes from large cloud providers, which are rethinking their plans amid the DeepSeek launch and looking for low-cost chips. Nvidia’s Q1 guidance shows a 9.4% QoQ revenue growth, down from the previous 12% QoQ growth. Its adjusted margin is expected to be down substantially as well to 71%. The market does not like when Nvidia fails to post a strong quarterly beat. The stock will remain under pressure in the coming quarters when the company will report unimpressive growth.
Nvidia is facing challenges at several levels. Competition is one of them. Major competitors like Apple, Qualcomm, and AMD are vying for TSMC’s 3nm capacity, which could limit Nvidia’s access to these chips. Why? Because Nvidia also uses TSMC’s 3nm process nodes. Nvidia is also facing direct competition from other giants that are deciding to make their own chips. Amazon, with its Trainium2 AI chips, offers alternatives. Trainium2 chips could provide cost savings and superior computational power, which could shift AI workloads away from Nvidia’s offerings. Apple is reportedly working with Broadcom to develop an AI server processor. Intel is also trying hard to get back into the game with Jaguar Shores GPU process, set to be produced on its 18A or 14A node.
Brown Advisors Global Leaders Strategy stated the following regarding NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) in its Q4 2024 investor letter:
“The main driver of our 2024 relative underperformance was not being invested in NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA). Since ChatGPT introduced the power of generative artificial intelligence to the world on 30 November 2022, the Global Leaders Strategy has outperformed its benchmark despite being underweight the USA and specifically underweight the “Magnificent Seven”.7 2024 underperformance of -2.81% versus our benchmark was almost precisely matched by the individual outperformance of NVIDIA, which we did not own. On balance the rest of the portfolio is doing just fine albeit with areas of strength (AI) and weakness (EM financials) discussed below.
We wrote about the concentration within global indexes last year and this continued with only 29% of companies within the ACWI Index at the start of 2024 outperforming this benchmark over the year. Our capital allocation added value in 2024 as five of our top ten largest weights over the year were also in our top ten percentage winners. Conversely, within our ten worst performers, seven were also amongst our smallest ten weights. Capital allocation is critical when index hit rates are below 50%…” (Click here to read the full text)
Overall, NVDA ranks 3rd on our list of top stocks on analysts’ radar these days. While we acknowledge the potential of NVDA as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that under the radar AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than NVDA but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.